Kinrara Gin EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted/Hamilton 2yo Qual) (GBB Race) · 0m6f6y
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Baldetti | 15/8 open 2.38 | — | 15/8 open 2.38 | 15/8 open 2.38 | 2/1 open 2.38 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 William Hill |
| 2 Harley | 11/8 open 2.88 | — | 11/8 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 2.75 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Longshanks Luke | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Sea Mirage | 6/1 open 6.00 | — | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 William Hill |
| 5 Lightenings Legacy | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Profitability | 9/1 open 12.00 | — | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Profitability owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (59). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Profitability carries the highest SR in the field at 150 — comfortably above the next-best Longshanks Luke (SR 139) and well clear of the market leaders Harley (SR 84) and Baldetti (SR 81). Despite a form line of 5-6, the SR signals considerably more ability than those finishing positions suggest, and critically the market has moved sharply in its favour — Mkt:in34% is a substantial steamer that demands respect. The weight advantage is also meaningful: Profitability carries 8-13 against 9-7 for most rivals, a genuine 8lb edge over Baldetti and Harley on the scale. Craig Lidster's booking of William Pyle is modest, but the market move overrides jockey concerns in a small field of six. Each-way alternative: Harley. Main danger: Harley — Harley (SR 84, 11/8) has a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 6f trip, is steaming in 12% with Daniel Tudhope in the plate — a 16% career strike-rate jockey — and the Edward Bethell yard operates at 15%, making this the most professionally-backed runner despite an SR well below Profitability's.