Dark Summit is fresh from a run just 10 days ago and has run over today's trip and going, while a third two starts back is his best recent effort. Our rating of 75 puts him top of the 17-runner field, though he is winless in his last six.
Form last 6000830
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR75RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Charlie Brow'n signed off with a seventh last time out, though he was third two starts back and has a win five starts back, so the form has some substance. He has run on today's going and our rating of 61 ranks him fifth of 17, but 140 lb from draw 6 and a 33-day break leave plenty to prove.
Form last 615-737
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR61RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Mr Perth is rated second of 17 by our figures and a speed rating of 68 hints at more than his recent form suggests, while he is back after just 16 days and has run on today's going before. The risk is obvious: he is winless in his last six, with a ninth last time out.
Form last 6870779
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nottooshabby is winless in his last five, with finishes of sixth, sixth, seventh and sixth before being unplaced last time, so he is hard to fancy off 138 lb. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 16 days, but our rating of 52 ranks him 15th of 17.
Form last 667660
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR52RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Miss Crinshawn is a leading danger, having run 18 days ago and finished a third four starts back and a second six starts back, with experience over today's trip and going. Our rating of 64 sits well clear of her official 55, though she's yet to win in recent starts and her last two runs were unplaced.
Form last 6243700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR64RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Marambo is winless in his last five, with three straight unplaced runs after a fifth four starts back and a fourth five starts back, though he has run over today's trip and comes back fresh after 41 days. Our rating of 59 sits above his official 53, but carrying 135 lb from stall three he needs to rediscover some form.
Form last 645-000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR59RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Ballaghkeen is fresh from a run nine days ago and has already tackled today's trip and going, while our rating of 62 ranks her fourth of 17 and sits well above her official mark of 56. The main risk is a winless recent spell, with nothing better than a sixth two starts back.
Form last 6700-60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR62RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Patrick Street has two wins in his last six and was third last time out just nine days ago, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before, yet carrying 134 lb from stall 11 is a big ask. Ranked 13th of 17 on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6915143
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR53RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pebble Island was fourth last time out and second two starts back, yet he is winless in his last six and returns after 75 days off. He has run over today's trip, but a cold yard (1/29) and 134 lb from stall 2 temper the appeal.
Form last 6000024
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR56RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Chloe's Boy was only eighth last time out, nine days ago, and his one win in his last six came two starts back, with a ninth and a string of unplaced runs around it. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 52 ranks him 14th of 17, and he looks hard to fancy from stall 12 off 132 lb.
Form last 6600918
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR52RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Searcog has finished fourth in four of her last five starts, including last time out, and is back quickly after six days, so she is consistent but yet to win. She has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 57 sits above her official 49, though 131 lb from stall nine is a hefty burden.
Form last 64-4844
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR57RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prom Queen was beaten into ninth last time out and returns after 142 days off, which makes her hard to fancy, though she did win two starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Rated 50 by us, ranked 16 of 17, she carries 129 lb from draw 5.
Form last 602-419
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR50RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five and unplaced in four of them, with a seventh two starts back the best of it, Dress Dance has at least run over today's trip and going and returns after 22 days. Our rating of 53 sits above her official 46, but she carries 128 lb from stall seven.
Form last 600-070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR53RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Pure Granite sits on a workable mark of 46 after a fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last five and was only sixth two starts back. Our rating of 53 ranks him 11th of 17, so he looks a midfield sort from stall four.
Form last 66006-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR53RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten into seventh last time out after a second two starts back, Roderick has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 36 days off. He is yet to win in his last five, though, and carries 127 lb from stall 16, with our rating of 55 placing him tenth of 17.
Form last 6-70427
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR55RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Morning Approach is yet to score in her last six starts, unplaced in four of the last five after a sixth five starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 32 days off. Our rating of 58 sits well above her official 44, but 126 lb from stall one is a lot to carry.
Form last 6060000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR58RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Share The Treasure is hard to fancy, having finished eighth, ninth, fifth and ninth in her last four outings and yet to win in her recent runs, and she is ranked last of 17 on our figures. The positives are that she has run over today's trip and going, and she returns after 21 days off from draw 17.
Form last 609-598
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR41RPR37OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Patrick Street owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Andrew KinironsJack Kearney(3)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Dark Summit
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Paul W Flynn✓ Value Signal
Dress Dance
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Ms Sheila Lavery◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mr Perth (SR:56, 11/2) carries only 9-12 as a 3-year-old and posts the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Patrick Street, but crucially has steamed in 31% in the market — the most significant money move in this race by a clear margin. His form string 870779 shows modest finishes but his distance and going samples are question marks (DistFit:? GoingFit:?), meaning the handicapper has not fully exposed him over this trip, and Grassick's yard at 9% with a conditional jockey booking suggests a stable confident enough to press without the expense of a top rider. The combination of leading SR, lightest competitive weight of the main contenders, and the strongest market move in the field makes him the standout pick in a weak €6,000 handicap.
Each-way alternative: Miss Crinshawn.
Main danger: Patrick Street — Patrick Street (SR:57, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has course form (W1P1 at Navan) and has shortened 13% in the market, though DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are real concerns at this track and trip on Good ground.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 870779 shows zero wins and only one placed finish (7th at best) across six starts — no evidence of a winning performance to draw on at any level.
Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown, meaning Mr Perth has no proven suitability to today's specific trip or going conditions at Navan.
Patrick Street (SR:57, joint-equal at the market price of 11/2) has a superior recent form string of 915143, course form (W1P1), and carries 4lb less — a directly comparable rival with clearer creden…
Jockey Shay Wallace has only an 8% strike rate from 115 rides, one of the weakest books in this field, undermining confidence in the confidence read from the market move.
ShortlistMr Perth, Patrick Street, Miss Crinshawn, Searcog