Book Your Christmas Party At Hamilton Park Handicap Stakes · 1m4f15y
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ebony Maw | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Patrick Street | 2/1 open 7.00 | — | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 Betfred |
| 3 Mr Withington | 10/1 open 12.00 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 Betfred |
| 4 Game Management | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Betfred |
| 5 Satyress | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Spirit Of Nature | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Betfred |
| 7 Storm On Jura | 18/1 open 23.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Falaise Blanc | 6/1 open 7.50 | — | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Fairydale | 15/2 open 3.75 | — | 7/1 open 3.75 | 7/1 open 3.75 | 15/2 open 3.75 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Satyress owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Patrick Street (SR:57, 3/1) is the most compelling selection on multiple converging signals. The 33% market shortening since opening is the strongest market move in the field and in a modest Class 6 sprint of ability it demands respect — money is clearly going this way for a reason. His form string 509151 shows two recent wins and a sharp return to form, he ran only 3 days ago suggesting connections are confident he can bounce quickly, and his GoingFit:~ on today's good-to-soft is acceptable rather than a concern. At equal class (ClassMv:=) and same mark as last win (MarkMv:=), there is no penalty to absorb, and his 9-12 weight is shared with Ebony Maw but Patrick Street's SR of 57 delivers the same raw ability at that weight with far more compelling recent momentum. Each-way alternative: Falaise Blanc. Main danger: Ebony Maw — Ebony Maw (SR:58, 4/1) is the joint-top rated horse in the field, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), holds course form (W0P1 at Hamilton), carries P J McDonald who has solid career numbers (15%, 519 runners), and the Whillans yard at 13% strike rate is booking their #1 jockey for this runner — all pointing to this being Whillans' intended winner over stablemate Mr Withington.