Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes · 0m5f182y
SR 78 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jenever | 10/3 open 6.50 | — | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 Coral |
| 2 Sixtygeesbaby | 6/1 open 11.00 | — | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Stirrup Cup | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Another Investment | 7/2 | — | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Betfred |
| 5 Maldevious | 11/2 open 6.00 | — | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Great | 9/2 open 3.75 | — | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Pickersgill | 17/2 open 15.00 | — | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Showtown | 16/1 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Valentine Catcher | 18/1 open 34.00 | — | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Great owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 78 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Jenever (SR:78, 3/1) carries 10-0 but has steamed in 27% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — suggesting informed money is behind this run. The MarkMv:-5 indicates a lower mark than at last win, giving connections a clear handicapping edge. Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 1295 career runs) is a strong booking on a northern circuit like Carlisle. The negatives — DistFit:- and GoingFit:- — are real concerns, but the weight of market signal and the dropped mark make this a horse to follow rather than oppose at 3/1. Each-way alternative: Sixtygeesbaby. Main danger: Sixtygeesbaby — Sixtygeesbaby (SR:73, 11/2) has steamed in 28% — the joint-biggest move in the field — and David O'Meara placing a 4-year-old with recent sharp market support in a Class 5 handicap is a strong yard signal that deserves serious respect, even with DistFit:- matching Jenever's weakness.