Newmarket 13:55 RESULTED
Class 1 26 Sep 2026

Saturday 26 September Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2)

Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) · 1m0f0y

1 cub picking Leading: Burning Up (100%) Join the pack
Official Result

Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Haffner (USA) Ryan Moore · Aidan O'Brien
    7/4F
  2. 6/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 1 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Burning Up silks
Burning Up
Age 2 · 9-2
11
97
110
102
2
9-2
★★★★☆
1
7/2 5/2 3/1
Burning Up arrives on the back of back-to-back victories and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a serious threat at 128 lb from stall seven; the sole question is whether that weight blunts his momentum.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
First Law silks
First Law
Age 2 · 9-2
11
101
106
88
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
7/2 11/4 7/2
Rated well below his official mark on our figures and ranked last of seven, First Law faces a stiff ask at the weights carrying 128 lb, yet back-to-back wins give him obvious confidence and he has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Haffner silks
Haffner
Age 2 · 9-2
21217
—
137
128
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
7/2 FCST 10/3
Haffner won two of his last five starts, most recently a seventh but with a win two starts back, and has experience of today's trip and going; drawn four carrying 128 lb, his rating of 128 marks him as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Iwasjustsaying silks
Iwasjustsaying
Age 2 · 9-2
12
86
75
98
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 25/1 20/1
Shaped well last time out when runner-up, and a winner two starts back, so he arrives in decent nick after 18 days; has run over today's trip, though carrying 128 lb from stall one and ranked fifth of seven on our rating leaves him with ground to make up.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Quest For Stars silks
Quest For Stars
Age 2 · 9-2
1113
105
124
120
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Quest For Stars arrives on the back of three wins in his last four starts, including a victory two starts back, and he steps up here over familiar distance and going conditions just 14 days fresh — the main query is whether that third last time out hints at vulnerability against the top-rated runner.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Quicken Away silks
Quicken Away
Age 2 · 9-2
21
—
99
95
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 6/1 11/2
Ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Quicken Away faces a stiff ask here despite winning last time out and a second the start before that; he has run over today's trip and returns after 18 days, but the rating of 95 makes it hard to fancy against stronger.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Rocket Boy silks
Rocket Boy
Age 2 · 9-2
132
100
101
118
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 14/1
Rocket Boy shaped with real promise when third two starts back before winning three starts back, and returns here on a retrieval mission after his runner-up effort last time; the main risk is whether he can recapture that winning form carrying 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Burning Up 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 4/1 Paddy Power
2 First Law 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
3 Haffner 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 7/2 7/2 Bet365
4 Iwasjustsaying 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Quest For Stars 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 4/1 Bet365
6 Quicken Away 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 Bet365
7 Rocket Boy 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Haffner

Live signal

Haffner owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (76) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Aidan O'Brien Ryan Moore
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Quest For Stars

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Charlie Appleby
✓ Value Signal

Iwasjustsaying

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
76 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Haffner
68.3 7/2
2 5. Quest For Stars
61.6 4/1
3 2. First Law
58.0 7/2
4 1. Burning Up
57.9 7/2
5 6. Quicken Away
56.1 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Haffner
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Burning Up is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 110 🐾 1

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 137 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Haffner
Confidence: Speculative

Haffner (SR 137) is the clear class standout in this field, rated 13 points clear of the next-best Quest For Stars (SR 124) and comfortably ahead of the duelling 3/1 shots Burning Up and First Law (SR 110 and 106 respectively). Crucially, Haffner brings proven course form (W1P1 at Newmarket), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), and confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+) — the only runner in the field to tick all three boxes. Ryan Moore, striking at 24% career strike rate, is the strongest jockey booking here, and the 4/1 price represents fair value given the SR superiority. The concern is the last-run figure of 7 in a form string of 21217, but read right-to-left the sequence shows 7-1-2-1-2 — meaning the '7' is the oldest run and the horse has been consistently competitive since, finishing 2nd last time out at Group level, which is no disgrace. Each-way alternative: Quest For Stars. Main danger: Quest For Stars — Quest For Stars (SR 124, 4/1) is the Appleby yard's #1 runner given the market support (in 6% vs First Law's 7% drift), has proven distance fitness, a form string showing three wins before last run, and Appleby's 34% strike rate means a well-prepared runner cannot be dismissed despite the 12lb rise in mark since last win.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Quest For Stars is drifting in 6% with a +12 MarkMv rating boost and stable companion First Law both shortening — Charlie Appleby fires a coordinated two-pronged raiding party suggesting stable confi…
  • Haffner finished 2nd last time at Group level which sounds fine, but at 4/1 the market offers no compression (no 'Mkt:in' flag), whereas Quest For Stars is steaming in — raw SR lead may already be pr…
  • Both 3/1 market principals Burning Up and First Law are unbeaten juveniles (Form:11 each) with Williams Buick and Clifford Lee, and both have drifted together suggesting layered opposition money rath…
Shortlist Haffner, Quest For Stars, Burning Up, First Law
Each-way: Quest For Stars Danger: Quest For Stars

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade