Our rating of 86 ranks him second of 12, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he refused last time out and returns from a 106-day break, and is without a win in his last five starts, so reliability is the big worry from draw 8 off 140 lb.
Form last 670-09R
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR86RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Amancio has won twice in his last five starts, including a victory two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, so he is a leading threat from stall three. The risk is an unplaced run last time out, though 26 days' rest should help freshen him up.
Form last 615-310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR83RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Patrol won last time out and has been in the first three in five of his last six, while he's had only 11 days to recover and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 137 lb from draw 4, he's rated 81 by us, only fifth of 12, so he may need to repeat that peak to get involved.
Form last 6363231
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Edwin Hubble arrives in solid form, third last time out and third two starts back, with a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fresh enough after 21 days, he tops our ranking at 88 and is the one to beat, with 137 lb the only minor concern.
Form last 6725133
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR88RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Great Blasket arrives in solid shape, second last time out and third in each of the two runs before that, with a win four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 136 lb from draw 2, he's yet to get his head in front since that win, and our rating of 80 only ranks him seventh of twelve.
Form last 6761332
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR80RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Porth Eilian arrives in decent shape, second last time out and a winner four starts back, with just 18 days since her last run and experience of today's trip and going. A poor eighth two starts back and a hefty 135 lb from stall 12 temper the case, with our rating of 79 ranking her eighth of twelve.
Form last 6131382
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR79RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five, Sigliosa has been third last time out and has two other thirds in that spell, but a sixth and a fifth in between show he is short of the top level, and our figures rank him ninth of 12. He has run over today's trip and going, and 25 days since his last run is no concern, though 134 lb from stall nine is a lot to carry.
Form last 6353-63
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR78RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Double Red is winless in his last six, though a fourth last time out and a second four starts back show he is competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 132 lb from stall 11 and ranked 10 of 12 on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6442584
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sapphire Steps rates a leading danger on our figures, with an 82 rating ranking her fourth of 12 and a speed rating of 81, and she has run on today's going before. The main risk is a winless recent run, with a sixth last time out 33 days ago.
Form last 6-58406
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR82RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Kokoluna arrives in decent heart, a winner last time out and a second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. But 131 lb from stall one is a big ask, she's had 40 days off, and our figures rank her 11th of 12.
Form last 64-1421
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR74RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Plan C has been in the frame in three of his last five, including a third last time out, but he's yet to win in that spell and was unplaced and fifth in the two runs before that third. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 80 sits five above his official 75.
Form last 632-503
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR81RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Del Corso arrives in cracking form, second last time out, third two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Even so, our figures rank him last of 12, and 128 lb from stall five looks a lot to carry.
Form last 6421132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR74RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Edwin Hubble owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Brian MeehanTom Marquand
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Plan C
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Alan King✓ Value Signal
Sapphire Steps
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Richard Hannon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Edwin Hubble (SR 88, 5/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Del Corso yet carries 9-11 — 9lb more than Del Corso's 9-2 looks significant until you note the raw SR parity makes that weight spread meaningful in Del Corso's favour, but Edwin Hubble's GoingFit:+ is a decisive edge over Del Corso's GoingFit:- on today's Good going. Edwin Hubble's form string 725133 shows a clear progressive arc culminating in back-to-back wins/places, he's DistFit:+ confirming he handles this 1m2f50y trip, and Tom Marquand (16% career strike rate across 2,555 runners) is an elite booking. The market has drifted 31% which is a concern, but this may reflect the blinkers first-time flag (HG:b) creating uncertainty rather than genuine negative information, and the going advantage over Del Corso is concrete.
Each-way alternative: Double Red.
Main danger: Del Corso — Del Corso (SR 88, 9/2) matches Edwin Hubble on SR, carries 9lb less weight, has Course:W2P3 at Nottingham, DistFit:+ confirmed, and Mkt:in16% — the only concern is GoingFit:- on today's Good ground, which must be overcome but is the one reason to favour Edwin Hubble over him.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
First-time blinkers (HG:b) on a 3yo in a competitive handicap is a significant unknown — headgear can unsettle horses as easily as it sharpens them, making behaviour under pressure unpredictable.
Market drifted 31% — in a race where Del Corso has firmed 16% and Plan C 40%, the opposing money flow is pointed and sustained, suggesting stable/market intelligence is not with Edwin Hubble today.
Brian Meehan's 9% trainer strike rate is the weakest among the serious contenders; Ed Walker (Del Corso, 16%) and Alan King (Plan C, 16%) both significantly outperform him in converting market fancie…
Del Corso carries 9lb less with Course:W2P3 and a tightening market — the going advantage Edwin Hubble holds may not offset a 9lb weight concession against a rival with proven course form and positiv…
ShortlistEdwin Hubble, Del Corso, Double Red, Kokoluna