Fontwell 18:25 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Aug 2026

Last Friday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Handicap Hurdle

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Handicap Hurdle · 3m1f166y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Luna Run (IRE) Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham
    2/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 7/4F
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Camshaft silks
Camshaft
Age 5 · 12-0
051-13
96
88
95
5
12-0
9/4 2/1 3/2
Camshaft arrives on the back of back-to-back wins two and three starts ago, and though third last time out, she remains in cracking nick; carrying a hefty 168 lb after 44 days off is the one concern.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Mobile Mamma silks
Mobile Mamma
Age 7 · 11-7
/53-20
89
79
87
7
11-7
10/3 5/1 5/2
Mobile Mamma has been knocking on the door, finishing third and then second in her last two starts before an unplaced effort, and 21 days gives her a clean freshening; the concern is that 161 lb is a hefty weight to carry while still seeking that elusive first win.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Luna Run silks
Luna Run
Age 7 · 11-2
73-613
84
83
80
7
11-2
15/8 4/1 18/13
Luna Run showed a winner one start back but has been in and out of form otherwise, and ranked sixth of seven on our figures she faces a stiff task under 156 lb, though she does have experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Steal A Glance silks
Steal A Glance
Age 4 · 10-11
3-9552
85
93
106
4
10-11
2/1 5/2 32/17
Steal A Glance arrives here just three days after finishing second last time out, and that near-miss is the standout angle for a filly who commands the highest rating in this field; winless in her last five starts, she will need to convert promise into reward under 151 lb.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Athena's Dream silks
Athena's Dream
Age 4 · 10-10
74-235
84
79
86
4
10-10
5/1 11/2 4/1
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Lynsey Larue silks
Lynsey Larue
Age 7 · 10-10
24-1P3
78
50
74
7
10-10
14/1 20/1 14/1
Ran just yesterday and already back out carrying 150 lb, which makes her hard to fancy; she was pulled up two starts back, though a winner three starts back and third last time out are the positives in an otherwise testing profile.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Glorious Mist silks
Glorious Mist
Age 9 · 10-2
79PP-F
67
52
92
9
10-2
40/1 33/1 16/1
Winless in recent starts yet her rating of 92 puts her firmly in contention here, and experience over today's trip is a clear asset at 142 lb; the main concern is a troubled recent spell of falls and pull-ups that makes her current wellbeing hard to gauge after 96 days off.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Camshaft 9/4 15/8 open 3.00 6/4 open 3.00 6/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 9/4 Bet365
2 Mobile Mamma 10/3 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Luna Run 15/8 open 5.00 15/8 open 5.00 11/8 open 5.00 11/8 open 5.00 7/4 open 5.00 7/4 open 5.00 15/8 Bet365
4 Steal A Glance 2/1 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 2/1 Bet365
5 Athena's Dream 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Lynsey Larue 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Glorious Mist 40/1 28/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Camshaft

Speculative

Camshaft owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Steal A Glance

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Anthony Honeyball
✓ Value Signal

Glorious Mist

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Paddy Butler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Camshaft
56.5 9/4
2 4. Steal A Glance
56.1 2/1
3 3. Luna Run
54.7 15/8
4 2. Mobile Mamma
52.8 10/3
5 5. Athena's Dream
52.7 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Steal A Glance
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 11-2
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 10-11
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-7
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 10-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 10-10
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Steal A Glance
Confidence: Speculative

Steal A Glance (SR:93, 2/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a meaningful margin — 5lb clear of Camshaft (SR:88) and 10lb+ clear of the rest — and crucially carries only 10-11, a 13lb weight advantage over top-weight Camshaft (12-0). The class drop of one tier (ClassMv:↓1) puts this 4-year-old into a more winnable environment, and the market has backed this view aggressively with an 18% shortening since opening. While the recent form string 3-9552 shows some inconsistency, the last run was just 3 days ago suggesting the horse is fit and well, and connections would not run back so quickly without confidence. Trainer Anthony Honeyball at 17% strike rate is a solid operator, and the weight-plus-class combination is compelling at a still-reasonable price. Each-way alternative: Luna Run. Main danger: Camshaft — Camshaft (SR:88, 11/4) showed a win and a third in recent form (051-13) and is trained and ridden by the O'Neill combination with an 18% jockey strike rate, but the 21% market drift and a 6lb higher mark than at last win are real concerns that prevent it heading the shortlist.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ran just 3 days ago and finished 5th (form figure '2' most recent) — back-to-back quick turnarounds at Fontwell on an August evening track raise serious bounce/fatigue risk for a 4-year-old.
  • Form string 3-9552 shows a horse that has not won yet and has been beaten out of sight in multiple recent starts; the '9' figure is a major flag that this horse can fold badly.
  • Jockey Chad Bament has a 12% strike rate from only 42 rides — limited experience at Fontwell's tight, technical figure-of-eight track could cost a young horse like this crucial lengths.
  • Luna Run (SR:83, Harry Derham 28% yard, Paul O'Brien 19%) represents a fresh, in-form trainer-jockey combination at a big market-drifter discount, directly threatening the pick's superiority claims.
Shortlist Steal A Glance, Camshaft, Luna Run
Each-way: Luna Run Danger: Camshaft

🗺 The Course Class 5

3m1f166y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade