Ripon 14:49 RESULTED
Class 4 26 Sep 2026

Saturday 26 September Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap Stakes

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Accrual (GB) William Pyle · Ruth Carr
    4/1F
  2. 8/1
  3. 6/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:22–16:50 · 7 races

Curragh

13:30–17:25 · 8 races

Haydock

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Ripon

13:44–17:45 · 9 races

Market Rasen

14:30–18:00 · 7 races

Listowel

14:45–18:05 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tiva silks
Tiva
Age 4 · 10-3
463141
85
86
84
4
10-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 11/2
Tiva won last time out and was a winner three starts back too, showing a sharp profile over the past six runs, and she has experience of today's trip and going to call on. Drawn in stall one carrying 143 lb, the weight she shoulders is the chief question.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Hiya Maite silks
Hiya Maite
Age 8 · 9-12
62-473
80
78
88
8
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 11/2 13/2
Placed third last time out and a runner-up four starts back, Hiya Maite brings solid recent form into this, and his rating of 88 — ranking him second in the field — underlines his strong claims, though the fact he's yet to score in his last five starts is the nagging concern.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Equity Law silks
Equity Law
Age 5 · 9-12
602118
80
78
82
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 9/1 6/1
Equity Law won back-to-back races in his last six starts but disappointed on his most recent outing just 13 days ago, and that bounce-back effort needs monitoring here. He has experience of today's trip and going, carries 138 lb from stall 14, and sits mid-division in the ratings.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Mighty Magnus silks
Mighty Magnus
Age 3 · 9-12
535025
81
75
90
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 8/1 17/2
Mighty Magnus arrives here in good nick after finishing second two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid grounding for this assignment; yet to win in recent starts, but his rating of 90 tops this field of 15 and he commands respect drawn in stall 12 off 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Rock of England silks
Rock of England
Age 6 · 9-12
214413
80
77
78
6
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 6/1
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Rock of England arrives in fair nick on a 13-day turnaround and has run over today's trip and going before, but carrying 138 lb from stall 13 with our rating edging just below his official mark suggests he faces a stiff ask here.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Kinetic Force silks
Kinetic Force
Age 4 · 9-11
-43107
79
75
81
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 9/1 13/2
Kinetic Force has run over today's trip and going, and a win three starts back shows he can find the line, but back-to-back disappointing efforts since — including a seventh last time out — make him a harder sell at 137 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Angel Numbers silks
Angel Numbers
Age 3 · 9-9
411079
78
53
77
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1
Three consecutive runs without a finish in the frame make Angel Numbers hard to fancy on current form, though she has won twice in her last six starts and has run over today's distance and going before, giving her some profile to work with.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Winchurch silks
Winchurch
Age 4 · 9-8
614108
76
51
77
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Winchurch has won twice in his last six starts, but ranked 11 of 15 on our figures and eighth last time out, he arrives with little to recommend him at face value; experience over today's trip and going at least means conditions hold no surprises.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Accrual silks
Accrual
Age 5 · 9-8
051375
76
79
82
5
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 10/1 4/1
Third three starts back and a winner four starts back, Accrual has shown enough ability to engage, but fifth last time out and a modest recent profile temper confidence; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 134 lb from stall 15, and returns on a sharp ten-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Emerald Harmony silks
Emerald Harmony
Age 5 · 9-7
123667
75
66
85
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 11/1
Emerald Harmony showed real ability when placing third and filling the runner-up spot four and five starts back respectively, and she returns on a quick turnaround with distance and going experience in her favour; the risk is that three consecutive disappointing runs since suggest she may need things to fall right.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Our Absent Friends silks
Our Absent Friends
Age 8 · 9-6
191533
74
74
80
8
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 12/1
Placed third in each of his last two starts, Our Absent Friends arrives fit on an 18-day break with experience over today's trip and going, though he carries 132 lb from stall eight and has been inconsistent in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Emperor Caradoc silks
Emperor Caradoc
Age 7 · 9-2
624400
70
59
77
7
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 20/1 14/1
Yet to score in his last six starts, Emperor Caradoc heads here just 10 days after his latest effort, bringing experience over today's trip and conditions; a second five starts back offers some encouragement, but two consecutive unplaced runs and a rating of 70 leave him with plenty to prove from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

