Ripon 16:40 RESULTED
Class 6 26 Sep 2026

Saturday 26 September Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f

Official Result

Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Angel Summer (IRE) Jason Hart · Patrick Owens
    8/1
  2. Second Taygar (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 9/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:22–16:50 · 7 races

Curragh

13:30–17:25 · 8 races

Haydock

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Ripon

13:44–17:45 · 9 races

Market Rasen

14:30–18:00 · 7 races

Listowel

14:45–18:05 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kings Merchant silks
Kings Merchant
Age 5 · 10-0
821451
65
71
71
5
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 3/1 5/1
Kings Merchant brings winning form to the table, scoring most recently and also a winner four starts back, and 18 days between runs leaves him arriving fresh; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 140 lb is the one query, though the overall profile makes him our pick here.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Liverpool Star silks
Liverpool Star
Age 3 · 9-12
145490
65
62
74
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 13/2 9/1
Liverpool Star brings strong claims on ratings, ranked top of the 10 runners here, and has run over today's trip and going, but his recent form has been patchy — unplaced last time out and winless in his last five starts — while a trainer strike-rate of just 4% over the past fortnight is the principal concern.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Valentine Catcher silks
Valentine Catcher
Age 5 · 9-11
397233
62
71
67
5
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 10/3 9/4
Consistent and threatening, Valentine Catcher has finished third, third, and second in his last three starts, bringing strong recent form into this contest; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 67 gives him solid claims, though the main risk is he remains yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Dream Deal silks
Dream Deal
Age 7 · 9-9
274077
60
44
62
7
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 11/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts, Dream Deal at least showed a hint of ability when second a run back, though the subsequent pair of sevenths and an unplaced effort give pause; he has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb from stall five makes a return to form a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Solar Cooper silks
Solar Cooper
Age 3 · 9-8
801696
61
40
65
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/1 25/1
Solar Cooper won four starts back but has finished sixth, ninth, and sixth in his three most recent outings, and 74 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before, and his rating of 65 offers a small edge over his official mark.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Taygar silks
Taygar
Age 5 · 9-8
242699
59
63
66
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 8/1 7/1
Taygar has shown she can mix it at this level, finishing second twice in recent starts, and she has experience over today's trip and going, with a rating of 66 suggesting she holds claims; the worry is her last two runs were ninths, and she arrives winless in her last six.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hurstwood silks
Hurstwood
Age 9 · 9-6
604711
57
70
61
9
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 7/2 9/2
Hurstwood arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and 17 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour, but a speed rating of 54 and ranking eighth of ten on our figures make him hard to fancy at this level despite that recent purple patch.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Uncertainty silks
Uncertainty
Age 3 · 9-5
797605
58
46
62
3
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 16/1 18/1
Winless in her last six starts, Uncertainty is yet to find top form, though she has run over today's trip and going before and comes in fit on a nine-day turnaround; fifth last time out offers a crumb of encouragement, but 131 lb from stall one is a notable impost to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Cheerleader silks
Cheerleader
Age 4 · 9-1
-94330
52
51
58
4
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Cheerleader is hard to fancy, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround of just eleven days, suggesting connections feel she is ready to go.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Angel Summer silks
Angel Summer
Age 3 · 9-1
496523
54
59
57
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 11/2 7/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Angel Summer faces a stiff ask here, though she does arrive on a 12-day turnaround in fair recent nick — third last time out and a runner-up two starts back — and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kings Merchant 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Liverpool Star 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Valentine Catcher 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 Coral
4 Dream Deal 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Solar Cooper 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Taygar 7/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365
7 Hurstwood 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1 Bet365
8 Uncertainty 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 Bet365
9 Cheerleader 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Angel Summer 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 9.00 7/1 7/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 9/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Valentine Catcher

Speculative

Valentine Catcher owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Tim Easterby David Allan
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Taygar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Michael Dods
✓ Value Signal

Solar Cooper

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Mark Walford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Valentine Catcher
52.6 9/4
2 6. Taygar
49.6 7/1
3 7. Hurstwood
48.8 5/1
4 1. Kings Merchant
47.2 5/1
5 2. Liverpool Star
46.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Valentine Catcher
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 9-11
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 9 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-9
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 4 · 9-1
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Valentine Catcher
Confidence: Speculative

Valentine Catcher (SR:71, 11/4) is joint-top on SR alongside Kings Merchant but carries a significantly more favourable weight of 9-11 versus Kings Merchant's 10-0, a 3lb advantage that matters on good ground over 6f in a Class 6 handicap. The market has shortened 18% from the opening price — meaningful support in a field of this quality — and with a MarkMv of -19 the handicapper has been generous, giving connections a prime opportunity. Tim Easterby's yard runs two here but Dream Deal (SR:44, Mkt:out44%) is clearly the second string, leaving Valentine Catcher as the stable's #1 with David Allan booked rather than Fentiman. The GoingFit:- is a flag to note, but the class drop from their last run (ClassMv:↓1) and the dramatic mark reduction offset that concern. Each-way alternative: Hurstwood. Main danger: Hurstwood — Hurstwood (SR:70, 9/2) carries just 9-6 — 5lb less than Valentine Catcher — and boasts an outstanding course record of W4P8 at Ripon, the most compelling course-specialist profile in the field, with recent form showing a win two runs ago (Form:604711).

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit flag (HG:p) suggests Valentine Catcher has a query against today's going — no confirmed evidence of handling this surface well, a real unknown at the crucial moment.
  • Hurstwood (SR:70, 9-6) is only 1lb off on SR but carries 5lb less, has 4 course wins at Ripon, and is fresher in form (Form:604711) — a concrete course-specialist threat the weight differential favou…
  • Taygar has been backed in 30% from opening — significantly stronger market move than Valentine Catcher's 18% — suggesting informed money may prefer that rival at a bigger price in the same race.
  • Form string 397233 shows Valentine Catcher has not won in six outings; while the MarkMv of -19 is generous, a horse that has drifted into claiming/placing territory repeatedly may simply be a frustra…
Shortlist Valentine Catcher, Kings Merchant, Hurstwood, Taygar
Each-way: Hurstwood Danger: Hurstwood

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade