Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 5f6y
SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Crimson Blaze | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Betfred |
| 2 Desert Sands | 6/5 open 2.25 | — | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 6/5 open 1.73 | 5/4 Coral |
| 3 Birkacre Brow | 17/2 open 19.00 | — | 15/2 open 19.00 | 15/2 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 19.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Ouragan | 5/2 open 2.75 | — | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Bellatina | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Birkacre Brow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (61). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Birkacre Brow's SR of 147 is in a completely different league to every other runner in this five-horse field — the next-best is Desert Sands at SR 83, a 64-point gulf that is enormous in a Class 3 novice. The 42% market move inward is a screaming stable signal, and James Tate (17% strike rate) booking the in-form Billy Loughnane (19%) confirms this is a serious intended winner. Yes, the form reads 4-0 in two starts and the class jump is two tiers, but the SR data says those runs were well above this level in quality terms and Loughnane's market confidence strongly implies an imminent big performance. Weight is favourable at 8-13, and in a five-runner field with no credible rival on the figures, this is a clear standout pick. Each-way alternative: Bellatina. Main danger: Desert Sands — Desert Sands is the market favourite at 11/10 and holds Class 3 experience at the same level (ClassMv:=), meaning connections believe it is ready for this grade even if the trainer's 0% strike rate and SR of 83 suggest the market may be overestimating it.