South Parade won last time out and, having already run over today's trip and going, she arrives in good nick just 17 days on from that victory; carrying 135 lb from stall three, her earlier form in recent starts is mixed, but current fitness and conditions align nicely.
Form last 6749631
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beerwah has been in and out of form, with an eighth and two finishes outside the frame sandwiching his wins in recent starts, and our figures rank him fifth of six here. The second last time out offers some encouragement, and he has experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6176182
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR63RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jojo Rabbit has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 69 has him ranked second among the six runners, suggesting he is sharper than his official mark of 62; the concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts, with his latest effort an unplaced run.
Form last 6228640
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR69RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and returning after 75 days off, Pouting nonetheless rates well above her official mark of 62 on our figures as the top-rated runner in the field, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that her recent form has been patchy at best.
Form last 63758-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR73RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Albegone showed real promise with a second three starts back and a third five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but winless in his last six starts and a trainer firing at just 3% over the past fortnight make this a tough ask.
Form last 6237265
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR64RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Zuffolo is hard to fancy despite a win last time out and some experience over today's trip and conditions, with his overall recent profile — including two eighths in his last six starts — making him difficult to trust at the weights.
Form last 6820831
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
South Parade owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Richard & Peter FaheyEthan Tindall(5)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jojo Rabbit
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Ruth Carr✓ Value Signal
Pouting
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Daragh Bourke◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jojo Rabbit (SR:70, 7/2) combines the highest SR in this modest Class 6 field with a class drop (ClassMv:↓1) and a striking 41% market inward move — the strongest steaming of any runner. At 9-7, the weight is favourable compared to South Parade's 9-9. The recent form string ends in '0' but that last run needs context alongside the class step down, and Ruth Carr's handling of veteran sprinters is consistent at 11% strike rate. The market is emphatically telling us something here.
Each-way alternative: South Parade.
Main danger: South Parade — South Parade (SR:76, 6/4) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and has shortened 24% in the market, and despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:- concerns, raw ability and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Last run ended in '0' (last place) just 12 days ago — very short turnaround with no visible bounce back in form, and a class drop alone rarely transforms a horse beaten out of sight so recently.
South Parade (SR:76) is the superior-rated horse at 6/4 and steamed 24% in — the market may simply be correcting Jojo Rabbit's price rather than flagging a genuine win move.
James Sullivan's 6% strike rate is notably weak for a horse touted as the market mover; the booking does not inspire confidence that connections are supremely bullish.
At age 8, a veteran sprinter returning 12 days after a last-place finish raises recovery concerns — Ruth Carr's 11% trainer strike rate is modest and does not strongly support a bounce-back narrative.