Albatala arrives a last-time-out winner, with a second five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. A break of 87 days and a cold-running stable are the reservations, but her overall profile still makes her a worthy selection from stall 8.
Form last 6269/41
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR63RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Reponse Finale arrives in solid form, second last time out and a winner three and five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going, though a yard struggling at 2/42 and 141 lb from stall seven temper enthusiasm. Our rating of 58 ranks her seventh of 17.
Form last 6412142
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR58RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sheamus Seimhiu arrives on an upbeat note after a second last time out, though he is winless in his last five and was unplaced in two of the previous four. Off 141 lb from draw 16 after 41 days off, he looks a mid-pack type, with our rating of 58 sitting just under his official 59.
Form last 60860-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR58RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-up after ten days and unplaced in her last two, though she was second four starts back and has run over today's trip before. Carrying 139 lb from draw 10, she's yet to win in recent starts, but our rating of 62 ranks her fifth of 17.
Form last 6-02800
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR62RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sixth last time out and only 18 days ago, Spanish Princess has run over today's going before and tops our ratings at 64 against an official mark of 57, though she's yet to win in her last five and the yard is out of form at 1/29.
Form last 68580-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR65RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
God Knows has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 62 ranks her fourth of 17, while her speed figure of 66 and a 54 handicap mark hint at a chance from draw 5. The risk is a winless run, with a seventh three starts back her best recent finish.
Form last 6090700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Nephin Mountain is back quickly after six days, having run a sixth last time out, though a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back show he's been in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 136 lb from stall two, he's a winner four starts back but needs to bounce back, with our rating of 62 ranking him sixth of 17.
Form last 6651346
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR62RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kodi Brown has been in the frame twice in her last five, a second two starts back and a third four back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 63 ranks her second of 17. The main risk is a 336-day absence, with an unplaced effort last time out.
Form last 673520-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR63RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
All Is Bright has finished sixth, then unplaced twice and an eighth in her last four, so she is hard to fancy while winless, and a quick return after nine days hardly screams improvement. Her official mark of 53 is the only mild positive, and our figures rank her 15th of 17.
Form last 6800-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR50RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Capolinea is winless in her last three, unplaced twice before a fifth three starts back, and returns after 50 days off, so she is hard to fancy. Carrying 130 lb from draw 15, she is rated 13th of 17 on our figures, though an official mark of 48 gives her a sliver of hope.
Form last 6500
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR51RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Matties Point is winless in his last four, though a fourth last time out just six days ago suggests he's holding his form, and he has run over today's trip before. Carrying 130 lb from stall 1, he's rated 53 by us, ranked 11th of 17, which holds him back.
Form last 64004
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR53RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Suerte is winless in her last six, with a seventh last time out and a sixth four starts back her best recent finishes, though she is fresh enough after 19 days and has run over today's trip. Our rating of 56 sits above her official 48, and she carries 130 lb, though stall 17 is a wide draw.
Form last 6006007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR56RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Captain Ciano is winless in his last six, unplaced last time out and sitting on a 75-day absence, so he is hard to fancy at 126 lb from stall 14. He has run over today's trip and his official 44 is lowly, but our figures rank him only 14th of 17.
Form last 6009800
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR51RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Connova has been consistent, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, and she's fresh enough after 12 days; she has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in her last six, she's rated 54 by us, which leaves her midfield, and she drew 13.
Form last 6433423
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
57SR54RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Giordano is yet to win in his last three, unplaced twice and a ninth three starts back, though 32 days off suggests he's fresh and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 52 sits above his official 45, but a midfield ranking of 12 of 17 tempers the optimism.
Form last 6900
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR52RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Lady Crossing is winless in her last five, with a fourth two starts back her best finish and an unplaced effort last time out, and she returns after 90 days off. She has run over today's trip and our figures rank her last of 17, so she is hard to fancy from stall 11.
Form last 60-8040
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR45RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Tullyesker is hard to fancy, having finished eighth last time out and in two of his other recent starts, and he is winless in his last five. He has run over today's trip and returns after 22 days, but our rating ranks him 16th of 17.
Form last 608-808
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR46RPR38OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Reponse Finale owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Gavin CromwellRobert Whearty
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Connova
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Ms Sheila Lavery✓ Value Signal
Suerte
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Ms Sheila Lavery◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Reponse Finale carries the highest SR in the field at 64 — a clear 6-point gap over the next best (Connova at 57) — and posts consistent recent form of 412142, showing she competes at the top of the finish every time out. At 4/1 she is the market leader, and despite a 10% drift she retains far more market confidence than any other runner. The weight of 10-1 is manageable in this low-grade €6,000 handicap, and her age (4) with a trainer (Cromwell, 11%) who fires in winners regularly supports the case. The concerns are real — DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flag that today's 1m2f30y on good ground is not her optimum profile — but her SR superiority and consistent form figures suggest she is good enough to overcome those reservations at this level.
Each-way alternative: Connova.
Main danger: Connova — Connova (SR:57, 11/2) carries only 8-13, posts the most consistent form in the race (433423 — never out of the first four), and holds a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip, meaning the 1m2f30y is demonstrably her optimum distance — a direct counter to Reponse Finale's DistFit:- flag.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Both DistFit and GoingFit are flagged negative — today's 1m2f30y on good ground is a double mismatch for her, not a single marginal reservation.
Despite being market leader, she has drifted 10% (MarkMv:+19) in a field where Captain Ciano (62% in) and Casheldale Lass (15% in) are attracting significant support — money is moving away from her.
Jockey Robert Whearty strikes at only 7% — meaningfully below the field average — and no CourseW flag is present, giving no Navan-specific confidence to offset the profile concerns.
Connova (SR:57, form 433423) is fresh off 12 days, carries 10lb less at 8-13, and posts tighter, more consistent placing figures; at 11/2 she represents a live market alternative with a weight advant…