Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Girl Scout owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2K. R. BurkeClifford Lee
83%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Rogue Passion
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
1/2 · Edward Bethell✓ Value Signal
Sweet Iris
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Girl Scout (SR:153, 3/1) is the standout on ability in this small field — her SR of 153 towers over Rogue Passion's 95 and the rest of the field by a significant margin, and K.R. Burke's 19% career strike rate is the strongest training operation here. The market has shortened 6% since opening, suggesting quiet confidence from connections, and at level weights of 9-2 across the board, she carries no penalty. Her debut form figure of 5 is unspectacular, but first-time-out runs from the Burke yard frequently show marked improvement, and Clifford Lee retains the ride. The key risk is the untested distance and going (DistFit:? / GoingFit:?) shared by the whole field, but on a SR basis she has class to spare.
Each-way alternative: Rogue Passion.
Main danger: Rogue Passion — Rogue Passion (4/7, market steaming in 10%) has course form (W0P1 at Carlisle), is the overwhelming market jolly with Oisin Orr riding, and returning after a 33-day break at the same class — despite the significantly lower SR of 95, the market confidence and course experience cannot be ignored and she is the most likely alternative winner.