Musselburgh 16:15 RESULTED
Class 6 25 Aug 2026

Last Tuesday AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap Stakes

AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap Stakes · 0m7f15y

Official Result

AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Novak (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine
    7/2
  2. 22/1
  3. 15/2
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Musselburgh

14:15–16:45 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Vince Le Prince silks
Vince Le Prince
Age 6 · 9-9
530203
65
63
73
6
9-9
7/1 7/1 6/1
Placed third last time out and second three starts back, Vince Le Prince arrives fresh on just eight days' rest and has experience of today's trip and conditions — with our rating of 73 putting him among the chief dangers here. Yet to win in recent starts, that elusive breakthrough remains the key risk.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Evangelic silks
Evangelic
Age 4 · 9-7
/4040-
63
30
68
4
9-7
80/1 18/1 66/1
Evangelic has run over today's trip and going before and shaped with promise when fourth two starts back, so the experience angle is there; yet to score in recent starts, and 52 days off the track is the obvious query.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

3
Gressington silks
Gressington
Age 5 · 9-7
080747
63
53
74
5
9-7
16/1 FCST 14/1
Gressington catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and his experience over today's trip and going stands him in good stead from stall nine carrying 133 lb; yet to score in recent starts, he must finally convert that promise into a tangible effort.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Luminous Warrior silks
Luminous Warrior
Age 4 · 9-6
786211
62
60
62
4
9-6
11/1 11/2 11/1
Luminous Warrior arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has experience of today's trip and conditions, yet his speed rating lags behind his official mark and that patchy earlier form — sixth, eighth and seventh in the sequence — is a reminder he can disappoint.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Novak silks
Novak
Age 7 · 9-6
523442
62
65
70
7
9-6
5/1 13/2 4/1
Novak arrives here in fine fettle after a second last time out, and his our rating of 70 marks him out as a serious threat from stall one; the chief concern is that he remains yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Keep Me Stable silks
Keep Me Stable
Age 6 · 9-2
-70823
58
60
62
6
9-2
17/2 7/1 15/2
Winless in her last five starts, Keep Me Stable nonetheless showed encouragement with a third last time out and a second two starts back, hinting at consistency; she has run over today's trip and going before, though carrying 128 lb from stall ten and a ranking of seventh of eleven suggests she faces a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Edmond Halley silks
Edmond Halley
Age 4 · 9-1
007533
57
65
63
4
9-1
11/4 11/2 9/4
Edmond Halley has been consistent in his last two starts, finishing third on both occasions, though he remains winless in recent starts and those placed efforts are his ceiling so far. Has run over today's trip and going, he carries 127 lb from stall three and returns on a quick eight-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sir David silks
Sir David
Age 4 · 9-1
082931
57
55
61
4
9-1
12/1 6/1 11/1
Winner last time out and back quickly on 13 days' rest, Sir David arrives with momentum, but a weight of 127 lb and a ranking of eighth in an eleven-runner field temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going before, at least lending some familiarity.
AI verdict

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Monhammer silks
Monhammer
Age 8 · 8-13
324611
55
67
58
8
8-13
11/2 7/2 5/1
Ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Monhammer makes it hard to build a case despite back-to-back wins in his last two starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, but the weight of 125 lb from stall eight and a modest official rating of 55 suggest he faces a stiff ask here.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Coconut Bay silks
Coconut Bay
Age 7 · 8-11
307432
53
57
59
7
8-11
7/1 7/1 6/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Coconut Bay is hard to fancy, though she has experience of today's distance and going and her placed efforts — third two starts back and second last time out — show she is at least mixing it at times.
AI verdict

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Joshuas Dream silks
Joshuas Dream
Age 4 · 8-6
8-0909
48
30
46
4
8-6
22/1 18/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Joshuas Dream ran just yesterday and has shown nothing but mid-to-tail-field finishes throughout that recent sequence; experience over today's distance and going is about the best that can be said for him here.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Vince Le Prince 7/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
2 Evangelic 80/1 open 19.00 66/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 19.00 80/1 open 19.00 80/1 open 19.00 66/1 open 19.00 80/1 Bet365
3 Gressington 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 14/1 18/1 Coral
4 Luminous Warrior 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 Paddy Power
5 Novak 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Keep Me Stable 17/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
7 Edmond Halley 11/4 open 7.50 9/4 open 6.50 9/4 open 7.00 9/4 open 7.00 5/2 open 7.00 9/4 open 7.00 11/4 Bet365
8 Sir David 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Monhammer 11/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 Bet365
10 Coconut Bay 7/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
11 Joshuas Dream 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Edmond Halley

Speculative

Edmond Halley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Edward Bethell Oisin Orr
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Novak

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Evangelic

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · R K Watson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Edmond Halley
48.2 11/4
2 5. Novak
47.5 5/1
3 9. Monhammer
46.9 11/2
4 1. Vince Le Prince
44.5 7/1
5 6. Keep Me Stable
43.6 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Monhammer
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-1
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 8-13
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 9-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 8-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-1
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Monhammer
Confidence: Speculative

Monhammer (SR:67, 4/1, Wgt:8-13) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight among the genuine contenders, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage — 12lb less than top-weight Vince Le Prince and 4lb less than Edmond Halley. Its form of 324611 shows back-to-back wins most recently, and Course:W2P5 at Musselburgh is exceptional specialist form. DistFit:+ confirms it handles this 7f trip, and although GoingFit is only ~, the good ground is not a significant concern. Linda Perratt's yard runs two here; Monhammer carries the stable flag (#1 designation) with the stronger recent form and the more experienced course record, and the 4/1 price is workable. The +7 mark rise is the one concern, but the weight-for-age advantage partially offsets that penalty. Each-way alternative: Keep Me Stable. Main danger: Edmond Halley — Edmond Halley (SR:65, 3/1, Mkt:in43%) is the equal top-rated runner and has been backed heavily from a much bigger opening price — the market is clearly confident, Edward Bethell's 16% strike rate is the best in the field, and Oisin Orr is a high-quality booking that adds further credibility.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Monhammer is 8 years old and rises +7 marks off back-to-back wins — handicapper has reacted sharply and at this age the ceiling is likely being reached rather than still rising.
  • Edmond Halley (3/1, SR:65, trained by 16% Bethell with 14% Orr aboard) has been backed in 43% and is shorter in the market despite a 4lb weight disadvantage — market strongly preferring the 4yo impro…
  • GoingFit is only '~' for Monhammer, meaning today's good ground is not confirmed as genuinely suitable — course wins may have come on different ground conditions.
  • Stable companion Keep Me Stable (W2P3 at Musselburgh, dropping -3 marks) is a proven course specialist off a lower mark and could split yard resources or represent better value at 15/2.
Shortlist Monhammer, Edmond Halley, Keep Me Stable, Novak
Each-way: Keep Me Stable Danger: Edmond Halley

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m7f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade