T Or Coffey won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing he can compete at this level, but a sixth last time out after 34 days off raises a fitness query, and 168 lb is a significant burden for a horse ranked fifth of eight here.
Form last 69/31-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR101RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Borna Gem won two starts back but has pulled up and been brought down in between, leaving her profile hard to read, and 128 days off the track adds further uncertainty; she has run over today's trip and a rating of 99 offers some hope, though ninth last time out tempers expectations.
Form last 63BP19-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR99RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Zucayan shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back and again three starts back, and he returns here fresh after 33 days off having run over today's trip before; yet to score in recent starts, but his profile over this distance and conditions makes him our pick.
Form last 6552-2F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR104RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Getmyfriend won last time out and has previous experience over today's trip and going, arriving from a yard firing at 26% over the past fortnight; the risk is that 164 lb is a hefty weight to carry.
Form last 63-1431
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR107RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dream Jet arrives on the back of a fourth last time out, with a third three starts back hinting at the ability to mix it at this level, and our rating of 103 slots him comfortably into contention despite carrying 160 lb; the risk is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 639-384
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR103RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mi Sueno returns just three days after his last outing, which raises a stamina-for-recovery question, and ranked eighth of eight on our figures he faces a stiff ask; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement.
Form last 6-P4512
★AI Rating★★★★☆
92SR82RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Miss Fedora offers little encouragement — a record featuring two pulled-ups and a refusal is deeply concerning. Her experience over today's trip and going is a minor positive, but she faces a stiff ask.
Form last 6RP8-6P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR83RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Getmyfriend owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mi Sueno
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/4 · Nick Scholfield✓ Value Signal
Borna Gem
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Mi Sueno (SR 92, 15/8) combines the second-highest SR in the field with a significant weight advantage — carrying just 10-2 versus Getmyfriend's 11-10, an 22lb edge on the field's SR leader. The form string -P4512 shows a clear upward trajectory culminating in a win last time out, and the market has steamed in 29% since opening, confirming strong support. Trainer Nick Scholfield (17%, 90 runners) and jockey Harry Reed (19%, 57 runners) are a productive combination, and the 3-day turnaround with no obvious fatigue risk on good-to-firm ground is a positive sign the yard is happy to run quickly. Running off MarkMv:+5 is a mild negative but the weight-for-age advantage and market confidence override that concern comfortably.
Each-way alternative: Juggernaut.
Main danger: Getmyfriend — Getmyfriend holds the highest SR in the field at 104 with Dan and Harry Skelton — a 21%/27% trainer-jockey combination — and a last-time-out win on form 3-1431, though the 22lb weight concession to Mi Sueno is a serious ask.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Getmyfriend carries SR:104 vs Mi Sueno's SR:92 — a 12-point SR gap that the weight allowance only partially offsets, and Getmyfriend's trainer (Skelton 21%) and jockey (H.Skelton 27%) strike-rates dw…
HG:p flag indicates a previous preference for softer ground, yet today's conditions are good-to-firm — a surface that may blunt Mi Sueno's effectiveness at this track.
MarkMv:+5 means the handicapper has already reacted to last time's win; running off a raised mark just 3 days later risks catching the horse before it has fully banked that form physically.
Getmyfriend has also drifted only 18% out vs the field average drift, holding market respect at the same 15/8 price with a significantly superior SR — the market is not clearly siding with Mi Sueno o…