Thirsk 16:38 28 Aug 2026
Class 2 28 Aug 2026

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  • 14 declared
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AI rates Northern Express Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 days, 19 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Palmar Bay silks
Palmar Bay
Age 5 · 10-0
-44083
99
84
105
5
10-0
14/1 9/1 12/1
Palmar Bay shaped with real promise when third last time out, returns fit on 26 days' rest, and has run over today's trip and going before, giving his claims solid grounding; the main risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Invictus Gold silks
Invictus Gold
Age 4 · 9-13
-39280
98
86
101
4
9-13
10/1 11/1 9/1
Invictus Gold has run over today's trip and going, carries a workable 139 lb from stall 2, and our rating of 101 marks him out as a leading threat in this field — though he is winless in his last five starts, including an unplaced effort last time, and that inconsistency is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Northern Express silks
Northern Express
Age 8 · 9-12
635513
97
100
105
8
9-12
11/2 4/1 5/1
Northern Express shaped as the one to beat here, winning two starts back and recording a placed effort last time out, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions; the 138 lb burden is the one query, but his rating of 105 marks him out as the class act in a field of 14.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
He's A Monster silks
He's A Monster
Age 6 · 9-12
/3061-
97
62
98
6
9-12
28/1 9/1 28/1
He's A Monster arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and conditions, with an official rating of 97; the one concern is that 369-day absence, which must be overcome fresh.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bobby Bennu silks
Bobby Bennu
Age 5 · 9-9
50-420
94
93
96
5
9-9
6/1 6/1 11/2
Winless in his last five starts, Bobby Bennu does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a second two runs back hints at some ability; however, he has struggled for consistency and faces a stiff task from a mark of 94 carrying 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Mirsky silks
Mirsky
Age 7 · 9-7
007999
92
88
95
7
9-7
5/1 6/1 9/2
Winless in his last six starts, Mirsky arrives on a quick turnaround of eight days and has run over today's trip and going before, yet a sequence of three consecutive ninths is hard to overlook; carrying 133 lb from stall five, he looks a hard-to-fancy midfield proposition.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Superposition silks
Superposition
Age 5 · 9-6
091349
91
76
92
5
9-6
12/1 10/1 12/1
Third three starts back and a winner four starts back, Superposition arrives here fit on a 30-day turnaround with distance and going experience to call on, though a ninth last time out and carrying 132 lb from stall 6 are points against him.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Sergeant Wilko silks
Sergeant Wilko
Age 5 · 9-1
-46828
86
83
93
5
9-1
8/1 17/2 15/2
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 62 days off, Sergeant Wilko faces questions about fitness and consistency, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 93 offers some encouragement — a trainer in poor recent form (1/28) adds further concern.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Our Havana silks
Our Havana
Age 5 · 9-0
99-100
85
65
88
5
9-0
33/1 20/1 25/1
Landed a win three starts back but has disappointed in both runs since, leaving his recent form mixed; has run over today's trip and going, and 27 days off could mean he returns refreshed, though a mark of 85 and ranking tenth of fourteen suggest he faces a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Alpha Capture silks
Alpha Capture
Age 6 · 8-13
212022
84
84
87
6
8-13
12/1 6/1 9/1
Ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Alpha Capture is hard to fancy against this field despite a tidy recent profile of three seconds in his last four completed starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, but the weight of 125 lb from stall 12 adds no help to his cause.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Brighton Boy silks
Brighton Boy
Age 4 · 8-12
260603
83
82
86
4
8-12
7/1 8/1 7/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Brighton Boy is hard to fancy despite a third last time out and experience over today's distance and going; a trainer strike-rate of just 5% over the past fortnight adds little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Perfect Part silks
Perfect Part
Age 4 · 8-12
642075
83
78
92
4
8-12
11/1 12/1 10/1
Winless in her last six starts, Perfect Part does at least return quickly on eight days' rest and has experience of today's distance and going; a second four starts back offers some encouragement, though fifth last time out and a weight of 124 lb from stall 13 make this a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Majestic Dane silks
Majestic Dane
Age 3 · 8-10
12
86
75
67
3
8-10
12/1 9/2 12/1
Majestic Dane shaped well enough in his last two starts, winning one and finishing second the other, and he has run over today's trip before, but a 190-day absence and a rating of 67 — ranking him last of 14 — make him very hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Frankies Dream silks
Frankies Dream
Age 4 · 8-9
323788
77
70
83
4
8-9
14/1 18/1 12/1
Frankies Dream has been winless in his last six starts, finishing eighth in each of his past two outings, and ranked thirteenth of fourteen on our figures he faces a stiff task here; experience over today's trip and going is genuinely in his favour, but little else encourages.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Palmar Bay 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 16/1 Coral
2 Invictus Gold 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Northern Express 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
4 He's A Monster 28/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 10.00 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 33/1 Paddy Power
5 Bobby Bennu 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 Bet365
6 Mirsky 5/1 open 11.00 9/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
7 Superposition 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Coral
8 Sergeant Wilko 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 12.00 17/2 17/2 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 17/2 Coral
9 Our Havana 33/1 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Alpha Capture 12/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
11 Brighton Boy 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 Coral
12 Perfect Part 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
13 Majestic Dane 12/1 open 5.50 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 Paddy Power
14 Frankies Dream 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bobby Bennu

Speculative

Bobby Bennu owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mirsky

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · David O'Meara
✓ Value Signal

He's A Monster

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Hamad Al Jehani
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Bobby Bennu
55.7 6/1
2 6. Mirsky
55.1 5/1
3 3. Northern Express
54.8 11/2
4 11. Brighton Boy
54.6 7/1
5 8. Sergeant Wilko
51.2 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Northern Express
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 7 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 9-12
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 8-12
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 8-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 8-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-10
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 8-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Northern Express
Confidence: Speculative

Northern Express (SR 100, 5/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 7 points clear of the next-best Bobby Bennu (SR 93) — and arrives on the back of a strong recent form sequence of 635513, with the last three runs showing progressive improvement culminating in a win. At 9-12 he carries a manageable weight and the 10% trainer strike rate from Michael Dods is offset by Connor Beasley's 14% record over 407 career rides. The DistFit is flagged as poor (-), which is the principal concern, but the SR advantage and proven form are significant enough to override a single negative signal in a competitive but beatable Class 2 field. The 5/1 price represents fair value given the ability edge. Each-way alternative: Bobby Bennu. Main danger: Mirsky — Mirsky (SR 88, 11/2) has steamed in 19% in the market, holds Course:W2P2 at Thirsk which is a significant specialist advantage on this track, and carries a mark 1lb below his last win — the course form and market confidence make him a genuine threat even with the GoingFit minus working against him.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit flagged as poor (-) — a concrete system signal that this trip is not Northern Express's optimal distance, undermining confidence in a repeat of his recent win at what may have been a more sui…
  • Aged 8 in a Class 2 field, Northern Express faces Mirsky (W2P2 at Thirsk, market drifting IN 19%) who has a proven course record and is fresh off 8 days rest — a specialist course performer is a dire…
  • Michael Dods' 10% trainer strike rate is notably below the field average; top handlers Roger Varian (20%) and K.R. Burke (19%) saddle Bobby Bennu and Majestic Dane respectively, giving rivals a meani…
  • Course record of W0P1 at Thirsk — no wins from his sole previous course appearance — while Mirsky boasts W2P2 at this same track, making Northern Express an unproven course winner here despite his ge…
Shortlist Northern Express, Bobby Bennu, Mirsky, Brighton Boy
Each-way: Bobby Bennu Danger: Mirsky

🗺 The Course Class 2

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade