Gasmani won three starts back and was second two runs ago, so he has a strong profile, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a modest eighth last time out and a 138-day absence, with 169 lb to carry.
Form last 6/912-8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR111RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brookside La arrives with a third last time out and another third two starts back, plus a winner three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going. Against that, he's had 186 days off, carries 168 lb, and our rating of 107 ranks him only fifth of ten.
Form last 654133-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR107RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Vicki Vale has finished fourth in each of her last two starts, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our top-rated runner, she is yet to win in her last four, but a 184-day break is the one reservation, and she carries 167 lb off 109.
Form last 65P4/4-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR122RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fighting Falcon pulled up last time out and returns from a 120-day absence, and he has pulled up twice in his last five starts, which makes him hard to fancy at 163 lb. On the plus side, he won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 101 ranks him ninth of ten.
Form last 6P33-1P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR101RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Not At That Price arrives with a second last time out and a third two starts back, so he's bang in the mix, and he has run on today's going before. The one concern is a 158-day layoff, with 163 lb to carry as well.
Form last 6/263-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR110RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
October Hill has run over today's trip and going, and was second three starts back, but she's slipped to a fifth and then a sixth since, and 159 lb is a hefty burden. Back after 22 days, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 105 ranking her sixth of ten.
Form last 6-1B256
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR105RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Constantinian has been in the frame in two of his last four, a third two starts back and a second four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 118 puts him second of ten. The risk is a 155-day absence and a pulled-up effort last time out, with 159 lb to carry.
Form last 6/243-P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR118RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Roe And Co won three on the spin before being pulled up in his last two starts, and he returns after 171 days off carrying 156 lb; he has run over today's trip and going, but the layoff and recent form leave questions.
Form last 6111PP-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Maximum Benefit is winless in his last five, with an unplaced effort last time out and a fifth and a fourth before that, and he returns after 182 days off. He has run on today's going and our rating of 102 ranks him eighth of ten, so he is hard to fancy.
Form last 660450-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, Getaway With You has finished seventh in each of his last two outings and is hard to fancy, ranked last of ten on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, and 15 days since his last run keeps him fresh enough, but 150 lb is a big ask.
Form last 6445-77
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR94RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fighting Falcon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Stuart EdmundsCharlie Hammond
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Not At That Price
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Charlie Longsdon✓ Value Signal
Maximum Benefit
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Jo Davis◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fighting Falcon (SR:98, 7/2) is the most compelling selection on a convergence of signals: a 52% market steamers from morning prices is the sharpest move in the field by a considerable margin, suggesting strong stable confidence. The form string P33-1P shows a recent win at this class before a pulled-up run, and the headgear combination (tp) is retained — connections are not tinkering. Carrying 11-9 gives a 6lb weight advantage over top-weight Brookside La (12-0) and a meaningful edge on the highest SR runner in the field. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is a concern and the distance sample is thin (DistFit:?), but the explosive market move on a 5yo with a recent win overrides these reservations at 7/2.
Each-way alternative: Not At That Price.
Main danger: Brookside La — Brookside La (SR:109, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton is the strongest trainer-jockey combination present, with Skelton's 22% strike rate across 2,546 runners representing genuine class — the drift from shorter prices may reflect the 186-day layoff and poor going fitness (GoingFit:-) rather than lack of ability, and on good ground today she remains the class act on raw SR.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Fighting Falcon's last run was a pulled-up (P) — the most recent piece of form is a non-completion, and 120 days off since that DNF raises fitness questions for a horse stepping up in class.
Class rise (↑1) combined with an unknown distance suitability (DistFit:?) is a double uncertainty; Brookside La (SR:109) holds a meaningful 11-point speed rating advantage and is trained by Skelton's…
The 52% market move is eye-catching but MarkMv:+6 on the tissue suggests the opening show was already generous — the true steaming may be less dramatic than headline figures imply, and the horse has…
Not At That Price (SR:102, 11/2) carries identical weight (11-9), has a cleaner recent form string of /263-2 with no non-completions, and represents a yard (Longsdon/Sheehan, 23% jockey strike rate)…
ShortlistFighting Falcon, Brookside La, Not At That Price, October Hill