Landed a win two starts back but finished seventh last time out, which tempers enthusiasm; he has run over today's trip and going, and 140 lb is a stiff ask off an official mark of 57.
Form last 6149317
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR55RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Suerte nevertheless has experience over today's trip and comes here fresh enough on a 19-day turnaround, though she carries 139 lb from stall 12 and her recent string of unplaced efforts makes improvement essential.
Form last 69-7006
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR56RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
Wegotogether has run over today's trip and going, and with her trainer striking at 26% in the last fortnight she arrives with strong support behind her; the concern is that she has been winless in her last five starts and returns after 101 days off.
Form last 64550-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR62RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Wellwhatshappenin arrives 19 days fresh after back-to-back unplaced efforts, yet he showed better form deeper in the sequence with a third three starts back and a winner five starts back, giving him something to build on; 139 lb from stall 13 makes life no easier.
Form last 6123-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR54RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Distillate has experience over today's trip and going, and her second four starts back gives her a profile worth respecting, with our rating of 58 suggesting she holds claims in this field; the main worry is a 148-day absence coupled with three winless outings in her most recent starts.
Form last 69-2700
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR58RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Heart Of Eternity heads here just nine days after her latest eighth-place effort, and while she has run over today's trip and carries a manageable 135 lb from stall six, her persistent struggles for form make her hard to fancy from seventh in the ratings.
Form last 6800008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR54RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last three starts, with back-to-back ninths the most recent evidence, Pettus Bridge faces a stiff ask from stall 16 carrying 131 lb, and a rating of 36 ranked last of 16 leaves little to cling to, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6099
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR36RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Lohengrin does at least bring distance experience to the table and is fit enough having run just 13 days ago, though a top-speed figure of 60 and an official mark of 45 suggest he faces a stiff task from stall eight carrying 128 lb.
Form last 6000008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR47RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Ranked 13 of 16 on our figures and officially rated just 43, Draiocht is hard to fancy against this field, though he does bring distance and going experience and returns on a fresh enough 19-day break, with a third last time out at least showing some recent consistency.
Form last 6190-43
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR41RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, La Campanella arrives here on a sharp 13-day turnaround with experience over today's trip in her favour, though a fourth two starts back is the best she has offered recently, and a rating of 43 suggests she faces a stiff ask from stall four carrying 126 lb.
Form last 6-07547
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR46RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rampage has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 58 places him third among 16 runners, suggesting he holds genuine claims here; the concern is a winless recent sequence in his last six starts that makes the case harder to seal.
Form last 6670078
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR58RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tullyesker has been winless in his last four starts, finishing eighth twice and unplaced twice, and a rating of 43 ranked twelfth of sixteen makes him hard to fancy; the 55-day absence is a concern, though he has run over today's trip and draws stall one.
Form last 6008-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR43RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 15 of 16 on our figures, Bang Po makes little appeal, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns from a 54-day break with a handy draw in stall two.
Form last 6090060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR38RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Hale Bopp arrives winless in recent starts and returns after a 75-day absence, which raises a fitness query, though he has experience over today's trip and going; a third three starts back offers some encouragement, but two unplaced efforts since then keep him a tentative proposition from stall nine.
Form last 6667300
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR45RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with a string of mid-field and unplaced efforts, Jazz Dreamers is hard to fancy on these figures — ranked 14 of 16 — though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 31-day break.
Form last 60-7980
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR41RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Brains has been winless in his last six starts, though a second six starts back hints at better days, and he arrives fit on a quick turnaround five days ago; experience over today's trip and going, combined with a rating of 62 that tops the field, makes him the one to beat here.
Form last 6265756
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR62RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Launch Time owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Cian HughesColin Keane
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Draiocht
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · T J O'Mara✓ Value Signal
Heart Of Eternity
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Launch Time (SR:62, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 6 points over the next best (Brains, SR:56), and that ability edge is backed by a 12% market move in — Colin Keane booking at 16% strike rate from over 1,000 career rides is a meaningful signal in an Irish handicap. Carrying 10-0 is the heaviest weight in the field, but the SR advantage is substantial enough to absorb that burden in a 7f195y contest on Good going where DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ at least show moderate compatibility. The visor application and an 11-day turnaround suggest connections are optimistic, and a MarkMv:+4 is only a modest rise — not a punishing hike. The form string 149317 shows recent inconsistency, but the market confidence of 12% inward move on a 9/4 shot in a 16-runner handicap is hard to dismiss.
Each-way alternative: Brains.
Main danger: Brains — Brains (SR:56, 5/1) has steamed in 35% from its opening price — the strongest market move in the field — and at age 10 on a 5-day turnaround the connections clearly believe conditions suit, making that sustained market confidence the most compelling counter-signal to Launch Time's superiority.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 149317 includes a 7th last time out — the visor is a first-time headgear change suggesting connections are masking a horse that has regressed, not one in a reliable upswing.
Carrying top weight of 10-0 in a 16-runner handicap over an extended 7f195y trip at Bellewstown — a tight, undulating track that typically favours lower-weighted, fresher horses with tactical speed.
Trainer Cian Hughes has only a 14% strike rate from just 37 rides — a very thin sample suggesting limited big-race placing ability, undermining the Keane booking as a reliable stable-jockey signal.
Brains (SR:56) has had a 35% market move IN at 5/1 — a stronger percentage move than Launch Time's 12% — suggesting the market may have found a better-handicapped rival with fresher legs (5 days sinc…