Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 6f18y
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 139 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Californian Angel | 4/1 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cartography | 28/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Castlerock Girl | 13/8 open 2.25 | 7/4 open 2.20 | 13/8 open 2.25 | 7/4 open 2.25 | 15/8 open 2.25 | 7/4 open 1.83 | 15/8 William Hill |
| 4 Cuban Promise | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hosta | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Spell Catcher | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 William Hill |
| 7 Venetian Storm | 13/8 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 5/4 open 3.75 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 8 Waterside Blue | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Venetian Storm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Castlerock Girl (SR 157, 6/5) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — her SR is 5 points ahead of the next-best Venetian Storm and 8 points clear of Spell Catcher. Crucially, she already has racecourse experience, recording a second on debut just 13 days ago at ClassMv:= level, meaning she arrives with fitness, confidence, and the physical blueprint of a horse improving sharply into her second start. Trainer Clive Cox (17% strike rate from 1,102 runners) is a proven developer of precocious 2-year-old fillies, and Rossa Ryan (18% strike rate, 2,927 rides) is an experienced booking that signals connections are serious. The even-money price reflects genuine confidence, not just field scarcity — this filly has already shown she belongs and is stepping forward. Each-way alternative: Venetian Storm. Main danger: Venetian Storm — Venetian Storm (SR 152, 10/3) is unraced but carries the second-highest SR in the field and Ed Walker is a 16% trainer who invests in well-prepared debut runners — the 8% market drift is a minor concern but her raw ability figure alone makes her the biggest threat to Castlerock Girl.