National Racehorse Week Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f1y
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Needin' U | 11/4 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Spectacular Diver | 5/1 open 3.00 | 9/2 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 5/1 open 3.00 | 9/2 open 3.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Lauralynn | 9/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.87 | 7/4 open 2.87 | 85/40 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Aodhan | 6/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mardy Bum | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Bea Kindly | 28/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 14/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Stay On Tab | 15/2 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 13/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 8 Savoy Blue | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Needin' U owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lauralynn (SR:75, 7/4) is the clear class horse in this field, carrying the highest SR by 9 points over the next-best Spectacular Diver (SR:66). Crucially, she ticks every key box simultaneously: DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles this exact trip and going combination, she is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), and the market has shortened 10% — the money is following her into the ring. Her form string 32173 shows a recent win followed by a 3 last time, suggesting she returns to winning ways at this easier level. Jason Hart is a stronger booking at 14% strike rate but Zak Wheatley at 9% is adequate, and the Declan Carroll yard at 10% is consistent. Each-way alternative: Spectacular Diver. Main danger: Spectacular Diver — Spectacular Diver (SR:66, 3/1) is the only other runner with a meaningful SR and has Jason Hart aboard at 14% strike rate, dropping a class — despite the drift of 32% and a GoingFit:- flag, the market price still reflects residual respect.