Southwell (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
Class 6 15 Oct 2026

Yesterday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes · 1m3f23y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Norflondonforever (IRE) Edward Greatrex · Faye Bramley
    1/1F
  2. 17/2
  3. 7/2
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Southwell (AW)

16:30–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Public Enemy silks
Public Enemy
Age 5 · 9-9
436/9
65
53
65
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 7/1 10/1
Public Enemy is winless in his last four, and a ninth last time out follows a sixth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy. A third three starts back and a run over today's trip offer some hope, while 14 days since his last outing keeps him fit, though our rating ranks him sixth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Super Hit silks
Super Hit
Age 5 · 9-9
375523
65
67
72
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/3 5/2 3/1
Super Hit arrives in good heart after a third last time out and a second two starts back, only ten days ago, and he has run over today's trip and on the going. Our rating of 72 tops the field, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Jodhpur Blue silks
Jodhpur Blue
Age 5 · 9-9
262536
65
62
71
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/2 8/1
Jodhpur Blue has hit the frame in three of his last six, including a second and a third, and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 71 ranks him third of seven. The main risk is a trainer in poor form, just 1/32 over the last 14 days, plus a 43-day break.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Newport silks
Newport
Age 6 · 9-8
541504
64
58
68
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 10/3 15/2
Fresh enough after 20 days off, Newport arrives with a fourth last time out and a win four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before; our rating of 68 sits above his official 64. The main risk is a patchy run of form since that win, with 134 lb to carry from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Chesneys Charm silks
Chesneys Charm
Age 4 · 9-8
073734
64
65
72
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 7/2 5/1
Chesneys Charm has been in the frame often, a fourth last time out following a third two starts back, and he is fit after just ten days off. He has run over today's trip and going before, though he is winless in his last six, and our rating of 72 backs him as the selection from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Norflondonforever silks
Norflondonforever FAV
Age 5 · 9-4
004742
60
69
67
5
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/8 7/4 6/5
Norflondonforever steps out quickly after a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last six starts. Carrying 130 lb from stall five, he sits fifth of seven on our rating of 67, so a similar effort might only bring a mid-pack finish.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Rajawail silks
Rajawail
Age 6 · 8-4
070008
38
17
34
6
8-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
125/1 FCST 100/1
Rajawail is winless in her last six starts, finishing eighth last time out, 9 days ago, and unplaced in most of the others, so she is hard to fancy as the bottom-ranked of seven on our figures (34). She has run over today's trip and going before, but that is about all she has going for her from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Public Enemy 10/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 8.00 12/1 Paddy Power
2 Super Hit 10/3 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 Bet365
3 Jodhpur Blue 8/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 4.50 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 6.50 9/1 Paddy Power
4 Newport 15/2 open 4.33 9/1 open 5.00 9/1 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.33 9/1 open 5.00 9/1 Paddy Power
5 Chesneys Charm 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 William Hill
6 Norflondonforever 11/8 open 4.50 6/5 open 4.50 6/5 open 2.88 6/5 open 4.50 6/5 open 4.50 5/4 open 2.75 11/8 Bet365
7 Rajawail 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Norflondonforever

Speculative

Norflondonforever owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Faye Bramley Edward Greatrex
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Super Hit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

Rajawail

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Brian Rothwell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Norflondonforever
53.7 11/8
2 2. Super Hit
52.7 10/3
3 4. Newport
45.5 15/2
4 5. Chesneys Charm
45.4 11/2
5 3. Jodhpur Blue
45.3 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Norflondonforever
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 5 · 9-4
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-8
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Norflondonforever
Confidence: Speculative

Norflondonforever (SR:69, 9/4) is the top-rated horse in this Class 6 field and carries only 9-4 — the lightest weight among the serious contenders — giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals carrying 9-8 or 9-9. The market has backed it in significantly (Mkt:in24%), the strongest steam in the race, and trainer Faye Bramley runs at a 15% strike rate from a relatively small yard (249 runners), suggesting she targets races selectively. The GoingFit:- and DistFit:- flags are genuine concerns, but on an AW surface at Southwell the 'going' tag is less punishing than turf, and the recent form 004742 shows a second last time out — the horse is clearly coming back to form. The SR:69 lead over the drifting favourite Super Hit (SR:67) is modest but every other signal points Norflondonforever's way. Each-way alternative: Chesneys Charm. Main danger: Super Hit — Super Hit (SR:67, 3/1) is proven at this distance (DistFit:+) and has course form (W0P2), giving it a track-and-trip profile that Norflondonforever cannot match, and despite drifting 11% the price implies it remains the market's second choice.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form 004742 shows two zeros (non-completions or last-place finishes) in the last six runs, and the '4' last time out was only 4th — a single placed run in six does not strongly signal a return to for…
  • Course record W0P1 at Southwell is weak — zero wins and only one place from course visits, suggesting the Fibresand surface here may not suit this horse.
  • MarkMv:-7 indicates the official mark has been raised 7lb since recent runs, meaning the handicapper has reacted to any improvement — the horse is now competing off a higher mark than the form that a…
  • Trainer Faye Bramley's 15% strike rate comes from only 249 runners (small yard), making the sample size fragile, and GoingFit/DistFit both flagged as unknown ('-'), leaving genuine suitability for to…
Shortlist Norflondonforever, Super Hit, Chesneys Charm
Each-way: Chesneys Charm Danger: Super Hit

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m3f23y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade