Bellewstown 19:02 25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026

Last Tuesday Gibney's Of Gormanstown Handicap

Gibney's Of Gormanstown Handicap · 5f3y

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  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Prairie Girl Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 20 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Namiid silks
Namiid
Age 3 · 10-3
-31423
85
82
86
3
10-3
6/1 7/2 6/1
Third last time out and a runner-up two starts back, Namiid brings strong recent consistency to this contest and has experience of today's trip and going; rated 86 and topping the rankings here, he looks the one to beat off 143 lb from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Prairie Girl silks
Prairie Girl
Age 4 · 10-3
D-1104
83
81
74
4
10-3
4/1 5/1 4/1
SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cuban Grey silks
Cuban Grey
Age 6 · 9-13
179435
79
65
79
6
9-13
13/2 10/1 13/2
Cuban Grey showed a win in his recent starts and returns in good order just ten days on, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; the concern is that he could manage only fifth last time.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Bad Boy Rizz silks
Bad Boy Rizz
Age 3 · 9-11
1-2354
79
77
82
3
9-11
6/1 9/2 11/2
Bad Boy Rizz shaped with promise when third three starts back and was a winner five starts back, and he has run over today's trip with a rating of 82 putting him right in the mix; the risk is that his last two outings have been a shade below that level.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Smoke Them Out silks
Smoke Them Out
Age 4 · 9-8
602030
74
56
79
4
9-8
12/1 14/1 10/1
Smoke Them Out showed real ability when finishing third two starts back and second four starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and ground; however, he has been winless in recent starts and must bounce back from an unplaced effort last time.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Buddy Batt silks
Buddy Batt
Age 5 · 9-7
-31560
73
58
74
5
9-7
16/1 14/1 12/1
Buddy Batt won one from five in recent starts and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but an unplaced latest effort and 58 days off the track leave questions to answer, even if the 133 lb burden from stall four is manageable enough.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

7
Harry's Hill silks
Harry's Hill
Age 8 · 9-7
060621
73
80
77
8
9-7
5/1 7/2 5/1
Harry's Hill arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, yet his wider recent record — just one win in his last six starts — tempers enthusiasm somewhat; 133 lb is no light burden from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Treasured Royal silks
Treasured Royal
Age 3 · 9-3
453540
71
53
78
3
9-3
25/1 16/1 25/1
Winless in her last six starts and returning just three days after her latest unplaced effort, Treasured Royal faces a quick turnaround, though a trainer firing at 26% in the last 14 days offers encouragement, and she has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Happy Henry silks
Happy Henry
Age 5 · 9-0
313159
66
66
62
5
9-0
7/1 11/2 7/1
Happy Henry has won twice in his last six starts, with a win three starts back, but back-to-back finishes of fifth and ninth since suggest he's out of form, and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures he faces a stiff ask here despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Asdana silks
Asdana
Age 4 · 8-9
2-0409
61
58
71
4
8-9
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Asdana returns after 79 days off looking hard to fancy, though she has run over today's trip and going and her fourth three starts back shows she can threaten the places on her day.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Bye Bye Now silks
Bye Bye Now
Age 4 · 8-8
441427
60
58
59
4
8-8
9/1 11/1 8/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Bye Bye Now faces a stiff ask, and a seventh last time out does little to inspire confidence; she has run over today's trip before and a second two starts back shows she can threaten, but she looks up against it here.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Namiid 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 Coral
2 Prairie Girl 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Paddy Power
3 Cuban Grey 13/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 15/2 Paddy Power
4 Bad Boy Rizz 6/1 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Smoke Them Out 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Buddy Batt 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365
7 Harry's Hill 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
8 Treasured Royal 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Happy Henry 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Paddy Power
10 Asdana 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 Bet365
11 Bye Bye Now 9/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Namiid

Speculative

Namiid owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 J P Murtagh Patrick McGettigan(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Prairie Girl

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Daniel James Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Treasured Royal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gavin Cromwell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Namiid
53.5 6/1
2 2. Prairie Girl
51.4 4/1
3 7. Harry's Hill
50.8 5/1
4 3. Cuban Grey
49.9 13/2
5 4. Bad Boy Rizz
49.2 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Prairie Girl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-3
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 9-7
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 10-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-0
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 8-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 4 · 8-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Prairie Girl
Confidence: Speculative

Prairie Girl (SR:81, 4/1) is the most compelling package in this field. She carries 10-3 — the joint-top weight alongside Namiid — but her SR is the second-highest in the race and critically she has a confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's 5f trip on good ground, meaning the conditions are precisely what she handles best. The market has steamed in 16% since opening, which is the strongest positive market move in the field and suggests informed support. Her form includes a recent win (D-1104, rightmost = 0 last time but the '1' prior to that shows recent peak form) and while she runs off a mark 6lb higher than her last win, the weight-and-class context of a €9,000 handicap at Bellewstown makes that manageable. Terry Casey (7) books at 10% career strike rate — respectable for a claimer — and the combination of market confidence, distance/going suitability, and competitive SR wins the argument. Each-way alternative: Namiid. Main danger: Bad Boy Rizz — Bad Boy Rizz (SR:77, 11/2) carries a favourable 9-11 with Shane Foley in the saddle (11% career strike rate, one of the strongest jockey bookings in the race), and while GoingFit:- is a concern, his recent form 1-2354 includes a win and he drops 6lb in weight versus both top-weights, which could compensate on good ground.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Prairie Girl's form reads D-1104 — the most recent run is a '0' (unplaced), and the '4' before it shows a deteriorating sequence; she may be on a downward curve rather than bouncing back.
  • Harry's Hill (SR:80, 4/1 joint-favourite) is 9 days fresh off a win, runs off a 4lb lower mark than Prairie Girl, and is drawn in stall 7 — a live rival at identical odds with strong recent form.
  • Namiid holds the highest SR in the field (82) at the same weight (10-3) and is trained by J P Murtagh (11% strike rate, 675 rides) with a far superior jockey booking — Prairie Girl's Terry Casey (7)…
  • Prairie Girl's mark has risen 6lb since her last win and she carries joint-top weight in a tight €9,000 sprint handicap where weight-to-ability ratios matter; the '0' last time suggests the handicapp…
Shortlist Prairie Girl, Namiid, Bad Boy Rizz, Harry's Hill
Each-way: Namiid Danger: Bad Boy Rizz

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f3y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting