Bellewstown 20:02 25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026

Last Tuesday Gibney's Of Malahide (Q.R.) Handicap

Gibney's Of Malahide (Q.R.) Handicap · 2m1f110y

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  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Boxing Great Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Baltic Bird silks
Baltic Bird
Age 7 · 12-2
24/65-
80
70
88
7
12-2
11/1 14/1 10/1
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

2
Boxing Great silks
Boxing Great
Age 6 · 11-11
1-8681
75
80
77
6
11-11
10/3 9/4 10/3
Boxing Great arrives on the back of a win last time out and has prior experience of today's going, making him a live contender at 165 lb; the risk is that his three starts between those two victories show he can be inconsistent.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Friary Road silks
Friary Road
Age 6 · 11-9
339-32
73
68
77
6
11-9
15/2 11/2 13/2
Friary Road has been placed in four of his last five starts, including a runner-up finish last time out, yet he remains winless in recent starts and a 33-day absence plus a hefty 163 lb to carry are factors to weigh against him here.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Kimy silks
Kimy
Age 6 · 11-9
07296
73
58
70
6
11-9
28/1 14/1 28/1
Kimy arrives on the back of a sixth last time out and a ninth two starts back, and with our figures ranking her ninth of eleven she looks a tough sell, though going experience and a return after just 12 days suggest she is at least fit and ready — yet to score in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Jerandme silks
Jerandme
Age 12 · 11-8
40730-
72
54
81
12
11-8
33/1 22/1 33/1
Jerandme shaped with promise when third two starts back and, rated 81 on our figures, he represents a clear threat at this level despite carrying 162 lb; the main risk is a layoff of 103 days leaving his fitness open to question.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
Sequoiaspirit silks
Sequoiaspirit
Age 9 · 11-8
8/23-3
72
67
77
9
11-8
9/1 8/1 17/2
Sequoiaspirit has been a model of consistency, finishing third, third, and second in three of his last four starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 162 lb while yet to score in recent starts is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Catalani silks
Catalani
Age 7 · 11-7
44493
71
70
74
7
11-7
6/1 11/2 6/1
Catalani showed up with a third last time out after a run of fourths in recent starts, suggesting he finds a level without quite breaking through, and carrying 161 lb on a 19-day turnaround makes winning that bit harder still for a gelding yet to score in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Day Trader silks
Day Trader
Age 5 · 11-7
06-002
71
71
71
5
11-7
4/1 11/2 7/2
Day Trader has been winless in his last five starts, though that second last time out shows a degree of ability; carrying 161 lb is a stiff ask at this level, and he will need to improve on two unplaced efforts sandwiched around that run to make a real impact here.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Cooley's Mist silks
Cooley's Mist
Age 4 · 11-2
833102
66
74
69
4
11-2
11/2 9/2 5/1
Ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Cooley's Mist is hard to fancy despite a win three starts back and a runner-up finish last time out; lightly weighted concerns aside, five days is a quick turnaround and his overall recent profile makes him difficult to support at this level.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Miss Gitana silks
Miss Gitana
Age 5 · 11-2
098032
66
63
65
5
11-2
10/1 15/2 10/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Miss Gitana faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's going before and back-to-back placed efforts on her last two starts at least hint at some residual form.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Liberated Light silks
Liberated Light
Age 7 · 11-1
264/54
65
63
76
7
11-1
14/1
Liberated Light has been winless in his last five starts but shaped with promise when second five starts back, and he returns on a quick turnaround of 18 days with going experience in his favour; at 155 lb, the weight ask is the chief concern for a horse rated 65 officially.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Baltic Bird 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Boxing Great 10/3 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 9/2 Paddy Power
3 Friary Road 15/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
4 Kimy 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 Coral
5 Jerandme 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Sequoiaspirit 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Paddy Power
7 Catalani 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 William Hill
8 Day Trader 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
9 Cooley's Mist 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
10 Miss Gitana 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Paddy Power
11 Liberated Light 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Day Trader

Speculative

Day Trader owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 A J Martin Mr Finian Maguire
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Boxing Great

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Karl Thornton
✓ Value Signal

Kimy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Thomas Mullins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Day Trader
52.6 4/1
2 2. Boxing Great
51.2 10/3
3 7. Catalani
48.3 6/1
4 9. Cooley's Mist
48.3 11/2
5 1. Baltic Bird
48.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Boxing Great
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 11-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 11-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 11-2
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 7 · 11-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-9
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 9 · 11-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 11-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-2
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

11
Age 7 · 11-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Boxing Great
Confidence: Speculative

Boxing Great (SR:80, 9/4) is the clear class leader in a modest field where the next-best SR is 74. The last-run '1' in his form string and a mark only 1lb above his last win (MarkMv:+1) confirms he's operating at a live mark in peak form. The 9/4 price is the shortest in the race and justified by the SR advantage — he carries 11-11, a reasonable burden given he's conceding at least 4lb to most rivals while holding a substantial ability edge. GoingFit:~ is the only mild reservation, but good ground is a central bucket and not a clear negative; trainer Karl Thornton and an amateur jockey with a tongue-tie applied suggests connections are confident. The market drift risk is absent — no 'out' tag — and he's the only runner with a genuine SR separation from the pack. Each-way alternative: Cooley's Mist. Main danger: Cooley's Mist — Cooley's Mist (SR:74, 13/2) ran only 5 days ago so fitness is peak, carries a light 11-2, has a strong trainer (18% strike rate) and jockey (15%) pairing, and the '2' in last run suggests recency of form — if the tight turnaround is a positive rather than a concern, she's the most dangerous rival at a fair price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • HG:t (turf) for Boxing Great vs today's going — no explicit going confirmation shown, and his form string includes an '8' and '6' suggesting inconsistency that may be ground-related.
  • Amateur jockey Mr P J Cawley (7) has no win-rate displayed, suggesting limited experience; carrying 11-11 with a 7lb claimer in a competitive amateur handicap at Bellewstown's testing track is a real…
  • Cooley's Mist (SR:74) ran just 5 days ago, is 4lb better off at the weights (11-2 vs 11-11), trained by the in-form H Rogers (18% strike rate) and ridden by Mr H C Swan (15%) — a live market danger c…
  • Karl Thornton's trainer strike rate is just 8% (66 runners) — below average — and Boxing Great's form string '1-8681' shows the '1' is sandwiched by some poor runs, raising questions about his consis…
Shortlist Boxing Great, Cooley's Mist, Friary Road, Day Trader
Each-way: Cooley's Mist Danger: Cooley's Mist

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting