Cummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 0m7f173y
SR 63 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hostility | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bay Dream Believer | 11/2 open 4.33 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Izzari | 5/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/2 open 10.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 Betfred |
| 4 Perfidia | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 | 9/2 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Tees George | 11/4 open 3.00 | — | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Jewel Maker | 10/1 open 21.00 | — | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Rajawail | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Balance Of Trade | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Perfidia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Izzari (SR:61, 11/2) is the most compelling selection on market movement alone — a 34% market shortening in a Class 6 apprentice handicap is a significant signal that connections expect a bold show. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) gives it a structural edge over rivals running at the same level, and with only 17 days since its last run it arrives in good order. The GoingFit:? on today's good ground is the main unknown, but the class relief and strong market confidence outweigh that uncertainty in a field where no rival combines both a superior SR and compelling market support. At 11/2, there is fair each-way value if the market has identified a genuine improvement in conditions. Each-way alternative: Perfidia. Main danger: Perfidia — Perfidia holds the field's highest SR (67), has confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and as Tim Easterby's yard number one — backed by the more experienced Cian Horgan booking over Jewel Maker's Amie Waugh — it is tactically set up to exploit its class edge, with only the MarkMv:+5 rise off its last win adding a slight caution.