Carlisle 15:15 RESULTED
Class 3 11 Aug 2026

Tuesday 11 August National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f195y

Official Result

National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rogue Passion (IRE) Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell
    30/100F
  2. 25/1
  3. 3/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Girl Scout silks
Girl Scout
Age 2 · 9-2
5
153
2
9-2
5/2 3/1 9/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Lizzie Bennet silks
Lizzie Bennet
Age 2 · 9-2
141
2
9-2
14/1 11/2 11/1
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Rogue Passion silks
Rogue Passion
Age 2 · 9-2
42
83
95
83OR
2
9-2
1/2 8/11 1/2
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Shaqra Queen silks
Shaqra Queen
Age 2 · 9-2
6
132
2
9-2
40/1 10/1 20/1
SR 132 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 132 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sweet Iris silks
Sweet Iris
Age 2 · 9-2
02
137
2
9-2
25/1 10/1 18/1
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Girl Scout 5/2 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Betfred
2 Lizzie Bennet 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 18/1 William Hill
3 Rogue Passion 1/2 open 1.80 1/2 open 1.80 1/2 open 1.80 1/2 open 1.80 8/15 open 1.73 8/15 Betfred
4 Shaqra Queen 40/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 11.00 40/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Sweet Iris 25/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 33/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Girl Scout

Live signal

Girl Scout owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 K. R. Burke Clifford Lee
83% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Passion

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

1/2 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Sweet Iris

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Girl Scout
69.2 5/2
2 3. Rogue Passion
60.9 1/2
3 2. Lizzie Bennet
59.2 14/1
4 5. Sweet Iris
56.7 25/1
5 4. Shaqra Queen
52.8 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Girl Scout
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-2
1/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Girl Scout
Confidence: Medium

Girl Scout (SR:153, 3/1) is the standout on ability in this small field — her SR of 153 towers over Rogue Passion's 95 and the rest of the field by a significant margin, and K.R. Burke's 19% career strike rate is the strongest training operation here. The market has shortened 6% since opening, suggesting quiet confidence from connections, and at level weights of 9-2 across the board, she carries no penalty. Her debut form figure of 5 is unspectacular, but first-time-out runs from the Burke yard frequently show marked improvement, and Clifford Lee retains the ride. The key risk is the untested distance and going (DistFit:? / GoingFit:?) shared by the whole field, but on a SR basis she has class to spare. Each-way alternative: Rogue Passion. Main danger: Rogue Passion — Rogue Passion (4/7, market steaming in 10%) has course form (W0P1 at Carlisle), is the overwhelming market jolly with Oisin Orr riding, and returning after a 33-day break at the same class — despite the significantly lower SR of 95, the market confidence and course experience cannot be ignored and she is the most likely alternative winner.

Shortlist Girl Scout, Rogue Passion, Lizzie Bennet
Each-way: Rogue Passion Danger: Rogue Passion

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m6f195y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade