Worcester 14:05 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Oct 2026

Wednesday 7 October Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)

Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race) · 2m

Official Result

Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dundee Law (GB) Harry Atkins · Dan Skelton
    13/8F
  2. 11/4
  3. 125/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Worcester

13:05–16:35 · 8 races

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17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lucky Bailly silks
Lucky Bailly
Age 5 · 11-4
7P-
—
69
—
5
11-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 33/1
Lightly raced and yet to win, Lucky Bailly was pulled up last time out and a seventh two starts back, and he returns after 223 days off. Unexposed and open to improvement, he runs off 158 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

2
Rob Farmer silks
Rob Farmer
Age 5 · 11-4
5
—
62
93
5
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 33/1 22/1
Rob Farmer has run over today's trip and on this going, and he returns off a 92-day break after a fifth last time out, with 158 lb the burden. Our rating has him fourth of ten, but he is yet to win in recent form, and the layoff is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Royalty Row'd silks
Royalty Row'd
Age 5 · 11-4
34
—
105
104
5
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 3/1 5/1
Royalty Row'd arrives with a fourth last time out, and a third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 104 ranks him second of ten. The main risk is a 110-day absence under 158 lb, though he remains yet to win in recent form.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Whiteoak Duffy silks
Whiteoak Duffy
Age 5 · 11-4
0-
—
60
90
5
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1 33/1 150/1
Whiteoak Duffy was unplaced last time out and returns after 473 days off, which is a big ask for a gelding yet to win in recent form, though he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Carrying 158 lb adds to the burden, and our rating of 90 puts him fifth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Arising Hill silks
Arising Hill
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
68
—
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1 50/1 150/1
Arising Hill is an unexposed debutant with no recorded form to go on, so he's open to any amount of improvement. He carries 157 lb, and his first run should tell us plenty about his profile.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Dundee Law silks
Dundee Law
Age 4 · 11-3
32-
—
97
96
4
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 18/13 32/17
Dundee Law booked a second last time out and a third two starts back, so he arrives yet to win in that spell but consistently in the frame, and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 96 ranks him third of ten, though 199 days off and 157 lb are the main risks.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Himayta silks
Himayta
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
68
—
4
11-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 12/1 33/1
Himayta is unexposed, with no recorded form to go on, so he arrives open to improvement on debut. He carries 157 lb, and there is little to assess beyond that until he shows what he can do on the track.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Mick The Yank silks
Mick The Yank
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
90
—
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 8/1 7/2
Mick The Yank is unexposed with no recorded form to go on, so this gelding is an unknown quantity. He carries 157 lb, and with so little on his record there should be plenty of room for improvement.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Lower De Couely silks
Lower De Couely
Age 5 · 10-11
1
—
97
—
5
10-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 7/2 6/1
Lower De Couely won last time out, her only recent start, though she returns after 152 days off. Carrying 151 lb, she is unexposed and open to further improvement, with the layoff the obvious question.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Crystalate silks
Crystalate
Age 4 · 10-10
4-2
—
110
105
4
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 5/4 32/17
Crystalate bids to build on a second last time out, with a fourth two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in her last two starts and 149 days off, but our top-rated runner at 105 looks the one to beat despite 150 lb.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lucky Bailly 66/1 33/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
2 Rob Farmer 33/1 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
3 Royalty Row'd 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Whiteoak Duffy 150/1 open 34.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 Bet365
5 Arising Hill 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 Bet365
6 Dundee Law 15/8 open 3.75 9/4 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 9/4 Paddy Power
7 Himayta 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Mick The Yank 11/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 7/2 open 10.00 11/2 Bet365
9 Lower De Couely 7/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 6/1 7/1 Bet365
10 Crystalate 9/4 open 2.25 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crystalate

Live signal

Crystalate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Olly Murphy H. J. Horgan(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dundee Law

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Himayta

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Henry Oliver
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Crystalate
60.7 9/4
2 6. Dundee Law
60.6 15/8
3 3. Royalty Row'd
58.5 11/2
4 9. Lower De Couely
55.9 7/1
5 8. Mick The Yank
54.9 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dundee Law
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 11-3
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 10-10
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 11-3
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 10-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dundee Law
Confidence: Speculative

Dundee Law (SR:97, 13/8) is trained by Dan Skelton, the standout yard in this field with a 22% career strike rate from 2,546 runners — comfortably the strongest handler here. The booking of a conditional (Harry Atkins) fits the race conditions and Skelton regularly wins these NH Flat contests with well-schooled types. The form of 32- in bumpers shows genuine ability and a consistent level of performance, and at SR:97 he sits second in the field on raw ability. Royalty Row'd (SR:105) carries the highest SR but steps up in class, was beaten into 3rd and 4th in prior bumpers, and crucially has drifted — whereas Dundee Law holds a solid market position at 13/8, consistent with Skelton placing a horse he fancies. Each-way alternative: Royalty Row'd. Main danger: Royalty Row'd — Royalty Row'd carries the highest SR in the field at 105, has steamed in 50% in the market, and Mickey Bowen's 16% strike rate with Rian Corcoran claiming could see this step-up in class handled comfortably if the raw ability translates.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Dundee Law has been off for 199 days — the longest layoff of any fancied runner — and bumper debutants/returning horses at Worcester often need a run to hit peak fitness.
  • His form of 32- shows he has never actually won a bumper; the dash at the end suggests a below-par latest run, meaning he heads here winless and arguably regressing.
  • Crystalate (SR:110, 9/4) posts the highest raw ability in the field, is trained by Olly Murphy (24% strike rate, superior to Skelton's 22%), and has been freshened up over 149 days — a sharper, class…
  • Jockey Harry Atkins (5) has only an 11% strike rate from 146 rides — notably below the field's stronger conditional bookings — and conditional jockeys with limited experience can be exposed in compet…
Shortlist Dundee Law, Royalty Row'd, Crystalate, Lower De Couely
Each-way: Royalty Row'd Danger: Royalty Row'd

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Worcester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade