Nottingham 14:59 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Oct 2026

Wednesday 7 October British Stallion Studs Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

British Stallion Studs Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m2f50y

Official Result

British Stallion Studs Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Foscarini (IRE) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton
    9/2
  2. 5/1
  3. Third Akaraka (GB)
    11/10F
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Worcester

13:05–16:35 · 8 races

Nottingham

13:29–17:05 · 8 races

Navan

13:45–17:18 · 8 races

Sedgefield

13:50–16:20 · 6 races

Kempton (AW)

17:00–20:30 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crown Ranger silks
Crown Ranger
Age 2 · 9-9
65334
77
80
84
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 3/1 11/4
Crown Ranger has finished fourth last time out, with a third two starts back and another third three starts back, so he's consistent, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 84 makes him the top-rated runner of five, though he's yet to win and the yard is quiet.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Kanzi silks
Kanzi
Age 2 · 9-9
215
77
71
75
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 13/2 15/2
Kanzi arrives with a win two starts back and a second three starts back, and she has run on today's going before, so she's a clear threat. The main risk is a fifth last time out and a 41-day layoff, while 135 lb is a notable burden from draw 4.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Akaraka silks
Akaraka
Age 2 · 9-4
7872
72
75
83
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
7/4 18/13 3/2
Akaraka comes here sharper after a second last time out, and he has run on today's going before, while our rating of 83 ranks him second of five. The main risk is that the 2nd sits against a seventh, an eighth and another seventh before it, so he's yet to win in his last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Foscarini silks
Foscarini
Age 2 · 8-13
5629
67
67
76
2
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 3/1
Foscarini showed his best when second two starts back, and a 42-day break gives him time to recover from a ninth last time out. He has run on today's going, and our rating of 76 sits well above his official 67, though he is yet to win in recent starts and that dip is the main worry.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Northern Viola silks
Northern Viola
Age 2 · 8-2
55741
56
68
66
2
8-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 9/4 7/2
Last-time winner who has run on today's going, but she was only fourth, seventh, fifth and fifth before that, and she is ranked last of five on our figures at 66. Fresh enough after 21 days, though that recent win leaves plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crown Ranger 3/1 open 7.00 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 3/1 Bet365
2 Kanzi 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 Paddy Power
3 Akaraka 7/4 open 2.50 6/4 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.63 7/4 Bet365
4 Foscarini 9/2 open 6.00 11/2 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 7.00 11/2 Paddy Power
5 Northern Viola 9/2 open 3.25 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crown Ranger

Speculative

Crown Ranger owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Marco Botti Silvestre De Sousa
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Akaraka

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Michael Bell
✓ Value Signal

Kanzi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

15/2 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Crown Ranger
54.5 3/1
2 3. Akaraka
54.5 7/4
3 5. Northern Viola
52.4 9/2
4 2. Kanzi
49.3 15/2
5 4. Foscarini
48.2 9/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Crown Ranger
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-4
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 8-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 8-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Crown Ranger
Confidence: Speculative

Crown Ranger (SR:80, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in this modest five-runner nursery by a clear margin — 5 points ahead of Akaraka and 9-12 points above the rest. The market has aggressively backed it in by 36%, the strongest movement in the field, signalling informed money on a Botti/De Sousa combination that carries genuine class. Carrying 9-9 is not punitive in a field where the SR leader holds such an edge, and although the GoingFit is flagged negative, the market is clearly discounting that concern. The SR advantage here is sufficient to overcome the going query on what is essentially good ground — a workmanlike rating of 80 still dominates this field. Each-way alternative: Akaraka. Main danger: Akaraka — Akaraka (SR:75, 2/1) is second in the SR rankings, carries the lightest weight among the principals at 9-4, and has Hector Crouch (18% strike rate, the best jockey stat in the field) aboard — its late improvement in form (7872, last run a second) and the 5lb weight concession from Crown Ranger give it a genuine each-way squeak despite the 21% drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 65334 — Crown Ranger has been finishing third or fourth in its last three starts, showing a horse that competes without winning rather than one building toward a win.
  • Carries top weight of 9-9 on ground flagged as a negative GoingFit — even if the market discounts it, a horse already struggling to convert placings cannot afford that extra burden on unsuitable grou…
  • Akaraka's 2/1 market position versus Crown Ranger's 11/4 suggests the track market is not fully convinced the 5-point SR gap is decisive — Akaraka has the significant weight relief of 9-4 vs 9-9.
  • Northern Viola is the only horse in the field with a recent win on its form card (Form:55741) and has received a MarkMv of +2 upward, indicating the handicapper sees improvement, threatening Crown Ra…
Shortlist Crown Ranger, Akaraka, Northern Viola
Each-way: Akaraka Danger: Akaraka

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f50y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade