Sedgefield 17:00 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Aug 2026

Last Friday Newts Rocket To The Top Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

Newts Rocket To The Top Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f178y

Official Result

Newts Rocket To The Top Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Littletown Lad (IRE) Jonathan England · Sam England
    5/2
  2. 9/2
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Daaris silks
Daaris
Age 7 · 11-12
73334/
94
74
95
7
11-12
12/1 11/2 12/1
Daaris has been knocking persistently on the door, placing third in three of his last five starts, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions with our rating putting him narrowly top of this field; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and must finally convert.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Character Testing silks
Character Testing
Age 5 · 11-10
3-5244
92
80
92
5
11-10
5/1 9/2 4/1
Consistent profile and has run over today's trip and going before, with a second in recent starts giving him solid claims here; the main risk is he remains winless in his last five and may again find one too good.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Expert Analysis silks
Expert Analysis
Age 4 · 11-10
C580-P
95
72
87
4
11-10
9/1 13/2 8/1
Yet to score in his last five starts and pulled up most recently, Expert Analysis does at least return with distance and going experience to call upon, though 94 days off the track and a taxing 164 lb burden make confidence hard to sustain.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Hijo de La Luna silks
Hijo de La Luna
Age 6 · 11-6
6/3P5-
88
56
92
6
11-6
33/1 20/1 33/1
Hijo de La Luna brings experience over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back hints at ability, though he remains winless in recent starts; fit off a 13-day break and carrying 160 lb, our rating of 92 makes him an interesting proposition at a mark of 88.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Return With Gold silks
Return With Gold
Age 4 · 11-0
34-
85
70
78
4
11-0
11/1 5/1 10/1
Winless in his last two starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Return With Gold faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a third two starts back offers slim encouragement, but 154 lb makes life harder still.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Yanka Blue silks
Yanka Blue
Age 5 · 10-11
-66522
79
83
85
5
10-11
11/4
Winless in her last five starts, Yanka Blue has shown consistent placing ability — second last time out and second two starts back — though weight at 151 lb may test her, and she drops away sharply in the formbook beyond that promising recent pair.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Littletown Lad silks
Littletown Lad
Age 6 · 10-11
6-87U2
79
81
81
6
10-11
9/4 2/1 9/4
Littletown Lad has run over today's trip and going before and shaped with promise when second last time out, though that unseating two starts back clouds his profile; winless in his last five starts and carrying 151 lb, he faces a stiff ask against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Breaking Ground silks
Breaking Ground
Age 5 · 10-8
50-086
76
59
74
5
10-8
18/1 20/1 12/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Breaking Ground faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and going, and the 57-day break at least means she arrives fresh, though recent form offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Red Trail silks
Red Trail
Age 7 · 10-6
6-50P5
74
71
80
7
10-6
12/1 10/1 11/1
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up on one of those occasions, Red Trail is hard to fancy from her recent profile, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Scopic silks
Scopic
Age 5 · 10-5
6-8P6
59
32
59OR
5
10-5
66/1 9/1 50/1
Unexposed and open to improvement despite being yet to win in his last four starts, Scopic returns after 39 days carrying 145 lb, and with limited form to go on, there remains plenty to find out about this gelding.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Daaris 12/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 Paddy Power
2 Character Testing 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 9.00 5/1 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Paddy Power
3 Expert Analysis 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Hijo de La Luna 33/1 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Return With Gold 11/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 Bet365
6 Yanka Blue 11/4 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
7 Littletown Lad 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 9/4 Bet365
8 Breaking Ground 18/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Red Trail 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Scopic 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 10.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 80/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Character Testing

Speculative

Character Testing owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Mark Walford Jamie Hamilton
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Littletown Lad

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Hijo de La Luna

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Simon West
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Character Testing
54.1 5/1
2 7. Littletown Lad
53.1 9/4
3 6. Yanka Blue
52.3 11/4
4 3. Expert Analysis
50.6 9/1
5 1. Daaris
47.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Yanka Blue
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 6 · 10-11
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 10-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 11-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 11-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 11-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 10-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 10-8
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Yanka Blue
Confidence: Speculative

Yanka Blue leads the field on SR (83) and carries a very manageable 10-11, giving a meaningful weight edge over top-weight Daaris (11-12, SR:74) and Character Testing (11-10, SR:80). Running at the same class level (ClassMv:=) with no downgrade pressure suggests connections are confident, and at 10/3 the market has still installed this as a leading price. The form string -66522 shows a consistent progression into placings, and with DistFit:? and GoingFit:? being unknown rather than definitively poor, there is no hard negative to discount. The drift of 13% is a mild concern, but the SR advantage and weight benefit over rivals with stronger market moves outweigh that signal in a modest Class 5 novice hurdle where the field ceiling is low. Each-way alternative: Littletown Lad. Main danger: Littletown Lad — Littletown Lad (SR:81, 2/1 favourite, Mkt:in8%) has strong market confidence with a late 8% drift inward, a yard striking at 14% (Sam England) and a jockey booking at 18%, representing the most professionally backed runner in the race despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:- concerns.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Littletown Lad (SR:81) is drifting IN at 8% to 2/1 favourite with a stronger trainer (14%) and jockey (18%) strike rate than Yanka Blue's connections (7%/13%), suggesting market professionals prefer…
  • Yanka Blue's form -66522 shows the two placings (2,2) came after three poor runs; the progression is shallow and she has yet to win over hurdles, raising doubts about converting placed efforts into a…
  • Trainer Barry John Murphy has only a 7% strike rate from 90 runners — well below the field average — and a 13% market drift on Yanka Blue in a short-priced favourite role amplifies concern about stab…
  • Character Testing (SR:80) has been out only 13 days, is fresher, and is ridden by Jamie Hamilton (8% SR, 232 rides) for Mark Walford (9%, 506 runs) — a more powerful combination that could exploit Ya…
Shortlist Yanka Blue, Littletown Lad, Character Testing, Breaking Ground
Each-way: Littletown Lad Danger: Littletown Lad

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m0f178y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Sedgefield Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade