Down Royal 19:22 RESULTED

28 Aug 2026

Last Friday Tayto Group Limited Handicap Hurdle

Tayto Group Limited Handicap Hurdle · 3m0f0y

Settled

22 declared
0 picked

Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 5 hours ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR/OR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Jonny Carrol

Age 5 · 12-0

3P-784

Miss Ella Herbison(7) 0%

Moses McCabe 0%

100

103

12-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in his last five starts, Jonny Carrol does at least arrive on a reasonable turnaround of 21 days and shaped with some promise when third five starts back, though a pulled-up effort four starts back and a run of mid-pack finishes since leave him with plenty to find off 168 lb.

AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Journey So Far

Age 6 · 12-0

78-619

Keith Donoghue 10%

Gavin Cromwell 9%

100

109

12-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

Journey So Far advertised his class with a win two starts back and, rated 109, shapes as a serious threat stepping back to a trip he has already encountered; the lengthy absence of 26 days and a burdensome 168 lb ask are the risks to assess.

AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Charlie's Dilemma

Age 7 · 11-13

8-845U

Simon Torrens 5%

John C McConnell 3%

107

11-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

Charlie's Dilemma has yet to trouble the judge in recent starts, and our rating of 107 makes him one of the most potent threats in this field of 22, with distance experience and a sharp 21-day turnaround working in his favour; the unseating last time and a winless recent run are the obvious concerns.

AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Knocknagoran Lady

Age 7 · 11-13

3-6114

Conor Stone-Walsh 6%

Cian Hughes 15%

11-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

Knocknagoran Lady won two starts back and again three starts back, giving her a bright recent profile, but she finished fourth last time out and carries 167 lb here, which is the obvious query against her chance at a rating of 99 versus our figure of 91.

AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Midleton Rare

Age 8 · 11-13

41P-90

Ms E Dunseath 0%

Noel C Kelly 7%

11-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

Midleton Rare has run over today's trip and returns after 36 days off carrying 167 lb, but his recent form gives pause — a winner four starts back, he has since pulled up, finished ninth, and was unplaced last time, leaving him needing a significant upturn.

AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Astley

Age 6 · 11-8

7535-5

Philip Byrnes 11%

Paul Traynor 5%

119

11-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

Astley returns after 116 days off the track carrying a hefty 162 lb, yet our rating of 119 makes him the one to beat among 22 rivals; winless in his last five starts, though a third three starts back hints at ability, and he merits respect on his highest-rated profile.

AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Bayonetta

Age 8 · 11-8

-42243

J J Slevin 12%

Gerald Stephen Quinn 8%

11-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

Consistently placed in recent starts without a win, Bayonetta has experience over today's trip and returns on a handy 21-day break, but carrying 162 lb looks the sternest test for a mare ranked mid-field here.

AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Matter Of Opinion

Age 6 · 11-6

579-75

Ms L A Byrne 0%

William Harvey 0%

101

11-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

Matter Of Opinion has run over today's trip and returns on a sound 21-day break, yet he remains winless in his last five starts with a best recent finish of fifth, and carrying 160 lb against 21 rivals makes further progress hard to predict.

AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Schiehallion

Age 9 · 11-6

P2-P5P

P J O'Hanlon 6%

Dermot A McLoughlin 6%

100

11-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in his last five starts and twice pulled up in his most recent three, Schiehallion faces a stiff ask under 160 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 100 offers a sliver of encouragement for connections.

AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Brandt

Age 8 · 11-5

0667-6

Ben Harvey 6%

Cian Collins 7%

107

11-5

★☆☆☆☆

—

Brandt catches the eye on our rating, ranked third in a field of 22 and carrying a figure well clear of his official mark, and he has run over today's trip before; the concern is a winless recent spell and a return from 80 days off.

AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Georgia Celena

Age 8 · 11-4

0-3U25

Joshua Halford(7) 12%

John C McConnell 3%

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts but that second two starts back and a third four starts back hint at ability, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the burden of 158 lb looks the chief obstacle to reversing her slide.

AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Grace Faraday

Age 8 · 11-4

1456-U

James Smith(5) 7%

Anthony McCann 7%

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

Grace Faraday won in her last five starts but unseated last time out, and that jumping blunder — combined with 98 days off the track — makes fitness a query; she has run over today's trip and a mark of 90 gives her a chance if shaken up.

AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Sneddy Eddie

Age 6 · 11-4

-05541

Jack Kennedy 19%

Gordon Elliott 15%

11-4

★★☆☆☆

—

Ranked well down the field on our figures and carrying a hefty 158 lb, Sneddy Eddie is hard to fancy at face value, though he does arrive on the back of a win last time out and a 19-day turnaround suggests he returns fresh.

AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Fire Coral

Age 7 · 11-2

15-P38

Michael Kenneally 10%

S Curling 13%

11-2

★☆☆☆☆

—

Fire Coral has pulled up in recent starts and finished eighth last time out, making her hard to fancy ranked 16 of 22 on our figures, though she has experience over today's trip and going, and a win five starts back offers slim residual encouragement.

AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Technology

Age 9 · 10-10

290-F0

Shane Fitzsimons 0%

John C McConnell 3%

10-10

★☆☆☆☆

—

Technology has been winless in his last five starts, though a second five starts back shows he can get involved, and he has run over today's trip before; the fall two starts back clouds his profile, and 49 days off the track adds uncertainty.

AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Moonshine Girl

Age 7 · 10-8

8-7224

Jack Gilligan 9%

Paul John Gilligan 4%

10-8

★★☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts and ranked 19th of 22 on our figures, Moonshine Girl is hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and a return to action after just 18 days; the 148 lb burden does her no favours either.

AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Clever Court

Age 5 · 10-5

-PP179

Tiernan Power Roche 8%

P J Rothwell 6%

10-5

★☆☆☆☆

—

Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Clever Court's recent form makes him hard to fancy, with two pulled-up efforts in his last five starts and finishes of seventh and ninth since his win three starts back; the return after 21 days and distance experience offer little consolation.

AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Whatyouwant

Age 8 · 10-5

P-7590

Thomas O'Connor(7) 8%

Gerard Kyne 6%

10-5

★★☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts and ranked 20 of 22 on our figures, Whatyouwant faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and the six-day turnaround suggests she is at least fit and ready.

AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Gypsy Poet

Age 5 · 10-3

6876-0

Joe Williamson 3%

Liz Doyle 2%

10-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in his last five starts and ranked 21 of 22 on our figures, Gypsy Poet makes a difficult case; he has run over today's trip before and returns after 49 days off, but his recent string of unplaced efforts offers little encouragement at 143 lb.

AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Sekifi

Age 8 · 10-0

86-05P

Ethan O'Sullivan 3%

Matthew J Smith 8%

10-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

Pulled up last time out and winless in his last five starts, Sekifi is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked 18 of 22, though he has run over today's trip before and the 47-day break may have him freshened up.

AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

My Policy

Age 7 · 10-13

P82/PP

TBA

Patrick Rooney 0%

10-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

My Policy has pulled up in three of her last five starts, including her two most recent outings, and is yet to win in that spell, which makes confidence hard to muster; a second three starts back offers some encouragement, but 153 lb is a stiff ask.

AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Le Grand Vert

Age 10 · 10-10

-412P6

TBA

Noel C Kelly 7%

101

10-10

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Journey So Far

Speculative

Journey So Far owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A Gavin Cromwell Keith Donoghue

62% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Charlie's Dilemma

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · John C McConnell

✓ Value Signal

Jonny Carrol

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · Moses McCabe

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Low conviction

41 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative

49 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

40 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal

65 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋6.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal

72 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋7.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction

40 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 2. Journey So Far

48.5 N/A

2 3. Charlie's Dilemma

48.2 N/A

3 6. Astley

47.5 N/A

4 10. Brandt

47.3 N/A

5 1. Jonny Carrol

47.2 N/A

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

Sneddy Eddie

Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Sneddy Eddie

Confidence: Speculative

Sneddy Eddie (SR:64) is the standout on connections and recent form. The combination of Gordon Elliott (15% career SR, 1757 runners — by far the highest-volume quality yard in this field) and Jack Kennedy (19%, 632 runners — the most accomplished jockey booking in the race) is a powerful pairing that rarely appears in a €6,000 handicap without intent. The form string -05541 reads RIGHT-TO-LEFT as a last-time-out winner off a mark now 5lb higher, showing a progressive profile for a 6-year-old who has room to improve. The two-star AI rating and MarkMv:+5 are noted risks — the mark is up — but in a field of 22 where the SR ceiling is just 73 and most rivals carry amateur or conditional jockeys with single-digit strike rates, the Elliott/Kennedy axis represents a clear class-of-connections edge that is routinely decisive at this level. Each-way alternative: Knocknagoran Lady. Main danger: Knocknagoran Lady — Knocknagoran Lady (SR:72 — joint-highest in the field) shows DistFit:+ confirming proven ability at 3m, has a live form line of 3-6114 showing two recent wins, and Cian Hughes hits 13% career strike rate — the second-best trainer record on the card — making her the most credible each-way threat despite the MarkMv:+9 concern.

Case against 4 clamped

Sneddy Eddie's SR of 64 is the second-lowest in the field — even with elite connections, the raw speed rating is outclassed by Journey So Far (73), Knocknagoran Lady (72), Le Grand Vert (72) and Astl…
A +5 mark rise after last-time-out win in a 22-runner handicap is a material negative: the handicapper has responded and rivals like Journey So Far (-6) and Le Grand Vert (-15) are racing off reduced…
Knocknagoran Lady shows Form:3-6114 — three wins in four starts in similar company — and is trained by Cian Hughes (13% SR) off a mark only +9 despite a longer winning sequence, representing a horse…
HG:p (hurdles, plain) for Sneddy Eddie, yet Down Royal in late August can ride varying ground; if the going is soft or soft-yielding, horses proven on softer going in this field (HG:h — Journey So Fa…

Shortlist Sneddy Eddie, Knocknagoran Lady, Journey So Far, Le Grand Vert

Each-way: Knocknagoran Lady Danger: Knocknagoran Lady

🗺 The Course Race conditions

3m0f0y Distance to cover

Good to Firm Expected going

22 Confirmed runners

Down Royal Track and setting

Last Friday Tayto Group Limited Handicap Hurdle

Tayto Group Limited Handicap Hurdle

Ffos Las

Thirsk

Sandown

Wexford

Fontwell

Sedgefield

Down Royal

Goodwood

Balanced lens

Journey So Far

Charlie's Dilemma

Jonny Carrol

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Race conditions