Boxing Great arrives on the back of a win last time out and has prior experience of today's going, making him a live contender at 165 lb; the risk is that his three starts between those two victories show he can be inconsistent.
Form last 61-8681
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR77RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Friary Road has been placed in four of his last five starts, including a runner-up finish last time out, yet he remains winless in recent starts and a 33-day absence plus a hefty 163 lb to carry are factors to weigh against him here.
Form last 6339-32
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR77RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kimy arrives on the back of a sixth last time out and a ninth two starts back, and with our figures ranking her ninth of eleven she looks a tough sell, though going experience and a return after just 12 days suggest she is at least fit and ready — yet to score in her last five starts.
Form last 607296
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR70RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Jerandme shaped with promise when third two starts back and, rated 81 on our figures, he represents a clear threat at this level despite carrying 162 lb; the main risk is a layoff of 103 days leaving his fitness open to question.
Form last 640730-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR81RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Sequoiaspirit has been a model of consistency, finishing third, third, and second in three of his last four starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 162 lb while yet to score in recent starts is the chief concern.
Form last 68/23-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR77RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Catalani showed up with a third last time out after a run of fourths in recent starts, suggesting he finds a level without quite breaking through, and carrying 161 lb on a 19-day turnaround makes winning that bit harder still for a gelding yet to score in his last five.
Form last 644493
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR74RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Day Trader has been winless in his last five starts, though that second last time out shows a degree of ability; carrying 161 lb is a stiff ask at this level, and he will need to improve on two unplaced efforts sandwiched around that run to make a real impact here.
Form last 606-002
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR71RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Cooley's Mist is hard to fancy despite a win three starts back and a runner-up finish last time out; lightly weighted concerns aside, five days is a quick turnaround and his overall recent profile makes him difficult to support at this level.
Form last 6833102
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR69RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Miss Gitana faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's going before and back-to-back placed efforts on her last two starts at least hint at some residual form.
Form last 6098032
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR65RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Liberated Light has been winless in his last five starts but shaped with promise when second five starts back, and he returns on a quick turnaround of 18 days with going experience in his favour; at 155 lb, the weight ask is the chief concern for a horse rated 65 officially.
Form last 6264/54
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR76RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Day Trader owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1A J MartinMr Finian Maguire
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Boxing Great
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Karl Thornton✓ Value Signal
Kimy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Thomas Mullins◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Boxing Great (SR:80, 9/4) is the clear class leader in a modest field where the next-best SR is 74. The last-run '1' in his form string and a mark only 1lb above his last win (MarkMv:+1) confirms he's operating at a live mark in peak form. The 9/4 price is the shortest in the race and justified by the SR advantage — he carries 11-11, a reasonable burden given he's conceding at least 4lb to most rivals while holding a substantial ability edge. GoingFit:~ is the only mild reservation, but good ground is a central bucket and not a clear negative; trainer Karl Thornton and an amateur jockey with a tongue-tie applied suggests connections are confident. The market drift risk is absent — no 'out' tag — and he's the only runner with a genuine SR separation from the pack.
Each-way alternative: Cooley's Mist.
Main danger: Cooley's Mist — Cooley's Mist (SR:74, 13/2) ran only 5 days ago so fitness is peak, carries a light 11-2, has a strong trainer (18% strike rate) and jockey (15%) pairing, and the '2' in last run suggests recency of form — if the tight turnaround is a positive rather than a concern, she's the most dangerous rival at a fair price.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG:t (turf) for Boxing Great vs today's going — no explicit going confirmation shown, and his form string includes an '8' and '6' suggesting inconsistency that may be ground-related.
Amateur jockey Mr P J Cawley (7) has no win-rate displayed, suggesting limited experience; carrying 11-11 with a 7lb claimer in a competitive amateur handicap at Bellewstown's testing track is a real…
Cooley's Mist (SR:74) ran just 5 days ago, is 4lb better off at the weights (11-2 vs 11-11), trained by the in-form H Rogers (18% strike rate) and ridden by Mr H C Swan (15%) — a live market danger c…
Karl Thornton's trainer strike rate is just 8% (66 runners) — below average — and Boxing Great's form string '1-8681' shows the '1' is sandwiched by some poor runs, raising questions about his consis…
ShortlistBoxing Great, Cooley's Mist, Friary Road, Day Trader