Thirsk 14:48 28 Aug 2026
Class 4 28 Aug 2026

Last Friday Work Matters Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Work Matters Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f218y

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Voting open
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Wootz High Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 days, 19 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Wootz silks
Wootz
Age 3 · 9-11
1
156
3
9-11
1/7 1/5 1/7
SR 156 backed by market confidence at 1/6 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 156 backed by market confidence at 1/6 — a genuine contender.

2
Morty Robinson silks
Morty Robinson
Age 6 · 9-10
05
121
6
9-10
125/1 FCST 80/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Rua Mor silks
Rua Mor
Age 4 · 9-10
0-55
123
4
9-10
33/1 18/1 22/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Who's The Goat silks
Who's The Goat
Age 6 · 9-10
3
137
6
9-10
12/1 7/1 8/1
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Eagleonthebalcony silks
Eagleonthebalcony
Age 3 · 9-4
124
3
9-4
40/1 FCST 25/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Eagles Instinct silks
Eagles Instinct
Age 3 · 9-4
5
123
3
9-4
50/1 20/1 28/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Jetpack Jimmy silks
Jetpack Jimmy
Age 3 · 9-4
09
124
3
9-4
80/1 40/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
League Of Justice silks
League Of Justice
Age 3 · 9-4
64
126
3
9-4
25/1 10/1 16/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Walk In Provence silks
Walk In Provence
Age 3 · 8-13
147
3
8-13
7/1 FCST 9/2
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Wootz 1/7 open 1.40 1/7 open 1.33 1/7 open 1.20 1/7 open 1.20 1/7 open 1.20 1/7 open 1.22 1/7 Bet365
2 Morty Robinson 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 80/1 80/1 100/1 open 81.00 80/1 125/1 Bet365
3 Rua Mor 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Who's The Goat 12/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
5 Eagleonthebalcony 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 28/1 40/1 Bet365
6 Eagles Instinct 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 28/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Jetpack Jimmy 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 50/1 80/1 Bet365
8 League Of Justice 25/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Walk In Provence 7/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wootz

High conviction

Wootz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/7 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Walk In Provence

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Charlie Johnston
✓ Value Signal

League Of Justice

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gemma Tutty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Wootz
74.8 1/7
2 9. Walk In Provence
68.9 7/1
3 4. Who's The Goat
58.8 12/1
4 8. League Of Justice
51.4 25/1
5 2. Morty Robinson
50.9 125/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Wootz
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-11
1/7
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

SR 156 backed by market confidence at 1/6 — a genuine contender.

9
Age 3 · 8-13
7/1
★★★★☆ SR 147 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 6 · 9-10
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

No drifters in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Wootz
Confidence: High

Wootz (SR:156, 1/6) is in a different class to everything else in this field — a 9-point SR gap over second-best Walk In Provence (SR:147) and a 19-point gap over the remainder tells the whole story. The market has shortened a further 7% to 1/6, reflecting strong connections confidence from Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 669 runners — a consistently elite yard). The sole career run resulted in a win, the horse is 3 years old with obvious progression ahead, and at 9-11 it carries no punishing weight burden. Despite unknown distance and going flags for both, a Roger Varian-trained horse of this SR in a Class 4 novice simply has no credible rival on the data available. Each-way alternative: Walk In Provence. Main danger: Walk In Provence — Walk In Provence holds the second-highest SR in the field at 147 and is trained by Charlie Johnston (13% strike rate, 1,326 runners — a major yard), giving it the class and connections to at least secure a place if Wootz has any unforeseen issue, despite an 18% market drift that tempers expectations.

Case against 4
  • Wootz has just one career run to his name — a win, yes, but against unknown opposition quality; the SR of 156 may flatter a single data point rather than reflect genuine elite ability.
  • Both distance and going are flagged as unknown for Wootz, meaning today's conditions could be a first encounter with unsuitable ground or trip, removing the 'no doubt' comfort from the form line.
  • Walk In Provence (SR:147, Charlie Johnston yard, market drifted 18%) is a debutant from a high-volume top trainer — an unexposed unknown who could outrun a 7/1 price if well-schooled at home.
  • At 1/6, Wootz offers almost no margin for error: any minor setback — stumbling at the start, traffic in a novice field, jockey error from Ray Dawson (16% strike rate, not elite) — makes laying the pr…
Shortlist Wootz, Walk In Provence, Who's The Goat
Each-way: Walk In Provence Danger: Walk In Provence

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f218y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade