Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes · 7f15y
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 41 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Midsummer Storm | 28/1 | 25/1 | — | — | — | — | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Packetofbiscuits | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Forest Caper | 11/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Coral |
| 3 Be Frank | 13/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 9.50 | 6/1 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 7/1 Coral |
| 4 Thapa VC | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mystical Storm | 9/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 6 Justice Court | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 7 Caragio | 7/2 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Beauzon | 50/1 | 30/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Decem Starr | 20/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 11 You Will See | 28/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Newsreader | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 Coral |
| 13 Bundok | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Kiani King | 5/1 open 13.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Caragio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Be Frank (SR:75, 11/2) carries a competitive weight of 9-10 and has steamed in 31% in the market — the most significant market move in the race — which is a strong signal from connections. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) makes this significantly easier company and Ian Williams is running two in the race; Be Frank holds the stronger market support and the more experienced jockey booking in Jack Callan, making him the yard's clear #1. The DistFit:- is a concern at 7f15y, but the class drop and the dramatic market support override this on a track where fitness and confidence matter more than raw trip suitability. At 11/2, the market move from longer odds represents genuine value given the class relief. Each-way alternative: Caragio. Main danger: Caragio — Caragio holds the highest SR in the field at 83 and has shortened 13% in the market at a competitive 7/2, though GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns that could stop it winning outright but it retains enough raw ability to threaten at a shorter price.