Worcester 16:05 RESULTED
Class 5 7 Oct 2026

Wednesday 7 October Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race

Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m

Official Result

Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jollie Dame (GB) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    2/1F
  2. 13/2
  3. Third Calibos (GB)
    11/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jollie Dame silks
Jollie Dame
Age 5 · 12-0
43334-
98
90
95
5
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
13/8 18/13 31/19
Jollie Dame has been consistent, with a fourth last time out, a third two starts back, and another third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner, she carries 168 lb off 98, and the one concern is a 179-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Play On Court silks
Play On Court
Age 5 · 11-10
6P46-7
94
53
82
5
11-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 20/1 16/1
Winless in his last five, Play On Court was seventh last time out and sixth two starts back, and he returns after 155 days off under 164 lb, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and on this going, but our figures rank him eighth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Calibos silks
Calibos
Age 4 · 11-8
4-3
93
76
91
4
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/2 11/1
Calibos signed off with a third last time out, and a fourth before that, and has run over today's trip, but he's yet to win in his last two starts and returns after 152 days off under a hefty 162 lb. Our rating of 91 puts him fifth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
I Heard A Rumour silks
I Heard A Rumour
Age 5 · 11-5
U74-
89
74
86
5
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 8/1 6/1
I Heard A Rumour was a fourth last time out after a seventh and an unseating before that, and she has run over today's trip, but 204 days off the track is a concern. Carrying 159 lb off 89, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 86 ranking her seventh of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Thesoldiersminit silks
Thesoldiersminit
Age 5 · 11-4
8U735-
88
68
88
5
11-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
13/2 9/1 6/1
Fifth last time out and a third two starts back show Thesoldiersminit can be competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going, but a 220-day absence and a hefty 158 lb temper the appeal. Yet to win in his last five, he looks a midfield sort on our 88 rating.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Billy Butcher silks
Billy Butcher
Age 8 · 11-3
8764/6
87
66
92
8
11-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 20/1 10/1
Billy Butcher has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 92 ranks him third of 11, comfortably above his official 87 while carrying 157 lb after a 27-day break. The risk is a form line of sixth, fourth, sixth, seventh and eighth, leaving him yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Monark Wood silks
Monark Wood
Age 4 · 11-2
0274-
87
82
87OR
4
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 6/1 9/2
Monark Wood is yet to win in his last four, but a second three starts back shows some ability, and a fourth last time out keeps him interesting; he's unexposed, open to improvement, and returns after 189 days off carrying 156 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Finjimk silks
Finjimk
Age 4 · 11-1
P78800
86
57
94
4
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 14/1
Finjimk is yet to win in his last six, but he's fit after just 11 days off and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 94 puts him second of 11 despite 155 lb on his back and an official mark of 86.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Famous Shoes silks
Famous Shoes
Age 5 · 11-0
9FPU5-
84
53
81
5
11-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 14/1
Famous Shoes is hard to fancy: he is winless in his last five, with an unseated, a pulled up and a fall in that spell, and he returns after 197 days off carrying 154 lb. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, and was fifth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Estate Planning silks
Estate Planning
Age 5 · 10-13
8405-4
83
86
91
5
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
7/2
Estate Planning arrives with a fourth last time out and a fifth the run before, while our rating of 91 ranks him fourth of 11 and sits well above his official 83, and he has run over today's trip and going. The main risk is a 113-day absence, plus 153 lb on his back and no win in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Delta Legend silks
Delta Legend
Age 6 · 10-3
P680
73
40
61
6
10-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 66/1
Delta Legend is winless in his last four, with an eighth two starts back and a sixth three starts back sandwiched by an unplaced latest effort and a pulled up, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going and was out 22 days ago, but 143 lb off 73 is a big ask, and our rating of 61 ranks him tenth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jollie Dame 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 William Hill
2 Play On Court 16/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Paddy Power
3 Calibos 11/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 Paddy Power
4 I Heard A Rumour 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 Paddy Power
5 Thesoldiersminit 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 12.00 13/2 Bet365
6 Billy Butcher 11/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 21.00 11/1 Bet365
7 Monark Wood 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
8 Finjimk 16/1 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Famous Shoes 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Paddy Power
10 Estate Planning 7/2 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 7/2 9/2 William Hill
11 Delta Legend 66/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 80/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jollie Dame

Speculative

Jollie Dame owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Estate Planning

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Bernard Llewellyn
✓ Value Signal

Delta Legend

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Sarah-Jayne Davies
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Jollie Dame
58.1 13/8
2 10. Estate Planning
53.8 7/2
3 7. Monark Wood
53.7 9/2
4 5. Thesoldiersminit
50.2 13/2
5 4. I Heard A Rumour
49.9 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jollie Dame
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 12-0
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 10-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 11-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 11-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-4
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 4 · 11-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 11-3
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Age 5 · 11-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Age 5 · 11-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Age 4 · 11-1
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jollie Dame
Confidence: Speculative

Jollie Dame (SR 90, 13/8) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying 12-0 but posting the highest SR by a meaningful margin over Estate Planning (SR 86) and Monark Wood (SR 82). The Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination is the yard's declared number-one runner here — Stable:1 flag, the senior jockey booking, and a 22%/26% trainer-jockey pairing is among the strongest in the sport. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 5 novices' handicap hurdle with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) is a strong setup, and the 2m trip suits on record. The topweight burden is the main concern, but at Class 5 level the SR advantage absorbs that penalty comfortably. Each-way alternative: Estate Planning. Main danger: Monark Wood — Monark Wood (SR 82, 7/1) has shortened 29% in the market — the most significant steamer in the field — drops one class, and at 4 years old carries only 11-2, giving it a 10lb weight advantage over Jollie Dame which is meaningful on good ground over 2m hurdles.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 179-day absence is a significant fitness concern — Jollie Dame has not raced since spring and returns cold into a handicap hurdle where match-sharpness matters.
  • Form string 43334- shows consistent placed efforts but no win in five completed starts over hurdles; the horse has a pattern of running into a place without converting.
  • Carries 12-0 as topweight — 7lb-plus over Estate Planning (10-13) and up to 11lb over the rest; at a sharp, flat Worcester track that weight concession is a genuine leveller.
  • Estate Planning (SR 86, 7/2) has raced far more recently (113 days), is market-drifting inward suggesting stable confidence, and concedes only 4 SR points while receiving 1st 1lb — a serious each-way…
Shortlist Jollie Dame, Estate Planning, Monark Wood, I Heard A Rumour
Each-way: Estate Planning Danger: Monark Wood

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Worcester Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade