Sugar Sugar arrives in cracking nick — a winner last time out and placed in two of her three starts before that — and has run over today's trip and going; the chief concern is her weight of 133 lb.
Form last 69321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR66RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Seeing Stars brings strong claims here — third two starts back and a winner five starts back show she handles this trip and going, and 19 days is a fresh, race-ready gap. The risk is that eighth last time out leaves something to prove after that sharp dip in form.
Form last 6213438
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR72RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked last on our figures, Sweet Desire faces a stiff ask here; an eighth and an unplaced run among her recent efforts make her hard to fancy, though she has run over today's trip before and draws stall one.
Form last 6048
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR50RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Placed last time out and boasting experience over today's trip and conditions, Thunderous Love arrives in good order just 17 days since her latest run and our rating of 73 marks her out as a lively contender — though she remains winless in recent starts, that runner-up effort suggests she's close to ending that run.
Form last 6769692
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR73RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked fifth of six on our figures, Melissa Honey faces a stiff ask here, though she does arrive on the back of a third last time out, with a win two starts back offering some encouragement, and she has experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6431213
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sugar Sugar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Jack ChannonGeorge Bass
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Thunderous Love
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/4 · Jonathan Portman✓ Value Signal
Sweet Desire
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · Steph Hollinshead◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sugar Sugar (SR:80, 6/5) is the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear margin and arrives in peak form with a 9321 sequence — her last run a win — at the same class and running off a mark only 2lb higher than that victory. The 27% market steam is the strongest move in the race and confirms professional confidence. She carries 9-7 (same as Seeing Stars and Sweet Desire), so no weight penalty disadvantage relative to nearest rivals, and DistFit:+ confirms she handles the 6f trip. The only caveat is GoingFit:? on good-to-firm, but her SR advantage of 8+ points over the next-best (Thunderous Love at SR:72) is substantial enough to overcome that uncertainty.
Each-way alternative: Thunderous Love.
Main danger: Thunderous Love — Thunderous Love (SR:72, 3/1) has Course:W2P4 at Nottingham and GoingFit:+ on today's ground — both proven course-and-conditions signals — and her mark has dropped 8lb since her last win (MarkMv:-8), giving her a meaningful handicap edge, though the 20% drift and a form string of 769692 showing only one recent placed finish are reasons to keep her underneath Sugar Sugar.