Noah's Ark Christmas Party Race Day Handicap Stakes · 1m3f209y
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hibernate | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 2 Crackergee | 2/1 open 4.00 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 85/40 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 85/40 William Hill |
| 3 Robusto | 7/2 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 10/3 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Raintown | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 10.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 10/3 open 9.50 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Flightofthephoenix | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 King's Castle | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Luan | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Shaffron | 15/2 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Robusto owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Crackergee (SR:78, 7/4) is the SR leader in this Class 5 field and carries the same weight as top-rated Robusto despite a 5-point SR deficit — a clean weight relationship. The 18% market inward move is the strongest Mkt:in signal in the field and represents meaningful confidence from connections and informed money. Course:W1P1 at Ffos Las is a direct course advantage over most rivals, and a ClassMv:= confirms no class-rise penalty. The return from 46 days is the only note of caution, but DistFit:? at this trip simply means insufficient sample rather than proven failure, and the trainer Hughie Morrison (10% strike rate, 160 runners) has the depth to know this horse stays. Each-way alternative: Flightofthephoenix. Main danger: Robusto — Robusto (SR:83) is the highest-rated horse in the field, won last time out (Form:015831), has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and carries only 1lb more than Crackergee despite a 5-point SR advantage — the drift of 7% is modest and may simply reflect blinkers applied first time, which can as easily spark improvement.