Ripon 14:16 RESULTED
Class 4 26 Sep 2026

Saturday 26 September Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m

Official Result

Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Aphra Behn (GB) Jason Hart · Ralph Beckett
    15/8F
  2. 5/1
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Zarakova silks
Zarakova
Age 2 · 9-9
6215
80
80
75
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 2/1 4/1
Beaten fifth last time out makes Zarakova hard to fancy on our figures, where she ranks fifth of six, though a win two starts back shows she can find the winner's enclosure, and she has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Forest Berry silks
Forest Berry
Age 2 · 9-6
424114
77
87
87
2
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
3/1 4/1 5/2
Forest Berry won two of her last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three runs back, and returns on a fresh 21-day break with experience of today's distance and going in her favour; drawn in stall one carrying 132 lb, she looks well-placed to go close again.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Palace Legacy silks
Palace Legacy
Age 2 · 9-4
382
75
76
68
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 7/4 3/1
Palace Legacy is winless in his last three starts and ranks last on our figures, with a speed rating only a little below the top-rated runner; that eighth two starts back is a particular concern, and carrying 130 lb makes life harder still, though the experience over today's trip and going, plus a third three starts back, offer slim crumbs of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Cash Cove silks
Cash Cove
Age 2 · 9-1
441304
72
75
80
2
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 17/2
Placed third three starts back and a winner four starts back, Cash Cove has experience of both today's trip and conditions and rates 8 lb clear of her official mark — the main risk is whether 42 days off the track has left her short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Statten Island silks
Statten Island
Age 2 · 9-1
4446
72
64
87
2
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 14/1
Winless in his last four starts, Statten Island nonetheless rates narrowly top of our figures and has experience of today's going, while 127 lb and the lack of a recent finish better than fourth are the obstacles to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Aphra Behn silks
Aphra Behn
Age 2 · 8-9
3243
66
85
75
2
8-9
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 11/4 21/13
Aphra Behn shaped with promise when third last time out and second three starts back, and with experience over today's trip and going she looks a genuine danger here; the concern is that she remains yet to win in recent starts and a 50-day absence leaves her fitness to prove.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Zarakova 11/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.00 11/2 Bet365
2 Forest Berry 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.00 5/2 open 7.00 5/2 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 William Hill
3 Palace Legacy 10/3 open 2.75 3/1 open 3.00 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 3/1 open 2.88 10/3 Bet365
4 Cash Cove 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Statten Island 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Aphra Behn 15/8 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 2/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Forest Berry

Speculative

Forest Berry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Aphra Behn

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Statten Island

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Forest Berry
56.8 3/1
2 6. Aphra Behn
55.4 15/8
3 1. Zarakova
49.7 11/2
4 3. Palace Legacy
49.3 10/3
5 4. Cash Cove
47.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Aphra Behn
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 2 · 8-9
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-6
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Aphra Behn
Confidence: Speculative

Aphra Behn (SR 85, 9/4) combines the second-highest SR in the field with the lowest weight at 8-9 — a meaningful lbs advantage over Forest Berry (SR 87, 9-6) and Zarakova (SR 80, 9-9). Crucially, the market has backed her in 28% from her opening price, the strongest positive market move in the race, signalling informed money. She is proven at today's 1m trip (DistFit:+), drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate, 1665 runners) is a high-quality handler who rarely wastes a juvenile at a course trip without intent. The 50-day gap is the one reservation, but Beckett's yard runs fit horses off breaks and the market clearly disagrees that it is a problem. Each-way alternative: Forest Berry. Main danger: Forest Berry — Forest Berry (SR 87, 6/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has confirmed form at this trip on this going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), and a recent form string of 424114 shows a winning sequence — the class rise and +12lb mark are real questions, but Sir Mark Prescott's 19% strike rate means his horses rarely run without being ready.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Aphra Behn's last four runs show a form sequence of 3-2-4-3 — she has never won a race, and her sole placed effort at today's trip still ended in defeat; she may be a perennial runner-up type.
  • Forest Berry (SR 87) holds a clear ratings advantage and arrives on a hat-trick of wins (form 424114, last three: 4-1-1), bringing genuine winning momentum that Aphra Behn's form entirely lacks.
  • The 50-day absence is a concrete concern: Aphra Behn is a 2yo in September, meaning she has been off since late July during a key developmental period, and her unbeaten-yard narrative is unproven at…
  • Palace Legacy is the same price (9/4) yet has drifted only 20% out vs Aphra Behn's 28% in — but Palace Legacy's trainer James Tate (18%) and jockey Connor Beasley (14%) combo at Ripon deserves equal…
Shortlist Aphra Behn, Forest Berry, Palace Legacy
Each-way: Forest Berry Danger: Forest Berry

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade