Down Royal 19:56 RESULTED
28 Aug 2026

Last Friday Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race

Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race · 2m1f87y

Official Result

Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hutton Star (IRE) Mr P A King · David Harry Kelly
    13/2
  2. 5/2F
  3. 100/30
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Clovelly Charm silks
Clovelly Charm
Age 5 · 11-11
51
62
5
11-11
SP
Clovelly Charm won last time out and, with just two starts to her name, remains unexposed and open to plenty of improvement; the 47-day absence is the main query under a big 165 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Missouri Snow silks
Missouri Snow
Age 5 · 11-11
1-1
66
86
5
11-11
SP
Missouri Snow arrives in red-hot form, winning her last two starts in succession, and 22 days between runs suggests she comes here fresh and ready; the chief concern is whether 165 lb at the top of the weights will blunt her momentum.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Hilly Filly silks
Hilly Filly
Age 4 · 11-8
1
68
4
11-8
SP
Hilly Filly won on her sole recent start and remains unexposed, but 49 days off the track and a trainer without a winner in the last 14 days are factors to weigh against her at 162 lb.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Bredas Pearl silks
Bredas Pearl
Age 5 · 11-4
5-32
71
89
5
11-4
SP
Bredas Pearl arrives here in fine fettle after consecutive placed efforts, third two starts back and second last time out, and has run over today's trip before. Winless in her last three, she nonetheless profiles as the one to beat on her rating heading a field of 12.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bresil Belle silks
Bresil Belle
Age 5 · 11-4
65
5
11-4
SP
Bresil Belle makes her debut carrying 158 lb, completely unexposed and with everything still to prove — a mare to watch closely as she finds her feet in the race environment.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Cave Daisy silks
Cave Daisy
Age 5 · 11-4
65
5
11-4
SP
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Cave Daisy steps into the unknown carrying 158 lb, but her unraced profile leaves plenty to work with and she could be anything as connections find out what they have.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Maxdale Prinxess silks
Maxdale Prinxess
Age 5 · 11-4
65
5
11-4
SP
Unexposed on debut, Maxdale Prinxess carries 158 lb into the unknown but remains open to any amount of improvement as connections find out what she is capable of at this first opportunity.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Poet's Creek silks
Poet's Creek
Age 5 · 11-4
65
5
11-4
SP
Unexposed and open to any amount of improvement on debut, Poet's Creek is yet to score under rules and arrives carrying 158 lb, leaving the imagination free to fill in the gaps.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Anna Quaintance silks
Anna Quaintance
Age 4 · 11-1
5
55
74
4
11-1
SP
Anna Quaintance has run over today's trip and, rated 74 among these rivals, she represents a live threat back over a proven distance — the concern is that her fifth last time out leaves her yet to score in recent starts and she will need to find improvement.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Hutton Star silks
Hutton Star
Age 4 · 11-1
67
4
11-1
SP
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Hutton Star steps onto the track carrying 155 lb with everything still to prove but with all questions still to be answered by the racecourse.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Junction Road silks
Junction Road
Age 4 · 11-1
67
4
11-1
SP
Unraced and open to plenty of improvement, Junction Road steps into the unknown on debut carrying 155 lb, with her unexposed profile leaving plenty to work with as connections find out what she is capable of.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Molly Des Bruyeres silks
Molly Des Bruyeres
Age 4 · 11-1
67
4
11-1
SP
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Molly Des Bruyeres is yet to score under rules and arrives as an unknown quantity, but carrying 155 lb is the key physical challenge she faces first time out.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Junction Road

Speculative

Junction Road owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A Stephen Carlin Mr S Connor(7)
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bresil Belle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Noel C Kelly
✓ Value Signal

Cave Daisy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · Noel C Kelly
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Junction Road
48.3 N/A
2 5. Bresil Belle
48.1 N/A
3 10. Hutton Star
48.1 N/A
4 12. Molly Des Bruyeres
47.9 N/A
5 8. Poet's Creek
47.1 N/A
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bredas Pearl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

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Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bredas Pearl
Confidence: Speculative

Bredas Pearl (SR:71) is the highest-rated runner in a field where the SR range spans only 55-71, making her the marginal ability leader. Crucially, she has the most informative form string in the race — a 5-3-2 sequence showing she has actually run and placed, with two recent runs (Days:21) confirming she is fit and race-sharp coming into this. Her trainer John C McConnell has a modest strike rate (3%) but the horse's competitive placing record over similar NH-style distances gives her a concrete edge over the majority of the field who have zero prior outings (Form:------). Weight of 11-4 is manageable and lighter than the top two weights, adding a small physical edge. Each-way alternative: Hilly Filly. Main danger: Missouri Snow — Missouri Snow's 1-1 form line — two wins from two runs — suggests an unbeaten and potentially unexposed mare who, if fit and handling the trip, could outclass this field despite the low-volume trainer record.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Bredas Pearl's most recent form shows a '5' then '3' then '2' — a sequence moving toward the front but her last outed finish was 2nd, not a win; she has not actually broken through to win despite the…
  • Trainer John C McConnell's 3% strike rate across 368 runners is exceptionally poor — statistically among the worst in this field, and meaningful in a race where connections matter for placing a horse…
  • Hilly Filly (SR:68) ran just 49 days ago and won on debut — an unbeaten record at a higher SR than the 'modest' gap suggests, ridden by a yard (Ross O'Sullivan, 9%) with nearly three times McConnell'…
  • Missouri Snow (SR:66) is unbeaten in two starts (Form:1-1), last ran 22 days ago — similarly race-sharp and has already proven she can win, unlike Bredas Pearl who has only placed.
Shortlist Bredas Pearl, Hilly Filly, Missouri Snow, Molly Des Bruyeres
Each-way: Hilly Filly Danger: Missouri Snow

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f87y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Down Royal Track and setting