Thomson Bethune Handicap Stakes · 1m0f208y
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amber Hamur | 5/6 open 2.88 | 4/5 open 2.38 | 4/6 open 2.63 | 4/6 open 2.63 | 5/6 open 2.62 | 4/5 open 2.50 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 2 Vitality | 16/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Only Dream Big | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Horwich | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 William Hill |
| 5 Balmoral Boy | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Positive Thoughts | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dalamara | 11/1 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Trucial Pearl | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Trucial Pearl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Amber Hamur (SR:54, evens) has steamed in 27% from opening and sits at evens in an 8-runner Class 6 handicap — the market is sending a very clear signal. The form string 46211 (right-to-left: last run 1st, penultimate 1st) shows back-to-back wins in excellent recent form, the only horse in the field with that kind of momentum. GoingFit:+ confirms suitability for today's good ground, and Edward Bethell (16% strike rate, 627 runners — a reliable northern yard) booking Connor Beasley (15%) completes a confident connections picture. Running off a mark 5lb higher (MarkMv:+5) is the only caveat, but consecutive wins going into that rise is textbook form for a horse still improving at 3. Each-way alternative: Trucial Pearl. Main danger: Trucial Pearl — Trucial Pearl carries the best SR in the field (64) on the lightest weight (8-7), giving it a significant pounds-per-ability edge, and its form string ends in a win (4th run back) followed by 314 — consistently hitting the frame at this class.