Lingfield (AW) 17:02 RESULTED
Class 6 25 Aug 2026

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Confirmed
  1. Winner Time To Sparkle (GB) Harry Vigors · James Keane
    9/4F
  2. 7/2
  3. 33/1
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Musselburgh

14:15–16:45 · 6 races

Lingfield (AW)

14:30–17:02 · 6 races

Bellewstown

16:20–20:02 · 8 races

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17:10–19:45 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jimmy Mark silks
Jimmy Mark
Age 6 · 9-12
5-2527
55
58
57
6
9-12
10/3 13/2 11/4
Winless in his last five starts, Jimmy Mark does at least bring experience of today's trip and going, and a return to form is not out of the question given he finished second two starts back; however, a seventh last time out is harder to overlook.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Backer Bilk silks
Backer Bilk
Age 4 · 9-11
235-88
54
41
59
4
9-11
12/1 10/1 12/1
Backer Bilk arrives here fit on a 13-day turnaround, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 59 puts him ahead of his official mark, suggesting some unexploited ability; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts, with those recent eighths hard to ignore.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Hove Ranger silks
Hove Ranger
Age 3 · 9-10
-21531
54
65
58
3
9-10
15/8 32/17 7/4
Hove Ranger won last time out and was third two starts back, so recent form reads well, though a fifth three starts back tempers enthusiasm; experience over today's trip and going helps, but 136 lb from stall eight is no small ask at a mark of 54.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Havana Tobouggaloo silks
Havana Tobouggaloo
Age 4 · 9-9
-25546
52
41
60
4
9-9
15/2 8/1 7/1
Winless in her last five starts, Havana Tobouggaloo nonetheless rates above her official mark on our figures and ranks second of eight in this field, making her a genuine threat, though her recent string of mid-pack finishes is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Minerality silks
Minerality
Age 3 · 9-9
8967
59
26
46
3
9-9
33/1 14/1 33/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Minerality faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 47 days between runs at least suggests connections felt a break was needed.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Thunder Goddess silks
Thunder Goddess
Age 3 · 9-9
645
59
56
43
3
9-9
5/2
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Thunder Goddess looks up against it here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a manageable 15-day break.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Time To Sparkle silks
Time To Sparkle
Age 3 · 9-7
915323
57
62
59
3
9-7
3/1
Placed in three of her last four starts, including second two runs back and third last time out, Time To Sparkle brings consistent each-way form to this contest and has experience of today's trip and going; the 133 lb burden from stall one is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sovereign Bright silks
Sovereign Bright
Age 3 · 9-3
330685
53
45
63
3
9-3
7/1 10/1 11/2
Sovereign Bright has run over today's trip and going, and our rating puts her narrowly at the head of the rankings, though she arrives 38 days between runs and is yet to score in her last six starts despite two thirds in that sequence.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jimmy Mark 10/3 open 10.00 3/1 open 13.00 10/3 open 11.00 10/3 open 11.00 10/3 open 11.00 11/4 open 7.50 10/3 Bet365
2 Backer Bilk 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Hove Ranger 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 15/8 15/8 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
4 Havana Tobouggaloo 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Minerality 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Thunder Goddess 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 5/2 Bet365
7 Time To Sparkle 3/1 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
8 Sovereign Bright 7/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hove Ranger

Speculative

Hove Ranger owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Gary & Josh Moore Toby Moore(7)
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Time To Sparkle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · James Keane
✓ Value Signal

Minerality

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Hove Ranger
51.6 15/8
2 7. Time To Sparkle
47.0 3/1
3 6. Thunder Goddess
46.7 5/2
4 1. Jimmy Mark
45.7 10/3
5 8. Sovereign Bright
44.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hove Ranger
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-10
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 9-12
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Age 4 · 9-11
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hove Ranger
Confidence: Speculative

Hove Ranger (SR 65, 15/8) is the class leader in this field and arrives on the back of a winning last run (form reads -21531, rightmost = 1), at Class 6 level where his SR comfortably tops the field. He carries a manageable 9-10, holds Course:W1P1 at Lingfield AW — a meaningful edge on a track where specialists dominate — and is trained by Gary & Josh Moore (12% strike rate, 243 runners, a solid yard). GoingFit:? is the only caveat, but given this is AW good and he has recent winning form, the market's 15/8 favouritism is well-founded. The danger is Jimmy Mark, whose 37% market steam is the most dramatic signal in the race and warrants serious respect despite his GoingFit:- flag. Each-way alternative: Thunder Goddess. Main danger: Jimmy Mark — Jimmy Mark has steamed 37% in the market — the sharpest move in the race — and while GoingFit:- is a concern, his SR of 58 and top-weight 9-12 suggest connections are very confident despite the apparent ground concern, making him a genuine threat to the favourite.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Toby Moore has a modest 8% strike rate from just 75 rides — a relatively inexperienced pilot carrying 9-10 on the class pick, which compounds any margin for error.
  • Form sequence -21531 shows Hove Ranger beat a Class 6 field last time, but the step back up or sideways in class may expose whether that win was a confidence-builder or a ceiling.
  • Thunder Goddess (SR:56, 11/4) is steaming in 20% with trainer Andrew Balding firing at 19% — the market is splitting conviction between two horses, weakening the case for Hove Ranger's favouritism be…
  • GoingFit:? for an AW specialist is a genuine unknown — if Lingfield AW good is riding differently today, his Course:W1P1 edge becomes less reliable and his recent win form less directly comparable.
Shortlist Hove Ranger, Jimmy Mark, Thunder Goddess, Time To Sparkle
Each-way: Thunder Goddess Danger: Jimmy Mark

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m2f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade