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18:00 Hamilton 11 Aug 2026 Kinrara Gin EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted/Hamilton 2yo Qual) (GBB Race)

  • 6 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 0m6f6y Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Baldetti

Sean Kirrane Michael Dods

81SR 75OR 15/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-48 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 45 +4

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Kirrane 131 wins from 1205 rides 11 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 203 wins from 1722 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 23 wins from 178 together 13WIN %
2

Harley

Daniel Tudhope Edward Bethell

84SR 75OR 11/8Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 67 · Field avg 45 +21

Going Record

on Good to Soft
71%
✓ Proven

1 win, 4 placed · 7 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 25% +75

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Daniel Tudhope 359 wins from 1964 rides 18 WIN %
  • Edward Bethell 195 wins from 1135 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 18 wins from 68 together 26WIN %
3

Longshanks Luke

Barry McHugh Patrick Neville

139SR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 45 -10

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Barry McHugh 52 wins from 601 rides 9 WIN %
  • Patrick Neville 53 wins from 275 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
4

Sea Mirage

Shane Gray Kevin Ryan

71SR 74OR 6/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+35 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 45 +17

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Shane Gray 143 wins from 982 rides 15 WIN %
  • Kevin Ryan 214 wins from 1730 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 41 wins from 259 together 16WIN %
5

Lightenings Legacy

Jude Fernandes(7) Mark Usher

123SR 50/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 45 -20

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Mr Jude Fernandes 9 wins from 94 rides 10 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 70 wins from 667 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
6

Profitability

William Pyle Craig Lidster

150SR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+18 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 34 · Field avg 45 -12

Going Record

on Good to Soft
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • William Pyle 72 wins from 797 rides 9 WIN %
  • Craig Lidster 69 wins from 597 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 21 wins from 137 together 15WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
4 Drifters
0 Flat