13
Mark's Choice silks
Mark's Choice
Age 10 · 9-1
243627
69
67
71
10
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 10/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Mark's Choice is winless in his last six starts and finished a well-beaten seventh last time out, making him hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going, and a consistent second two starts back offering scant consolation.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Canaria Queen silks
Canaria Queen
Age 6 · 8-10
282254
64
64
72
6
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 14/1 18/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 14 of 15 on our figures, Canaria Queen faces a stiff task, though a second three starts back and her experience over today's trip and going offer slim crumbs of comfort returning quickly on 11 days' rest.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Intervention silks
Intervention
Age 9 · 8-9
087703
63
63
72
9
8-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 7/1 11/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a pair of sevenths, an eighth, and two unplaced efforts preceding a modest third last time out, Intervention is hard to fancy from stall 2 carrying 121 lb, and ranked 13 of 15 on our figures despite the return after 45 days and distance-and-going experience offering slim comfort.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tiva 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Coral
2 Hiya Maite 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 7/1 7/1 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 Paddy Power
3 Equity Law 7/1 open 17.00 6/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365
4 Mighty Magnus 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 9/1 Bet365
5 Rock of England 7/1 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 Coral
6 Kinetic Force 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 15/2 Coral
7 Angel Numbers 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 Coral
8 Winchurch 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Accrual 9/2 open 13.00 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 9/2 Bet365
10 Emerald Harmony 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Our Absent Friends 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
12 Emperor Caradoc 16/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365
13 Mark's Choice 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
14 Canaria Queen 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
15 Intervention 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tiva

Speculative

Tiva owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 David O'Meara Conor Whiteley(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hiya Maite

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Roy Bowring
✓ Value Signal

Angel Numbers

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Ruth Carr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Tiva
54.5 11/2
2 2. Hiya Maite
52.7 13/2
3 5. Rock of England
50.7 7/1
4 4. Mighty Magnus
50.6 9/1
5 9. Accrual
50.0 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Accrual
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 5 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-11
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 9 · 8-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 8 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 10 · 9-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

14
Age 6 · 8-10
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Accrual
Confidence: Speculative

Accrual (SR:79, 8/1) is the standout mover in the market, having steamed in by 32% — the most significant market move in the field by some margin — suggesting strong stable confidence from the Ruth Carr yard. At 9-8, Accrual carries the joint-lightest weight among the serious contenders, providing a meaningful lbs advantage over Tiva (10-3) and the 9-12 group. The form string 051375 shows a recent third and fifth, consistent with a horse building into form, and GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ confirm no obvious surface or trip concerns on today's 5f good ground at Ripon. Ruth Carr's yard has three runners here, but Accrual's 32% market steam versus Kinetic Force's neutral market marks it clearly as the yard's number-one runner. Each-way alternative: Tiva. Main danger: Tiva — Tiva (SR:86, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and holds Course:W1P1 at Ripon, and despite drifting 20% — which warrants caution — the superior SR and proven course form make it the most dangerous rival if the market drift is merely positional rather than informational.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Accrual's form string 051375 contains a '0' (non-finisher or last) and the recent placings are a third and fifth in likely weaker company — no win in this sequence to confirm readiness.
  • Jockey William Pyle has a 9% strike rate, the weakest of any significant contender's rider, and is notably less accomplished than Conor Whiteley (Tiva) or Jason Hart (Rock of England) on a horse need…
  • Tiva (SR:86, 5/1) holds a 7-point speed rating advantage, has recent course form (W1P1), and its market drift of 20% out is less concerning than Accrual's SR deficit — Accrual has the lower raw abili…
  • Ruth Carr has three runners in this race; with Stable:2 shared between Kinetic Force, Angel Numbers, and Accrual, stable confidences may be split, and the 32% steam could partly reflect lay-off money…
Shortlist Accrual, Tiva, Rock of England, Our Absent Friends
Each-way: Tiva Danger: Tiva

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade