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18:00 Hamilton 11 Aug 2026 Kinrara Gin EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted/Hamilton 2yo Qual) (GBB Race)

  • 6 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 0m6f6y Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Baldetti

Sean Kirrane Michael Dods

81SR 75OR 15/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-48 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 43 +6

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Sean Kirrane 44 wins from 492 rides 9 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 37 wins from 357 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 39 together 13WIN %
2

Harley

Daniel Tudhope Edward Bethell

84SR 75OR 11/8Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+29 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 65 · Field avg 43 +22

Going Record

on Good to Soft
75%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Daniel Tudhope 140 wins from 877 rides 16 WIN %
  • Edward Bethell 99 wins from 635 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 33 together 24WIN %
3

Longshanks Luke

Barry McHugh Patrick Neville

139SR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Barry McHugh 30 wins from 401 rides 7 WIN %
  • Patrick Neville 9 wins from 67 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
4

Sea Mirage

Shane Gray Kevin Ryan

71SR 74OR 6/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 43 +3

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Shane Gray 32 wins from 266 rides 12 WIN %
  • Kevin Ryan 66 wins from 758 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 127 together 9WIN %
5

Lightenings Legacy

Jude Fernandes(7) Mark Usher

123SR 50/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 43 -18

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jude Fernandes(7) 6 wins from 52 rides 12 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 16 wins from 262 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
6

Profitability

William Pyle Craig Lidster

150SR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 43 -6

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • William Pyle 19 wins from 277 rides 7 WIN %
  • Craig Lidster 22 wins from 223 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 31 together 16WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
4 Drifters
0 Flat