Killik Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f10y
SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sky Secret | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Innichen | 5/2 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Undercover Affair | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Betty Boop | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Rotelle | 9/1 open 5.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Arabica Queen | 6/1 open 17.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Holi Scarlett | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 True Charm | 12/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Innichen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Innichen (SR:97, 15/8) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this field. The SR of 97 is a full 11 points clear of the next-best Undercover Affair (SR:86) and 19 points ahead of the favourite's nearest rival at this class level — that ability gap is decisive in a Class 4 nursery. The horse drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), holds proven distance (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) at today's 5f10y trip on Good ground, and William Buick's booking (21% career strike rate from 393 rides) is the most compelling jockey signal in the race. The 14% market shortening confirms professional money behind this selection, and while the MarkMv:+11 rise in handicap mark demands scrutiny, the class drop more than compensates — Innichen is running off a higher mark but in a materially easier race. Each-way alternative: Arabica Queen. Main danger: Undercover Affair — Undercover Affair (SR:86, 15/2) drops a class tier, carries 9-5 (4lb less than Innichen), has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), and a 14% market steam mirrors Innichen's own support — if the MarkMv:+2 is absorbed by the class relief, the weight advantage and live market make this the most credible threat.