Bellewstown 17:30 25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026

Last Tuesday Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div II)

Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div II) · 7f195y

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AI rates Micasso Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Albion Power silks
Albion Power
Age 5 · 10-2
9-8490
60
34
64
5
10-2
16/1 16/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, Albion Power did finish fourth three starts back and shaped with some promise, while experience over today's trip and a rating of 64 on our figures offer encouragement; sixty days off the track is the main query.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Givehertilxmas silks
Givehertilxmas
Age 4 · 10-2
606-03
60
56
60
4
10-2
4/1 9/2 7/2
Winless in her last five starts, Givehertilxmas at least showed a return to form with a third last time out, though a 56-day absence and 142 lb from stall 15 are factors to weigh against her having run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Dinamine silks
Dinamine
Age 8 · 10-1
395170
59
51
54
8
10-1
11/1 13/2 11/1
Dinamine showed he can win when landing a success three starts back, but has been unplaced last time out and found little in between, leaving his current form patchy; he has run over today's trip and going, though his rating of 54 gives him plenty to find against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Medieval Night silks
Medieval Night
Age 4 · 10-1
304762
59
55
61
4
10-1
5/1 FCST 9/2
Medieval Night has shown he can mix it at this level, finishing second last time out and third in his last six, though a sixth and seventh in between highlight his inconsistency; yet to win in recent starts, he has distance and going experience to call on, but 141 lb is no help.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Perfect Judgement silks
Perfect Judgement
Age 5 · 10-1
777502
59
59
67
5
10-1
11/2 9/2 11/2
Perfect Judgement ran a fine second last time out and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going on his side; ranked top of the field on our ratings, the chief risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Land Of The Giants silks
Land Of The Giants
Age 4 · 9-13
373604
57
55
63
4
9-13
13/2 5/1 13/2
Land Of The Giants shaped with promise when third four starts back and arrives here fit on a 13-day turnaround, with experience over today's trip and a rating of 63 lending him strong claims; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and must bounce back from a latest fourth.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Think About It silks
Think About It
Age 4 · 9-8
-80570
52
35
55
4
9-8
22/1 10/1 22/1
Winless in her last five starts, Think About It heads here 20 days after her latest unplaced effort, and while she has run over today's trip and going before, her recent record offers little encouragement; a rating of 55 in a 15-runner field leaves her with plenty to prove from stall 8 carrying 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Bright Dick silks
Bright Dick
Age 6 · 9-7
50093/
51
37
62
6
9-7
33/1 20/1 28/1
Bright Dick shaped with promise when third in his most recent start, and has run over today's distance and going, giving him obvious claims here; the significant concern is a 775-day absence, which makes his fitness the key question.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

9
Micasso silks
Micasso
Age 4 · 9-7
20-100
51
50
50
4
9-7
10/1 18/1 9/1
Unplaced in each of his last two starts, Micasso has been out of the frame more often than not in recent outings and, ranked eleventh of fifteen on our figures, he faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a fresh enough 19-day break.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Oitentinha silks
Oitentinha
Age 4 · 9-2
809/99
46
32
58
4
9-2
22/1 22/1 20/1
Winless in her last five starts and returning after 67 days off, Oitentinha faces questions about form, though she has run over today's distance and going and a step up from her official mark to a speed rating of 65 offers a sliver of encouragement from stall 14.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Chant d'Or silks
Chant d'Or
Age 4 · 9-1
000-
45
15
32
4
9-1
50/1 33/1 50/1
Winless in his last three starts and returning after 308 days off, Chant d'Or faces a stiff task ranked last on our figures, and a trainer without a winner in 20 recent attempts does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

12
Sunday Sovereign silks
Sunday Sovereign
Age 9 · 9-1
0038-0
45
28
54
9
9-1
40/1 22/1 28/1
Sunday Sovereign arrives 81 days since his last outing and is yet to win in recent starts, with a third three starts back the sole encouragement in a largely modest recent sequence; 127 lb from stall 12 adds to the challenge, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

13
Duchess Anne silks
Duchess Anne
Age 5 · 8-13
006-42
43
47
48
5
8-13
5/1 5/1 9/2
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 12 of 15 on our figures, Duchess Anne faces a stiff task from stall 11 off a mark of 43, though a runner-up finish last time out and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 47 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Master Garvey silks
Master Garvey
Age 6 · 8-10
750397
40
44
47
6
8-10
10/1 10/1 9/1
Master Garvey arrives on the back of a seventh and ninth in his last two starts, and while he did show a third three starts back, he is winless in recent starts and ranks thirteenth of fifteen on our figures, making him very hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Monzoon silks
Monzoon
Age 9 · 8-10
00900-
40
22
43
9
8-10
40/1
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 256 days, Monzoon is a tough sell here — ranked 14 of 15 on our figures — though he has run over today's distance and going before and carries a manageable 122 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Albion Power 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 14/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
2 Givehertilxmas 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Dinamine 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 Coral
4 Medieval Night 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Perfect Judgement 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Paddy Power
6 Land Of The Giants 13/2 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
7 Think About It 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 25/1 Coral
8 Bright Dick 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Micasso 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 10/1 Bet365
10 Oitentinha 22/1 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Chant d'Or 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
12 Sunday Sovereign 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
13 Duchess Anne 5/1 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
14 Master Garvey 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
15 Monzoon 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Land Of The Giants

Speculative

Land Of The Giants owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Adrian McGuinness Adam Caffrey
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Givehertilxmas

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Gerard Keane
✓ Value Signal

Sunday Sovereign

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · G A Kingston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Land Of The Giants
47.5 13/2
2 2. Givehertilxmas
46.1 4/1
3 5. Perfect Judgement
43.2 11/2
4 13. Duchess Anne
43.1 5/1
5 14. Master Garvey
42.3 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Micasso
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-2
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 10-1
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 8-13
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 10-1
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 6 · 8-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 10-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 34 🐾

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Micasso
Confidence: Speculative

Micasso (SR:50, 11/1) is the standout selection on the back of a dramatic 43% market move inward — the strongest steaming signal in the entire field by a wide margin — suggesting significant stable/market confidence. While the SR of 50 is modest, it is comfortably within the competitive range for this €6,000 Class handicap field, and the horse carries a light 9-7 with a MarkMv:+5 that is manageable. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ indicate moderate but not prohibitive evidence at this trip and going, and the trainer Kinsella pairing with Seamie Heffernan — a jockey of 5% strike rate across 647 career rides who rarely takes below-par bookings — adds a meaningful connections signal. In a field of 15 largely uninspiring performers, the money speaks loudest here. Each-way alternative: Perfect Judgement. Main danger: Givehertilxmas — Givehertilxmas (SR:56, 9/2) is the highest SR in the shortlist, has Colin Keane booked — the field's best jockey at 16% career strike rate from 1,046 rides — and has also steamed 8% in the market, making it the most dangerous rival despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Donal Kinsella has a 2% strike rate from 41 runners — extremely low volume and conversion, making the Heffernan booking less meaningful as a stable confidence signal.
  • Micasso's recent form reads 20-100: a zero last time out, a zero two runs back, and only one placed effort in recent starts — the horse is not in a winning vein heading into this competitive 15-runne…
  • MarkMv of +5 means the handicapper has already raised Micasso's mark, so the horse enters on a higher rating than when last placed, reducing the handicap edge that may have attracted market interest.
  • Givehertilxmas (SR:56, 9/2) and Perfect Judgement (SR:59, 5/1) both hold materially superior speed ratings and are ridden by higher strike-rate jockeys (Colin Keane 16%, Ronan Whelan 8% vs Heffernan…
Shortlist Micasso, Perfect Judgement, Givehertilxmas, Duchess Anne
Each-way: Perfect Judgement Danger: Givehertilxmas

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f195y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting