Gone Rogue has won twice in his last six, a first three starts back and another five back, but he's finished sixth in his last two and the yard is out of form at 1/25. He has run over today's trip and going, and 17 days since his last run is fine, though 138 lb from stall 6 gives him plenty to do.
Form last 6614166
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR70RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tronido is hard to fancy after an eighth last time out and a seventh the start before, though she did win three starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Back in just six days, she carries 138 lb from stall 15, and our figures rank her 11th of 15.
Form last 6075178
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR65RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Second last time out and 17 days fresh, Darvel has run over today's trip and going before, yet he's without a win in his last six and a fifth and fourth before that hint at inconsistency. Carrying 138 lb from stall 12, our rating of 71 sits a few pounds above his official 68.
Form last 6023452
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last 5 outings, Reader was fifth last time out after a fourth two starts back, and a 31-day break does little to lift her. Carrying 135 lb from stall 5 with our rating ranking her 14th of 15, she is hard to fancy, though she has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 68-3345
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR62RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Norfolk Blue is a patchy sort, a winner two starts back but only ninth last time out, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 21 days. Carrying 134 lb from draw 11, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 68 ranking him tenth of 15.
Form last 6252519
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR68RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten into eighth last time out, Play Me sits 12 of 15 in our ranks, and his one win in his last six starts came four starts back, so he is hard to fancy. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, is back after 18 days, and was third two starts back.
Form last 6591438
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR64RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh Fade has been without a win in his last six, with a sixth last time out and a fifth two starts back, but he returns after 18 days with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating of 76 puts him top of the 15, and he's the one to beat from stall nine.
Form last 6606056
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR76RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dark Rosa arrives in fine heart, a second last time out and another second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. Yet to win in her last six, that's the one concern, though our rating of 76 ranks her second of 15 from stall one.
Form last 6836322
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR76RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yachtsman has a win five starts back and a fourth two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 72 ranks him third of 15. The risk is a disappointing eighth last time out, with 37 days since that run.
Form last 6714948
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR72RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Daisy Roots has been consistent without cracking it, finishing fifth last time out, a fifth two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in her last six, she returns after 42 days off, and our rating of 68 sits above her official 63.
Form last 6447455
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR68RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Platinum Prince arrives on an upward note after a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 71 ranks him fourth of 15. The main risk is a yard out of form, with just one winner from 25 in the last fortnight.
Form last 6-05452
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR71RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
King of War has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's had a break of 22 days, but he's yet to win in his last six starts and was unplaced last time out. Our rating of 68 sits above his official 62, though that only ranks him seventh of fifteen from stall two.
Form last 6530840
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
South Kensington won last time out and has two wins in her last six, back quickly after nine days, and she has run over today's trip and going. Even so, 132 lb from draw 8 is a big ask, and our figures rank her only 13th of 15.
Form last 6157201
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR62RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Inspectre was a second last time out and a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last three starts. A 44-day break, a stable out of form at 1/25 and a 54 rating that ranks him last of 15 make him hard to fancy from stall three.
Form last 6042
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR54RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five, Connie Moon was eighth last time out 37 days ago, though she has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 68 sits above her official 60; carrying 130 lb from stall seven, she looks short of a leap forward.
Form last 68-6758
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR68RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gone Rogue owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Gary & Josh MooreTom Queally
79%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Dark Rosa
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
8/1 · Georgina Nicholls✓ Value Signal
Fresh Fade
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Michael Attwater◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Gone Rogue (SR:75, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has been backed in dramatically — a 45% market move since opening is the strongest single market signal in this race and demands attention. Course form is exceptional: W3P5 at Brighton is specialist-track knowledge that few can match, and the Gary & Josh Moore yard have clearly identified this as their number-one runner over stablemates Platinum Prince and Inspectre (superior jockey booking in Tom Queally, tighter market support). GoingFit:- is a genuine concern on today's Good ground, but the enormous market confidence and course mastery override that flag for a horse already proven at this level (ClassMv:=). The combination of top SR, course dominance and aggressive market move makes it the standout selection.
Each-way alternative: South Kensington.
Main danger: Play Me — Play Me (SR:69, 17/2) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), has course form (W1P1), moderate going and distance fit, and has been backed 23% — Jim Boyle's clear yard number-one with the stronger jockey booking over stablemate Daisy Roots.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit flag is a genuine negative — Gone Rogue's Brighton wins may have come on faster or softer ground, and today's Good surface is flagged as unsuitable (HG:p) for this horse specifically.
Recent form reads 614166 — three consecutive sixth-place finishes including the most recent run; no win in the last six starts suggests a horse that finds reasons not to win.
Trainer strike rate of 11% from 1037 runners is modest, and the yard's second string Platinum Prince has drifted (out12%) while Gone Rogue steamed in — stable market signals can mislead when the stab…
South Kensington (11/2, SR:66) has course form W2P2, ran just 9 days ago in sharp fitness, and is only fractionally longer in the market — a fresher, near-equivalent course specialist with a tighter…
ShortlistGone Rogue, South Kensington, Play Me, Darvel