Michaela's Boy was a winner one start back and has experience of today's trip and conditions; drawn in stall six carrying 140 lb, the eighth last time out is the one query, though his rating of 89 marks him as the one to beat here.
Form last 6256718
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR89RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Moulin Booj has finished second twice in his last six starts — most recently last time out and three starts back — and returns fit on just ten days' rest, with experience of today's distance and going telling in his favour; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6663252
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR88RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten well into the rear on her last two starts and 81 days between runs counts against her, though she does own a win three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Hard to fancy ranked sixth of seven on our figures.
Form last 60416-9
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR81RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mesaafi ran over today's trip and going combination and a win four starts back underlines his capability at this level, with a rating of 86 supporting his claims from stall five; the main risk is his two latest runs have both been unplaced.
Form last 6841400
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR86RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Grandlad won three starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, returning fit on 17 days off carrying 133 lb from stall one — the risk is that his last two runs have seen him finish sixth and seventh.
Form last 684-167
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR84RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Goyard did show a third three starts back and returns here 16 days on from a fourth, with experience over today's trip and going a steadying factor; 132 lb from stall two is the challenge.
Form last 685-384
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR82RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked last on our figures and her recent form makes grim reading — eighth and seventh in her last two starts — though she does own a win in her last six and has run over today's distance and going before. Hard to fancy at 130 lb.
Form last 6946178
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Moulin Booj owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4George ScottTom Marquand
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mesaafi
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Ross Burdon✓ Value Signal
Forager
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Simon Pearce◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Moulin Booj (SR 95, 7/4) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 7 SR points clear of the next-best Michaela's Boy and Mesaafi, carrying a very manageable 9-8. GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles good-to-firm, and at the same class and same mark as last win (MarkMv:=), there is no penalty burden to overcome. Trainer George Scott operates at an 18% career strike rate and Tom Marquand at 13% — a well-connected booking. The main concern is DistFit:- at 5f8y, but SR superiority and going suitability are strong enough compensating factors in a modest Class 4 sprint field where no other runner carries multiple positively-aligned signals.
Each-way alternative: Forager.
Main danger: Forager — Forager has steamed in 18% in the market — the strongest move in the race — carries DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's conditions, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), suggesting connections believe the horse is well-placed off 81 days fresh.