Sedgefield 18:05 RESULTED
Class 4 28 Aug 2026

Last Friday Warm-Flo Hot To Trot Handicap Hurdle Race

Warm-Flo Hot To Trot Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f178y

Official Result

Warm-Flo Hot To Trot Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Saint Polo (FR) Luke Scott · Jennie Candlish
    3/1
  2. 12/1
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Machete Beach silks
Machete Beach
Age 5 · 12-2
3-1132
112
121
120
5
12-2
7/2 3/2 10/3
Consistent and in good heart, Machete Beach has won twice in his last five starts with a second last time out, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the 44-day break is the one query, but his rating of 120 makes him the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Glory And Honour silks
Glory And Honour
Age 10 · 12-0
2-7147
110
95
120
10
12-0
12/1 14/1 9/1
Glory And Honour landed a win three starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, with our rating of 120 marking him as a leading threat — the concern is a seventh last time out that he must put behind him here.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Saint Polo silks
Saint Polo
Age 6 · 11-10
23-711
106
113
107
6
11-10
5/2 7/4 5/2
Saint Polo arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, making him a serious threat at the head of the market; the main concern is a 66-day absence since that last success.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Jolie Coeur Allen silks
Jolie Coeur Allen
Age 7 · 11-6
173-42
102
106
107
7
11-6
6/1 11/2 5/1
Placed second last time out and a winner five starts back, Jolie Coeur Allen brings distance and going experience alongside a rating of 107 to make her a genuine threat here; the main concern is the 41-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Scots Poet silks
Scots Poet
Age 10 · 11-4
-211U2
100
107
104
10
11-4
4/1 6/1 7/2
Ranked fifth of six on our figures and carrying a hefty 158 lb, Scots Poet is hard to fancy at the weights, and an unseated rider last time out does nothing to boost confidence, though he has winning form in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Fine Point silks
Fine Point
Age 5 · 11-1
43-13U
97
98
102
5
11-1
9/2 FCST 7/2
Fine Point unseated last time out and ranks last on our figures in a six-runner field, making him hard to fancy despite a win three starts back and experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Machete Beach 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 2.50 7/2 open 2.75 7/2 open 2.75 7/2 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.75 7/2 Bet365
2 Glory And Honour 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Saint Polo 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 Bet365
4 Jolie Coeur Allen 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Scots Poet 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 4/1 Bet365
6 Fine Point 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saint Polo

Live signal

Saint Polo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Jennie Candlish Luke Scott(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Machete Beach

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Jamie Snowden
✓ Value Signal

Glory And Honour

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Sam England
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Saint Polo
63.6 5/2
2 1. Machete Beach
62.9 7/2
3 5. Scots Poet
60.7 4/1
4 4. Jolie Coeur Allen
59.4 6/1
5 6. Fine Point
58.4 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jolie Coeur Allen
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-10
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 113 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 5 · 12-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 10 · 11-4
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 107 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 5 · 11-1
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 10 · 12-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jolie Coeur Allen
Confidence: Speculative

Jolie Coeur Allen (SR:106, 9/2, Wgt:11-6) is the standout on market intelligence — a 23% steamer in a six-runner field is a significant signal, and it's the only runner shortening materially. The weight is favourable: 8lb less than top-weight Machete Beach (12-2) and 4lb less than Saint Polo (11-10), meaning Jolie Coeur Allen has a real lbs edge despite a modest SR. Recent form 173-42 is consistent enough at this class level (ClassMv:=) and the tongue-tie application suggests connections are targeting an improvement. In a small field at Class 4 for modest prize money, the market move of this magnitude on a 9/2 shot with stable confidence behind it is hard to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Scots Poet. Main danger: Scots Poet — Scots Poet (SR:107, 5/1) has outstanding course form (W2P3 at Sedgefield), is a 19% market mover, and despite stepping up in class carries only 11-4 — a genuine course specialist whose track record at this venue could easily overcome the class rise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Kevin Brogan has a deeply poor 5% strike rate from 65 rides — the weakest jockey stat in this field by a significant margin, and a real liability in a competitive 6-runner heat.
  • Scots Poet has also steamed in 19% and brings two course wins and three course places at Sedgefield — far stronger course form than Jolie Coeur Allen, who shows no course advantage flagged.
  • Machete Beach carries a superior SR of 121 (vs 106) with recent form 3-1132, is trained by a 25% strike-rate handler with Gavin Sheehan up (20%), and despite drifting 15% likely represents the class…
  • Form 173-42 includes a '4' and '2' in latest two runs — the most recent finish was a second, but the run before was a fourth, suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse peaking into this race.
Shortlist Jolie Coeur Allen, Machete Beach, Scots Poet, Saint Polo
Each-way: Scots Poet Danger: Scots Poet

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f178y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Sedgefield Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade