Nottingham 14:29 RESULTED
Class 2 7 Oct 2026

Wednesday 7 October British Ebf Future Stayers Oath Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

British Ebf Future Stayers Oath Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m75y

Official Result

British Ebf Future Stayers Oath Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Gainful (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett
    5/6F
  2. Second Caldo (GB)
    11/2
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Caldo silks
Caldo
Age 2 · 9-7
7
—
142
—
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 17/2
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Hoshi silks
Hoshi
Age 2 · 9-7
54
—
142
—
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 10/1
SR 142 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 142 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Prince Of Petra silks
Prince Of Petra
Age 2 · 9-7
—
—
149
—
2
9-7
★★★★☆
—
4/1 5/2 3/1
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Top Scholar silks
Top Scholar
Age 2 · 9-7
—
—
150
—
2
9-7
★★★★☆
—
7/2 9/4 5/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Gainful silks
Gainful
Age 2 · 9-2
3
—
157
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
1/1 18/13 2/3
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Caldo 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
2 Hoshi 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
3 Prince Of Petra 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
4 Top Scholar 7/2 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
5 Gainful 1/1 open 2.75 10/11 open 2.38 4/6 open 2.50 4/6 open 2.38 4/5 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.38 1/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gainful

High conviction

Gainful owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/1 Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Prince Of Petra

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Hoshi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Alan King
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Gainful
72.8 1/1
2 3. Prince Of Petra
71.6 4/1
3 4. Top Scholar
69.8 7/2
4 1. Caldo
66.0 9/1
5 2. Hoshi
60.8 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Gainful
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-2
1/1
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Gainful
Confidence: Speculative

Gainful leads the field on SR at 157 — a clear 7-point edge over the next-best Top Scholar (SR 150) and Prince Of Petra (SR 149) — and carries the lightest weight at 9-2, giving a 5lb pull over the rest. The market has shortened 8% since opening to 5/4, signalling late confidence despite stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1). Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate, 1,707 runners) and Rossa Ryan (18%, 2,927 runners) is a strong combination on a stable horse that finished third on debut 18 days ago — a typical pattern for a Beckett stayer improving sharply on first outing. Each-way alternative: Top Scholar. Main danger: Top Scholar — Top Scholar (SR 150, 11/4) is trained by William Haggas (23% career strike rate — the highest in this field) and ridden by Tom Marquand; an unraced debutant from that yard on a mile-plus novice is a serious threat, and while it drifted 7% it remains the second-shortest price in the race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Top Scholar and Prince Of Petra are both unraced debutants from Haggas (23% SR) and Varian (20% SR) — two of the sharpest stables with juveniles, meaning unknown upside could comfortably eclipse Gain…
  • Gainful's only run was a third-place debut finish; with just one race on the clock, the SR of 157 is built on thin data and may overstate true ability relative to unexposed rivals.
  • At 5/4 Gainful is a short-priced favourite stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) with a single third-place run as its sole evidence — the market is offering little margin for error if either debutant sho…
  • Top Scholar drifted only 7% and Prince Of Petra 19% — moderate moves that suggest stable confidence in both, keeping the race genuinely competitive despite Gainful's weight advantage.
Shortlist Gainful, Top Scholar, Prince Of Petra
Each-way: Top Scholar Danger: Top Scholar

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m75y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade