Southwell (AW) 17:55 RESULTED
Class 4 26 Sep 2026

Saturday 26 September Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 4f215y

Official Result

Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Moulin Booj (IRE) Darragh Keenan · George Scott
    14/1
  2. 40/1
  3. 7/2
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Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Fidelius silks
Fidelius
Age 5 · 10-0
256026
87
80
89
5
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 14/1
Fidelius shaped with promise when second two starts back and has run over today's distance and going, giving him a solid profile at 140 lb from stall 8, yet his winless recent run of six starts is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kylian silks
Kylian
Age 5 · 9-12
860456
85
87
95
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 4/1 7/2
Winless in his last six starts, Kylian nonetheless rates significantly clear of his rivals on our figures and has experience over today's trip and conditions, while a 14-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh; the 138 lb burden is the one thing to factor in.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Michaela's Boy silks
Michaela's Boy
Age 6 · 9-11
671845
84
77
88
6
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 8/1 11/1
Michaela's Boy won four starts back but has struggled since, finishing fifth last time out and eighth three starts back, so consistency is the concern; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 14 days since his last outing suggests he arrives fresh enough from stall one carrying 137 lb.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Right And Exact silks
Right And Exact
Age 4 · 9-11
2-8116
84
90
89
4
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 7/1
Right And Exact won two of his last five starts, with back-to-back victories two and three runs back, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; carrying 137 lb from stall five, the chief concern is whether a 63-day absence has left him short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Moulin Booj silks
Moulin Booj
Age 6 · 9-11
325215
84
88
87
6
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 9/2 10/1
Moulin Booj won two starts back and was second three starts back, showing he can mix it at this level, but a fifth last time out after a 43-day break and 137 lb to carry are the checks on his claims, though he has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Hypnotised silks
Hypnotised
Age 3 · 9-9
1-7223
83
94
85
3
9-9
★★★★☆
—
6/4 9/4 6/5
Ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Hypnotised makes it hard to build a case, though he arrives in decent nick with consecutive placed efforts and a third last time out; his one win in recent starts came five starts back, and he has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Canon's House silks
Canon's House
Age 5 · 9-7
063470
80
90
89
5
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 15/2 10/3
Winless in his last six starts, Canon's House nevertheless catches the eye ranked second of nine on our figures, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour from stall four; the main risk is a trainer whose string is out of form at just 4% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
True Promise silks
True Promise
Age 5 · 9-6
015970
79
58
85
5
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 20/1 18/1
True Promise has managed just one win in his last six starts, and ranked eighth of nine on our figures he faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a manageable 20-day break.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Paradise Walk silks
Paradise Walk
Age 3 · 9-4
411408
78
69
79
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 22/1
Back-to-back victories four and five starts back give some hope, but Paradise Walk has managed only an eighth and an unplaced run in her last two outings, and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, she faces a stiff ask off 130 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Fidelius 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Paddy Power
2 Kylian 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Michaela's Boy 18/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 Paddy Power
4 Right And Exact 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 9/1 Coral
5 Moulin Booj 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 5.50 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 Betfred
6 Hypnotised 6/4 open 3.25 11/8 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 11/8 open 3.25 6/5 open 3.25 6/4 Bet365
7 Canon's House 9/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 11.00 10/3 open 8.50 10/3 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 9/2 Bet365
8 True Promise 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Paradise Walk 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hypnotised

Speculative

Hypnotised owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Harry Charlton Daniel Muscutt
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kylian

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Robert Cowell
✓ Value Signal

True Promise

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Fionn McSharry
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Hypnotised
56.1 6/4
2 2. Kylian
54.7 9/2
3 7. Canon's House
53.7 9/2
4 4. Right And Exact
52.5 7/1
5 5. Moulin Booj
51.7 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Canon's House
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-9
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 94 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 5 · 9-12
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-11
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-11
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Canon's House
Confidence: Speculative

Canon's House (SR 90, 9/2) is the standout value pick on market signals alone — a 37% market move inward is the most dramatic market confidence indicator in this field, dwarfing every other runner's movement. Dropping one class with a 6lb mark reduction since last win gives connections a genuine handicap edge, and a Course:W1P3 record at Southwell confirms specialist track form on an AW circuit where course familiarity matters. At 9/2 with blinkers applied for focus, the combination of market steam, class drop, mark drop, and course record is the strongest multi-signal case in the race. Hypnotised (SR 94, 9/4) is the only horse with a higher SR but carries this class drop without the course specialisation or market confidence, and the 9/4 price compresses value significantly. Each-way alternative: Hypnotised. Main danger: Hypnotised — Hypnotised holds the highest SR in the field at 94, drops one class, and carries the lightest weight among the serious contenders at 9-9, giving it a genuine ability-to-weight advantage that could override Canon's House's market edge.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads 063470 — that '0' last time out (13 days ago) means Canon's House was pulled up or last, showing zero visible improvement heading into today.
  • Moulin Booj shares the identical Course:W1P3 Southwell record, carries only 4lb more, and is trained by George Scott who runs at a 20% strike rate — stronger handler edge negates the course-form adva…
  • Hypnotised (SR 94) has a higher speed figure and the 9/4 favourite is trained by Harry Charlton (16%) with Daniel Muscutt (14%) aboard — that combination of superior SR and top jockey/trainer stats i…
  • The HG flag 'b' (blinkers) is being applied today, suggesting connections themselves acknowledge a focus or attitude problem — a first-time equipment change after a non-completion adds execution risk…
Shortlist Canon's House, Hypnotised, Right And Exact, Kylian
Each-way: Hypnotised Danger: Hypnotised

🗺 The Course Class 4

4f215y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade