Kempton (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 3 7 Oct 2026

Wednesday 7 October Unibet Supports Safer Gambling EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Unibet Supports Safer Gambling EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Unibet Supports Safer Gambling EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Twelve Bars (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Hugo Palmer
    4/5F
  2. 9/4
  3. 10/1
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Kempton (AW)

17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Byzantine silks
Byzantine
Age 2 · 9-11
1
—
150
—
2
9-11
★★★★☆
—
17/2 10/3 11/2
Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Fenaroli silks
Fenaroli
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
137
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 15/2
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Kaboom silks
Kaboom
Age 2 · 9-4
6
—
125
—
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 40/1 66/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lancaster Tower silks
Lancaster Tower
Age 2 · 9-4
38
—
156
—
2
9-4
★★★★☆
—
9/4 3/1 32/17
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Odell silks
Odell
Age 2 · 9-4
6
—
124
—
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 28/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Oldbullyoungbull silks
Oldbullyoungbull
Age 2 · 9-4
4
—
144
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 12/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Palladino silks
Palladino
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
124
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
33/1 9/1 18/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Red Wizard silks
Red Wizard
Age 2 · 9-4
9
—
125
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
100/1 33/1 66/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Twelve Bars silks
Twelve Bars
Age 2 · 9-4
2
—
159
—
2
9-4
★★★★☆
—
5/6 5/6 2/3
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Work Like Hell silks
Work Like Hell
Age 2 · 9-4
3
—
130
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
22/1 11/1 22/1
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Byzantine 17/2 open 4.33 9/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 10/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 10/1 William Hill
2 Fenaroli 12/1 10/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Betfred
3 Kaboom 100/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 100/1 Bet365
4 Lancaster Tower 9/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
5 Odell 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Oldbullyoungbull 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Palladino 33/1 open 10.00 40/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 40/1 Paddy Power
8 Red Wizard 100/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
9 Twelve Bars 5/6 open 3.00 4/5 open 1.91 4/6 open 1.91 4/6 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 5/6 5/6 Bet365
10 Work Like Hell 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Twelve Bars

High conviction

Twelve Bars owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/6 Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lancaster Tower

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Red Wizard

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Harry Charlton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Twelve Bars
74.6 5/6
2 4. Lancaster Tower
70.1 9/4
3 1. Byzantine
64.0 17/2
4 6. Oldbullyoungbull
62.0 12/1
5 2. Fenaroli
60.9 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Twelve Bars
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 2 · 9-4
5/6
★★★★☆ SR 159 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-4
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-11
17/2
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾 —

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-4
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Twelve Bars
Confidence: Medium

Twelve Bars (SR 159, 10/11) is the class benchmark in this field by a meaningful margin — 3 SR points clear of Lancaster Tower and 9 clear of Byzantine. The market has tightened 8% since opening, confirming professional money is backing it at a short price. Oisin Murphy's booking (21% career strike rate, 2,747 runners — the most accomplished jockey in the field) adds further confidence, as does the Hugo Palmer yard running at 13% with a horse showing a second-place on debut — a form line consistent with a horse that has learned plenty and should improve significantly stepping to 7f on AW. At 10/11 the price is modest but the SR superiority and market confidence justify a high-confidence call. Each-way alternative: Lancaster Tower. Main danger: Lancaster Tower — Lancaster Tower (SR 156, 11/4) has dropped a class, carries favourable weight at 9-4, partners William Buick (25% career strike rate — the highest in the field), and has shortened 9% in the market — the headgear switch to hood could unlock improvement from a horse whose form figures of 3-8 leave plenty of room to progress.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lancaster Tower (SR 156) is shortening at 9% with the Gosden/Buick combination (24%/25% strike rates) — the market is actively opposing Twelve Bars with a credible rival whose connections outperform…
  • Twelve Bars finished second on debut; its sole form line is an AW second, meaning the SR of 159 may be inflated by a strong winner's subsequent performance rather than Twelve Bars' own merit.
  • Byzantine (SR 150) ran just 132 days ago but won its only start — an unbeaten juvenile switching to AW at Kempton could outrun its 11/2 price and upset the market leader at a big SP differential.
  • Hugo Palmer's 13% yard strike rate is below both Gosden (24%) and Boughey (18%), reducing the probability advantage the primary analyst implies from trainer quality in a competitive 2yo AW sprint.
Shortlist Twelve Bars, Lancaster Tower, Byzantine, Oldbullyoungbull
Each-way: Lancaster Tower Danger: Lancaster Tower

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade