Dakota Power has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 ranks him second of 14, well clear of his official 60, so he's a leading danger despite a modest run of finishes. The big risk is a 224-day layoff, with a sixth last time out the best of his last three runs.
Form last 6548-76
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR70RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Noble Guest is without a win in his last six and was ninth last time out, but he has run over today's trip and going, and a third five starts back shows he can get involved. Our rating of 72 tops the field off an official 60, and he's the one to beat.
Form last 6637489
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR72RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Balon d'Or has a win three starts back and a fifth two runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 66 ranks him fourth of 14 and sits above his official 60. The main risk is a ninth last time out, so he needs to bounce back after 31 days off.
Form last 6484159
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR66RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Berning Hot comes in fresh from a fifth last time out just nine days ago, with a second two starts back and a win three starts back showing she can pick up the pieces. She has run over today's trip and going, but 133 lb is a hefty burden, and our rating of 61 puts her fifth of 14.
Form last 6605125
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR61RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nutcracker has been consistently in the frame, with a win three starts back and a second two starts back, though he was only fifth last time out and returns after 44 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but 131 lb from stall 5 and a ninth-ranked rating of 57 keep him in the midfield.
Form last 6332125
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR57RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six, Sun of Dolly was unplaced last time out after a seventh two starts back, though a second three starts back shows a better side; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a 36-day break gives a fresh feel. Carrying 130 lb from stall seven, he looks a midfield type on our 58 rating.
Form last 6485270
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR58RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a run nine days ago, The Organiser has placed in the frame twice in his last six, including a third three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 66 ranks him third of 14, though he is yet to win and was only seventh last time out.
Form last 6245357
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR66RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
King David is yet to win in his last six, though seconds three and four starts back show he can go close, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Unplaced last time, he's back after nine days from stall 11, with our rating of 60 ranking him sixth of 14.
Form last 6952250
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR60RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Who Is Alice was a fifth last time out, 24 days ago, and has a third three starts back as her best recent finish, though she is winless in her last six; she has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 58 sits above her official 53, but she needs to find more to get involved from stall 13.
Form last 6655305
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR58RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Blue Collar Lad bids to build on a third last time out, and a fourth two starts back, and he's fit enough after just five days off, having run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last five starts, he's rated 53 by us, which ranks him tenth of 14, so the ceiling looks limited from stall 1.
Form last 6-27043
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
57SR53RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rainbow Sign has been in the frame often enough, third last time out and a second five starts back, but he is winless in his last six and ranks only 11th of 14 on our figures. Back in just nine days, he has run over today's trip and going, though that hardly lifts him above an outsider's billing.
Form last 6427343
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rock Master is winless in his last six, finishing sixth last time out and no better than a fourth three starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, though, and an official rating of 41 gives him a lowly mark to work from.
Form last 6066456
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR46RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Mokata is hard to fancy, winless in her last six with a seventh last time out, another seventh two starts back and nothing better than a fifth in that spell. She has run over today's trip and going and is fresh from a 10-day break, but our figures rank her 13th of 14.
Form last 6597677
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR42RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Music And Song is winless in her last six, with a run of sixth, sixth, sixth before an unplaced effort last time, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 17-day break is no issue, but our rating of 39 ranks her last of 14.
Form last 6896660
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR39RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Blue Collar Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Daniel SteeleAlec Voikhansky
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Noble Guest
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · George Margarson✓ Value Signal
Mokata
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Adam Kirby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Blue Collar Lad (SR:57, 9/2, Wgt:8-11) is the standout play. The 25% market support (Mkt:in25%) is the single strongest market signal in the race — in a field of 14 drifters, this is conspicuous money arriving with purpose. Carrying 8-11 gives him a meaningful weight edge over the two joint-favourites Berning Hot (9-7) and Nutcracker (9-5), and he is the lightest of the competitive SR horses. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ confirm he is not ill-suited to this trip or ground, and Course:W0P4 shows familiarity with Brighton's idiosyncratic track. The MarkMv:+2 is a minor negative but easily absorbed given the weight advantage over market rivals.
Each-way alternative: Berning Hot.
Main danger: Berning Hot — Berning Hot (SR:63, Course:W2P2) has the joint-highest SR in the field and a proven winning record at Brighton specifically, making him the most dangerous horse to the selection despite carrying 9-7 and running off a mark 5lb higher than his last win.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course:W0P4 means Blue Collar Lad has placed four times at Brighton without winning — a persistent course-winner duck that suggests he finds a way to lose here specifically.
SR:57 is materially inferior to joint-favourites Berning Hot and Nutcracker (both SR:63), who carry only modestly more weight and have stronger recent ability ratings.
Form:-27043 shows a zero (last or unplaced) three runs ago and a 4 most recently — no win in the sequence and no obvious upward trajectory to justify market confidence.
Trainer Daniel Steele strikes at just 8% with a small yard (160 runners) — weak platform for a market mover, and Alec Voikhansky's 11% strike rate offers little added confidence at a tricky track.