Dad Sez
High convictionDad Sez owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle · 2m4f0y
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Clay Pigeons | 11/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Coral |
| 2 Dad Sez | 7/2 open 2.75 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Roc Dino | 4/6 open 2.63 | 4/6 open 1.80 | 8/13 open 1.83 | 8/13 open 1.83 | 4/6 open 1.83 | 4/6 open 1.83 | 4/6 Bet365 |
| 4 Rosie's Wings | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Goeasyonme | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 I Can Find Em | 150/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 open 51.00 | 200/1 open 51.00 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dad Sez owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Roc Dino (SR 135, 5/6) is the Mullins yard's #1 runner, confirmed by Paul Townend's booking — Townend strikes at 38% from 887 rides, a devastating record — while stablemate Clay Pigeons draws Brian Hayes (10%). The market has backed Roc Dino in 7% since opening, in direct contrast to Clay Pigeons drifting 24%, signalling clear yard intent. A recent form line of 220-12 shows consistent placed efforts culminating in a win last time, and running off the same mark (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that success. The Mullins yard at 26% career strike rate with their first jockey aboard a horse showing improvement through the form string is a formidable combination in a modest novice hurdle. Each-way alternative: Rosie's Wings. Main danger: Dad Sez — Dad Sez carries the highest SR in the field at 154 with Jack Kennedy (22% strike rate) aboard for Gordon Elliott (18%), and despite a 19% market drift, a last-time-out win from a form line reading U51 suggests a horse capable of winning this grade if the drift reflects market noise rather than a genuine negative.