British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Al Samsama | 11/2 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 2 Polyxena | 11/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Betfred |
| 3 Bymiddaytomorrow | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 17/2 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Sierra Belle | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Tie A Navyribbon | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Zephyra | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Kiah | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Next of Kin | 15/2 open 9.50 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 Paddy Power |
| 9 Tansy Lane | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Marsala | 11/2 open 12.00 | 6/1 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 6/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Fire Thunder | 7/2 open 8.50 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 3/1 open 8.00 | 3/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 8.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bymiddaytomorrow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (61). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fire Thunder (SR 90, 4/1, 8-8) is the top-rated horse in the field and carries the lightest weight among the leading contenders — a significant lbs edge over Sierra Belle (9-5), Al Samsama (9-9) and Polyxena (9-6). The double going and distance confirmation (GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+) is the only such combination in the field, and the market has shortened 42% since opening — the strongest steaming signal alongside Marsala. The form string '222152' shows consistent competitiveness at a high level with a recent win (the '1' two runs ago) and only a 1lb rise in the mark. Marco Botti's yard identifies Fire Thunder as its #1 runner given the superior SR over stablemate Zephyra (SR 84), and Silvestre De Sousa takes the ride over the less proven booking on Zephyra. Each-way alternative: Zephyra. Main danger: Zephyra — Zephyra (SR 84, 17/2) has steamed 31% in the market, carries 9-1 — a comfortable weight — and Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, the highest jockey strike rate in the field) takes the ride, which in a Botti two-runner situation is a significant booking signal that Murphy has chosen this one.