Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Baddaddan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Richard SpencerGeorge Wood
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jeyoush
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford✓ Value Signal
Blessed Voyager
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
5/4 · Ralph Beckett◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Baddaddan's SR of 156 is a substantial 57-point advantage over Blessed Voyager (SR 99) and a 4-point edge over the debutant Jeyoush (SR 152), and crucially the market has steamed in 17% — real money supporting a horse that has already shown its ability in one prior run. The 7lb weight pull over Blessed Voyager (9-4 vs 9-11) compounds the SR advantage meaningfully at this sprint trip on good-to-firm ground. Jeyoush's dramatic 26% drift is a significant red flag — even with the Crisford yard's 20% strike rate and James Doyle aboard, the market is actively avoiding this debut runner, suggesting something has emerged in the build-up. Blessed Voyager's SR of 99 is workmanlike at best and the form figure of 12 (most recent run a second) at this class level does not suggest a winner here.
Each-way alternative: Jeyoush.
Main danger: Jeyoush — Despite the drift, Jeyoush's SR of 152 is strong for a debutant, the Crisford-Doyle combination carries a formidable combined strike rate, and debutants in novice stakes can surprise when the rating model has captured trial or home work form — if the drift is simply overcaution from punters unfamiliar with the yard's approach, Jeyoush could make Baddaddan work hard.